Deportivo Pereira vs Independiente Medellin Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
67.6%
|
1.52 | |
| BTTS | No |
56%
|
1.83 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.8%
|
2.03 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
88.2%
|
1.14 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
4.33 | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
7.00 |
Deportivo Pereira
Independiente Medellin
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Pereira
23 matches
Independiente Medellin
35 matches
| Deportivo Pereira | Statistic | Independiente Medellin |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | Wins | 16 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 12 | Losses | 11 |
| 17 | Goals For | 50 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 0.74 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 1.48 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 9 | BTTS Yes | 24 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 26 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 3.26 | Shots On Goal | 4.24 |
| 8.91 | Total Shots | 13.03 |
| 2.39 | Corners | 4.82 |
| 43.8% | Ball Possession | 48.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Independiente Medellin's more proactive style and Deportivo Pereira's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Independiente Medellin. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pereira expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Independiente Medellin in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independiente Medellin having the stronger overall control. Independiente Medellin carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 26 points while Deportivo Pereira sit 20 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Deportivo Pereira approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 10 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 15:32 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Independiente Medellin are currently 11 in the standings with 26 points from 19 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 26:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on John Edwin Montaño (2 goals), Hayen Palacios (1 goals), Jhan Mena (1 goals), with creative support from John Edwin Montaño (1 assists), Hayen Palacios (1 assists), Yony González (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pereira won 3 times, Independiente Medellin won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:18 from Deportivo Pereira's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
W
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
L
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
D
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 19 | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
L
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 20 |
Deportivo Pereira
Home
|
19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
D
L
D
L
W
|