Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Derry City Win 0%
Draw 0%
Waterford Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Derry City1.44
Waterford1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Derry City
WWDLW
27 GF / 27 GA
Waterford
WLDWL
38 GF / 50 GA
Key Stats
1.17
Average Goals Scored
1.41
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
14
BTTS Yes
17
12
Over 2.5
15
4.52
Shots on Goal
3.6
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
23 matches
Waterford
27 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 7 |
| 10 | Draws | 8 |
| 8 | Losses | 12 |
| 27 | Goals For | 38 |
| 27 | Goals Against | 50 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.85 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 15 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.52 | Shots On Goal | 3.6 |
| 12.9 | Total Shots | 12.35 |
| 6.05 | Corners | 4.95 |
| 55% | Ball Possession | 40.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 10 times, Waterford won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:15 from Derry City's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 3.27 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Derry City 3-4-3 / Waterford 5-3-2
H2H summary: Derry City wins 10, draws 2, Waterford wins 3
Last matches: Derry City
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
29.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
1
2
L
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
15.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
0
1
L
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
01.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
2
1
W
10.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
2
L
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
16.03.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
06.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
Last matches: Waterford
12.06.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
4
0
W
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
2
1
W
15.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
04.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
3
3
D
01.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
1
1
D
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
03.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
1
1
D
20.03.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
0
2
L
16.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
3
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
0
5
L
06.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
0
1
L
27.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
4
L
20.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
0
D
13.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
0
2
L
06.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
1
D
H2H: Derry City vs Waterford
15.05.26
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
27.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
17.10.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
1
2
W
04.07.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
7
2
W
25.04.25
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
1
L
28.02.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
L
23.08.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
W
03.06.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
W
26.04.24
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
2
W
08.03.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
W
02.11.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
2
2
D
02.07.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
0
W
21.05.21
H2H
Waterford
Derry City
0
1
W
03.04.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
L
02.10.20
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
0
W
Last matches: Derry City
12.06.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
4
1
W
25.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
0
0
D
22.05.26
Pre
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
0
0
D
04.05.26
Pre
Derry City
Galway United
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pre
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
1
0
W
20.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Drogheda United
2
2
D
13.03.26
Pre
Derry City
Shelbourne
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
20.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Bohemians
0
1
L
13.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Dundalk
2
2
D
06.02.26
Pre
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
2
1
W
H2H at home: Derry City
27.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
W
04.07.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
7
2
W
28.02.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
L
03.06.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
W
08.03.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
W
02.07.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
0
W
03.04.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
L
02.10.20
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
0
W
Last matches: Waterford
29.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
3
3
D
22.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shelbourne
1
2
L
08.05.26
Pre
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
1
4
L
01.05.26
Pre
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
0
1
L
18.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
0
2
L
06.04.26
Pre
Waterford
Bohemians
1
1
D
16.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Galway United
3
4
L
13.03.26
Pre
Waterford
Dundalk
0
5
L
27.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Derry City
2
4
L
13.02.26
Pre
Waterford
Drogheda United
0
2
L
23.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Wexford
1
0
W
14.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Cork City
0
1
L
10.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
3
1
W
06.01.26
Fri
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
2
1
W
H2H away: Waterford
27.02.26
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
4
2
L
04.07.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
7
2
L
28.02.25
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
W
03.06.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
L
08.03.24
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
3
0
L
02.07.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
0
L
03.04.21
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
1
2
W
02.10.20
H2H
Derry City
Waterford
2
0
L
Standings
Premier League
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 21 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 40 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 33:17 | 16 | 35 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 32:25 | 7 | 34 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 32:28 | 4 | 32 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 29:27 | 2 | 29 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 26:24 | 2 | 25 |
W
L
D
D
D
|
| 7 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 26:30 | -4 | 21 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 25:34 | -9 | 21 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 15:31 | -16 | 19 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 10 |
Waterford
Away
|
20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 25:40 | -15 | 14 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Premier Division (Relegation)
Relegation - Division 1