Deportes Tolima vs Cucuta Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
73.9%
|
1.40 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.79 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.05 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Deportes Tolima
Cucuta
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Deportes Tolima
40 matches
Cucuta
26 matches
| Deportes Tolima | Statistic | Cucuta |
|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wins | 5 |
| 10 | Draws | 10 |
| 13 | Losses | 11 |
| 50 | Goals For | 28 |
| 39 | Goals Against | 45 |
| 1.25 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.08 |
| 0.98 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.73 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 26 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 16 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 13 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 4.6 | Shots On Goal | 3.44 |
| 12.58 | Total Shots | 8.88 |
| 4.68 | Corners | 3.68 |
| 56.7% | Ball Possession | 43.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Deportes Tolima's more proactive style and Cucuta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportes Tolima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 31 points compared to Cucuta in 19 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Cucuta.
From their first 19 matches, Deportes Tolima have collected 31 points and now occupy 6 place in the table. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:17 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Jorge Hurtado (2 goals), Junior Hernández (1 goals), Sebastián Guzmán (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Hurtado (1 assists), Junior Hernández (1 assists), Adrián Parra (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Cucuta approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 16 points from 19 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 22:35 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Jaime Peralta (1 goals), Lucas Ríos (1 goals), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 4 times, Cucuta won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:5 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 1 | 5 | 35:15 | 20 | 40 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 19 | 11 | 2 | 6 | 31:24 | 7 | 35 |
L
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 10 | 4 | 5 | 29:25 | 4 | 34 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 25:15 | 10 | 33 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 19 | 8 | 9 | 2 | 31:22 | 9 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 |
Deportes Tolima
Home
|
19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 27:17 | 10 | 31 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29:22 | 7 | 29 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
|
| 8 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:26 | 0 | 28 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 20:16 | 4 | 27 |
W
D
D
L
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 31:23 | 8 | 26 |
D
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26:24 | 2 | 26 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 20:25 | -5 | 26 |
L
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 26:20 | 6 | 23 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 19 | 4 | 10 | 5 | 17:20 | -3 | 22 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 22:27 | -5 | 22 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 20:33 | -13 | 18 |
D
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 13:27 | -14 | 17 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 15:32 | -17 | 17 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 |
Cucuta
Away
|
19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 22:35 | -13 | 16 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 20 | 19 | 1 | 7 | 11 | 15:32 | -17 | 10 |
L
D
L
W
D
|