02.08.2026 17:30
Guillermo Laza Stadium
Referee: Dario Herrera
Deportivo Riestra
Match Timeline
Barracas Central
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Nicolas Watson
Deportivo Riestra
🟨
31'
Facundo Bruera
Barracas Central
🟨
53'
Rodrigo Insúa
Barracas Central
🔄
62'
N. Benegas ↔ T. Gonzalez
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
66'
J. Candia ↔ G. Campi
Barracas Central
🔄
66'
N. Demartini ↔ G. Maroni
Barracas Central
🔄
70'
N. Watson ↔ B. Sanchez
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
70'
A. Alonso ↔ P. Monje
Deportivo Riestra
72'
G. Maroni · Assist: T. Porra
Barracas Central
🔄
76'
I. Tapia ↔ M. Puig
Barracas Central
🔄
85'
N. Sansotre ↔ J. Goitia
Deportivo Riestra
🔄
87'
T. Porra ↔ C. Arce
Barracas Central
🔄
87'
F. Bruera ↔ J. Barbieri
Barracas Central
🟨
90+2'
Gonzalo Maroni
Barracas Central

Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 65.3%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
65.3%
-
BTTS No
70.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
76.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Riestra Win 30%
Draw 4.7%
Barracas Central Win 65.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Riestra0.67
Barracas Central0.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra
WWDLW
11 GF / 15 GA
Barracas Central Barracas Central
WLDWL
20 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
1
0.75
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
5
BTTS Yes
10
2
Over 2.5
7
3.39
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Riestra Deportivo Riestra 20 matches
Barracas Central Barracas Central 20 matches
Deportivo Riestra Statistic Barracas Central
3 Wins 8
9 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
11 Goals For 20
15 Goals Against 17
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.75 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
5 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
2 Over 2.5 7
0 Over 3.5 1
8 Clean Sheets 7
12 Failed To Score 6
3.39 Shots On Goal 3.5
9.89 Total Shots 10
4.11 Corners 1.89
37.4% Ball Possession 38.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Deportivo Riestra have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Barracas Central. Barracas Central carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 9 with 21 points while Deportivo Riestra sit 15 on 11, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Deportivo Riestra Analysis

Deportivo Riestra approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 16 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 5:12, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mariano Bracamonte (1 goals), Antony Alonso (1 goals), Pedro Ramírez (1 goals), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Barracas Central Analysis

Barracas Central are currently 9 in the standings with 21 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 15:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Rodrigo Insúa (1 goals), Nicolás Demartini (1 goals), Fernando Tobio (1 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Insúa (1 assists), Tomás Porra (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Riestra won 1 times, Barracas Central won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Deportivo Riestra's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 1.91 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Riestra 5-3-2 / Barracas Central 5-3-2
H2H summary: Deportivo Riestra wins 1, draws 4, Barracas Central wins 6

Standings

Apertura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 19:7 12 31
W L D L W
2 16 8 6 2 22:9 13 30
W D W D D
3 16 7 7 2 18:12 6 28
D W D D D
4 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W L D D L
5 16 6 6 4 24:20 4 24
D W L D W
6 16 6 6 4 18:15 3 24
W W L D L
7 16 5 7 4 14:14 0 22
D W L D W
8 16 5 6 5 24:20 4 21
L W W W L
9 16 6 3 7 17:17 0 21
W L W D W
10 16 4 7 5 18:21 -3 19
W L W W D
11 16 5 4 7 14:22 -8 19
L D W W W
12 16 3 7 6 10:15 -5 16
L D L W D
13 16 4 4 8 11:21 -10 16
L L D L L
14 16 3 6 7 15:27 -12 15
D D D W W
15 16 1 8 7 5:12 -7 11
L D D D L
Knockout Phase