Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
79.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
72.9%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Derry City
Waterford
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Derry City
26 matches
Waterford
29 matches
| Derry City | Statistic | Waterford |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 11 | Draws | 8 |
| 9 | Losses | 13 |
| 31 | Goals For | 41 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 54 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.41 |
| 1.15 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.86 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 16 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.33 | Shots On Goal | 3.59 |
| 12.33 | Total Shots | 12.14 |
| 5.67 | Corners | 4.64 |
| 51.8% | Ball Possession | 38.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Derry City's more proactive style and Waterford's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Waterford. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Derry City expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Waterford in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Waterford having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
From their first 23 matches, Derry City have collected 26 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 5 wins, 11 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 28:27 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by James Clarke (4 goals), Kévin Santos (3 goals), Afolabi Akinyemi (2 goals), with creative support from Ben Doherty (2 assists), James Clarke (1 assists), Kévin Santos (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Waterford are currently 10 in the standings with 14 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 11 losses with goals at 25:42 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Tom Lonergan (5 goals), Pádraig Amond (4 goals), John Mahon (3 goals), with creative support from Dean McMenamy (2 assists), Conan Noonan (2 assists), Evan McLaughlin (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 8 losses points toward a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Derry City won 9 times, Waterford won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 34:19 from Derry City's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.53 goals per game.
Derry City
2
3
6
2
8
6
Lineups
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Derry City
HNK Rijeka
Derry City
CSKA Sofia
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
St Patrick's Athl.
Derry City
Galway United
Derry City
Shamrock Rovers
Derry City
Drogheda United
Derry City
Shelbourne
Derry City
Waterford
Derry City
Bohemians
Derry City
Dundalk
Derry City
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Shelbourne
Waterford
St Patrick's Athl.
Waterford
Shamrock Rovers
Waterford
Sligo Rovers
Waterford
Bohemians
Waterford
Galway United
Waterford
Dundalk
Waterford
Derry City
Waterford
Drogheda United
Waterford
Wexford
Waterford
Cork City
Waterford
Cobh Ramblers
Waterford
Bray Wanderers
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 40:22 | 18 | 51 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 44 |
D
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 12 | 8 | 6 | 41:28 | 13 | 44 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 40:38 | 2 | 37 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 25 | 8 | 10 | 7 | 35:36 | -1 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 |
Derry City
Home
|
26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 33:32 | 1 | 30 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 7 | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 33:40 | -7 | 29 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 31:43 | -12 | 27 |
D
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 |
Waterford
Away
|
26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 34:47 | -13 | 25 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
| 10 | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 23:43 | -20 | 22 |
D
D
L
L
D
|