COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
31.08.2026 01:20
Estadio Deportivo Cali
Referee: J. Bautista
Deportivo Cali
Match Timeline
Bucaramanga
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
38'
Daniel Giraldo
Deportivo Cali
🟨
40'
Freddy Hinestroza
Bucaramanga
🟨
40'
José Ortiz
Bucaramanga
41'
Steven Rodríguez
Deportivo Cali
🟨
45+2'
Fabián Sambueza
Bucaramanga
🔄
60'
J. Martinez ↔ E. Bello
Deportivo Cali
🔄
63'
F. Hinestroza ↔ A. Gutierrez
Bucaramanga
🔄
63'
L. Flores ↔ Fabry
Bucaramanga
🔄
68'
J. Dinenno ↔ C. Bacca
Deportivo Cali
72'
J. Garcia · Assist: E. Batalla
Bucaramanga
🔄
74'
N. Benedetti ↔ F. Viafara
Deportivo Cali
🔄
74'
D. Giraldo ↔ A. Hurtado
Deportivo Cali
🔄
84'
N. Castrillon ↔ K. Londono
Bucaramanga
🟨
86'
Eduard Bello
Deportivo Cali
🔄
86'
F. Sambueza ↔ B. Caicedo
Bucaramanga
🔄
86'
L. Pons ↔ J. Salazar
Bucaramanga
🟨
90+2'
José Caldera
Deportivo Cali
🟨
90+2'
Carlos Bacca
Deportivo Cali
🟥
90+11'
Keimer Sandoval
Deportivo Cali
🟨
90+1'
Fredy Salazar
Bucaramanga
🟥
90+11'
José García
Bucaramanga
90'
L. Chaverra
Deportivo Cali

Deportivo Cali vs Bucaramanga Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61%
Odds 2.01
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.44
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61%
2.01
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.44
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.2%
1.83
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.25
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50
Probability Distribution
Deportivo Cali Win 61%
Draw 4.7%
Bucaramanga Win 34.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportivo Cali1.1
Bucaramanga1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali
WWDLW
29 GF / 21 GA
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WLDWL
33 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.32
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
10
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
12
4
Shots on Goal
4.04

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 26 matches
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 25 matches
Deportivo Cali Statistic Bucaramanga
10 Wins 7
8 Draws 11
8 Losses 7
29 Goals For 33
21 Goals Against 27
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.32
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
10 BTTS Yes 13
16 Over 1.5 19
7 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 6
11 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 8
4 Shots On Goal 4.04
12.46 Total Shots 12.79
4.79 Corners 4.25
50.4% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bucaramanga. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportivo Cali expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Bucaramanga in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bucaramanga having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Deportivo Cali Analysis

So far, Deportivo Cali have built a campaign that leaves them 9 in the table on 27 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 7 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 20:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Steven Rodríguez (2 goals), Johan Martínez (1 goals), Eduard Bello (1 goals), with creative support from Johan Martínez (2 assists), Gustavo Cuéllar (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Bucaramanga Analysis

Bucaramanga sit 13 with 23 points after 19 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 26:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emerson Batalla (3 goals), Luciano Pons (1 goals), Fabián Sambueza (1 goals), with creative support from Luciano Pons (2 assists), Emerson Batalla (1 assists), Fabián Sambueza (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportivo Cali won 4 times, Bucaramanga won 6 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Deportivo Cali's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Deportivo Cali 5-3-2 / Bucaramanga 4-3-3
H2H summary: Deportivo Cali wins 4, draws 5, Bucaramanga wins 6

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification