COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
15.09.2026 20:00
Santiago de las Atalayas

Deportivo Pereira vs Santa Fe Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 73.1%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
73.1%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
69.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pereira Win 26.9%
Draw 20%
Santa Fe Win 53.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pereira0.89
Santa Fe1.5
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira
WWDLW
19 GF / 41 GA
Santa Fe Santa Fe
WLDWL
55 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
0.73
Average Goals Scored
1.45
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
11
BTTS Yes
27
11
Over 2.5
18
3.23
Shots on Goal
4.51

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pereira Deportivo Pereira 26 matches
Santa Fe Santa Fe 38 matches
Deportivo Pereira Statistic Santa Fe
2 Wins 13
10 Draws 17
14 Losses 8
19 Goals For 55
41 Goals Against 43
0.73 Avg Goals Scored 1.45
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
11 BTTS Yes 27
15 Over 1.5 31
11 Over 2.5 18
8 Over 3.5 10
5 Clean Sheets 8
14 Failed To Score 5
3.23 Shots On Goal 4.51
8.96 Total Shots 12.27
2.42 Corners 4.51
44.4% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Santa Fe's more proactive style and Deportivo Pereira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Santa Fe. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pereira expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Santa Fe in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Santa Fe having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Deportivo Pereira have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Santa Fe carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 29 points while Deportivo Pereira sit 20 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Deportivo Pereira Analysis

Deportivo Pereira approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 10 points from 19 matches. Their record of 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 15:32, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Santa Fe Analysis

From their first 19 matches, Santa Fe have collected 29 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 4 losses, while the 29:22 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Nahuel Bustos (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 4 times, Santa Fe won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:17 from Deportivo Pereira's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pereira 4-2-3-1 / Santa Fe 4-3-3
H2H summary: Deportivo Pereira wins 4, draws 7, Santa Fe wins 4

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification