COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
01.08.2026 19:00
Estadio Departamental Libertad
Referee: Carlos Ortega, Colombia
Deportivo Pasto
Match Timeline
Águilas Doradas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
J. Obregon · Assist: S. Cordoba
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
16'
Andrés Ricaurte
Águilas Doradas
🟨
25'
Matías Pisano
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
25'
Juan Camilo Roa
Águilas Doradas
🟨
32'
Enrique Serje
Deportivo Pasto
45'
J. Mena
Águilas Doradas
🔄
46'
J. Roa ↔ I. Rojas
Águilas Doradas
52'
A. Vasquez · Assist: E. Arizalas
Águilas Doradas
🔄
60'
E. Arizalas ↔ M. Ramirez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
68'
A. Vasquez ↔ R. Marquez
Águilas Doradas
🟨
69'
Matías Pisano
Deportivo Pasto
🟥
69'
Matías Pisano
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
72'
Ricardo Márquez
Águilas Doradas
🔄
73'
S. Cordoba ↔ M. Gil
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
74'
J. Micolta Piedahita ↔ H. Mancilla
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
80'
D. Chavez ↔ A. Ibarguen
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
80'
J. Noguera ↔ D. Lozano
Águilas Doradas
🔄
90+1'
Y. Goez ↔ P. Preciado
Deportivo Pasto

Deportivo Pasto vs Águilas Doradas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 65.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
65.1%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
78.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Pasto Win 44%
Draw 21.2%
Águilas Doradas Win 34.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Pasto1.38
Águilas Doradas1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
WWDLW
33 GF / 31 GA
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas
WLDWL
22 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.3
12
BTTS Yes
12
12
Over 2.5
10
3.86
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 23 matches
Águilas Doradas Águilas Doradas 20 matches
Deportivo Pasto Statistic Águilas Doradas
11 Wins 8
4 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
33 Goals For 22
31 Goals Against 26
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.3
12 BTTS Yes 12
17 Over 1.5 14
12 Over 2.5 10
6 Over 3.5 3
8 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 5
3.86 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.09 Total Shots 11.2
4.05 Corners 3.8
51% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Pasto's more proactive style and Águilas Doradas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Águilas Doradas. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Deportivo Pasto have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Pasto expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Águilas Doradas in 3-4-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Águilas Doradas having the stronger overall control.

Deportivo Pasto Analysis

Deportivo Pasto sit 7 with 34 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 7 defeats with a 29:28 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

Águilas Doradas Analysis

Águilas Doradas sit 12 with 26 points after 19 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, while the 20:25 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Pasto won 6 times, Águilas Doradas won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:17 from Deportivo Pasto's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.8%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Pasto 4-4-2 / Águilas Doradas 3-4-3
H2H summary: Deportivo Pasto wins 6, draws 4, Águilas Doradas wins 5

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W D D L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L D L W W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification