ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium
Deportivo Merlo
Match Timeline
Dock Sud
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
34'
Dock Sud
Dock Sud
🟨
49'
B. Villalba
Dock Sud
53'
B. Villalba
Dock Sud
🔄
63'
F. Aguerre ↔ L. Barrientos
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
63'
A. Velasco ↔ D. Maguicha
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
63'
M. Linas ↔ R. Hernandez
Deportivo Merlo
67'
G. Gomez
Dock Sud
🔄
69'
L. Alfieri ↔ C. Gugenheim
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
77'
L. Figueredo ↔ D. Cabrera
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
77'
S. Vivas ↔ A. Arias
Dock Sud
🟨
80'
F. Benitez
Deportivo Merlo
🟨
82'
Deportivo Merlo
Deportivo Merlo
🔄
82'
I. Alvarez ↔ F. Otero
Dock Sud
🔄
82'
G. Gomez ↔ F. Nicolaievsky
Dock Sud
🔄
88'
N. Guerrero ↔ M. Gauna
Dock Sud
🔄
88'
B. Villalba ↔ G. Gualtieri
Dock Sud
90'
E. Quinteros
Deportivo Merlo

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.30
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 2.50
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
62.5%
1.30
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
2.50
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.52
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Merlo Win 38.7%
Draw 23.8%
Dock Sud Win 37.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Merlo1.06
Dock Sud1.24
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo
WWDLW
33 GF / 45 GA
Dock Sud Dock Sud
WLDWL
34 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.1
1.45
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
17
BTTS Yes
15
14
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Merlo Deportivo Merlo 31 matches
Dock Sud Dock Sud 31 matches
Deportivo Merlo Statistic Dock Sud
9 Wins 8
12 Draws 13
10 Losses 10
33 Goals For 34
45 Goals Against 33
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.1
1.45 Avg Goals Conceded 1.06
17 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 22
14 Over 2.5 10
9 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 11
10 Failed To Score 10
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Dock Sud's more proactive style and Deportivo Merlo's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Dock Sud. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Dock Sud having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Deportivo Merlo Analysis

From their first 30 matches, Deportivo Merlo have collected 38 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. Their overall return of 9 wins, 11 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 33:45 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Dock Sud Analysis

Dock Sud sit 15 with 36 points after 30 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 12 draws, and 10 defeats, and the 32:31 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Merlo won 5 times, Dock Sud won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:23 from Deportivo Merlo's perspective. 10 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.2%)
H2H summary: Deportivo Merlo wins 5, draws 5, Dock Sud wins 5

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 33 18 8 7 49:27 22 62
L W W W L
2 33 16 12 5 44:22 22 60
W W D L D
3 33 16 12 5 39:20 19 60
D W D D W
4 33 16 12 5 35:16 19 60
D D W W L
5 33 17 9 7 35:17 18 60
W D L W L
6 33 15 10 8 38:25 13 55
W L L W W
7 33 14 10 9 37:32 5 52
D W W D D
8 33 13 8 12 35:37 -2 47
W L L W W
9 33 12 10 11 39:42 -3 46
D W L L D
10 33 10 13 10 38:34 4 43
W W D L W
11 32 11 10 11 32:31 1 43
L W D L D
12 33 10 11 12 30:32 -2 41
D L D D W
13 33 9 13 11 31:36 -5 40
L W L D L
14 32 9 12 11 34:47 -13 39
L D D L D
15 33 9 11 13 34:38 -4 38
L W W W W
16 33 8 13 12 28:35 -7 37
L L L W D
17 33 8 12 13 25:33 -8 36
D W L L W
18 33 9 8 16 28:39 -11 35
W L W D D
19 33 7 12 14 28:36 -8 33
D W W L L
20 33 7 12 14 21:35 -14 33
D L D L W
21 33 3 19 11 15:29 -14 28
L L D L D
22 33 1 11 21 19:51 -32 14
L L D D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)