Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
60.3%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
75.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportivo Garcilaso
20 matches
UCV Moquegua
21 matches
| Deportivo Garcilaso | Statistic | UCV Moquegua |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 5 | Draws | 6 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 24 | Goals For | 19 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.9 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 10 | BTTS Yes | 9 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 7 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 4.1 | Shots On Goal | 3.45 |
| 11.6 | Total Shots | 10.4 |
| 3.4 | Corners | 3.25 |
| 45.8% | Ball Possession | 38.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match looks like a contest between Deportivo Garcilaso's more proactive style and UCV Moquegua's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Garcilaso expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and UCV Moquegua in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UCV Moquegua having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UCV Moquegua. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
Deportivo Garcilaso are currently 7 in the standings with 26 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 21:18 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Christopher Olivares (6 goals), Beto Da Silva (3 goals), Francisco Arancibia (2 goals), with creative support from Francisco Arancibia (3 assists), Christopher Olivares (2 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
UCV Moquegua approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 18 points from 17 matches. Their record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 17:24, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Edgar Lastre (5 goals), Jeferson Collazos (3 goals), Cristian Mejia (2 goals), with creative support from Edgar Lastre (3 assists), Yorman Zapata (2 assists), Nicolas Amasifuen (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 1 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 times, UCV Moquegua won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:1 from Deportivo Garcilaso's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
4
4
3
3
Lineups
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
Comerciantes Unidos
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
Universitario
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Atletico Grau
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cusco
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Universitario
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
ADT
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
FC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Juan Pablo II College
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Cusco
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
Deportivo Garcilaso
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
FC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Juan Pablo II College
Deportivo Garcilaso
UTC Cajamarca
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
FBC Melgar
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sport Boys
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
ADT
Deportivo Garcilaso
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
UTC Cajamarca
UCV Moquegua
Atletico Grau
UCV Moquegua
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Sporting Cristal
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Sport Boys
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
UCV Moquegua
Comerciantes Unidos
UCV Moquegua
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 11 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 10 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 10 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 9 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 7 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 7 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 5 |
L
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 4 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 15 |
UCV Moquegua
Away
|
5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 4 |
D
L
D
D
D
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
D
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 2 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
L
D
L
D
L
|