COLOMBIA › PRIMERA A
16.05.2026 23:00
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Referee: Andres Rojas, Colombia
Deportes Tolima
Match Timeline
Atletico Nacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Simon Garcia
Atletico Nacional
🟨
29'
Anderson Angulo
Deportes Tolima
🟨
32'
Anderson Angulo
Deportes Tolima
🟥
32'
Anderson Angulo
Deportes Tolima
🟨
37'
Brayan Rovira
Deportes Tolima
🔄
40'
A. Parra Osorio ↔ C. Trujillo
Deportes Tolima
🔄
46'
S. Garcia ↔ S. Velasquez
Atletico Nacional
⚽
57'
A. Morelos · Assist: E. Bello
Atletico Nacional
🔄
62'
J. P. Torres Patino ↔ J. Mosquera
Deportes Tolima
🔄
65'
E. Bello ↔ A. Sarmiento
Atletico Nacional
🔄
65'
M. Uribe ↔ J. Zapata
Atletico Nacional
🔄
74'
J. Campuzano ↔ E. Cardona
Atletico Nacional
🔄
75'
A. Morelos ↔ C. Arango
Atletico Nacional
🔄
78'
K. Florez ↔ Y. Moreno
Deportes Tolima
🔄
78'
L. Sandoval ↔ N. Sanchez
Deportes Tolima
🟥
90+4'
Cristian Arango
Atletico Nacional
VAR
90+5'
Cristian Arango
Atletico Nacional

Deportes Tolima vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Deportes Tolima Win 0%
Draw 0%
Atletico Nacional Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Tolima1.21
Atletico Nacional1.48
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
WWDLW
40 GF / 22 GA
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
WLDWL
45 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1.96
0.76
Average Goals Conceded
0.96
10
BTTS Yes
10
9
Over 2.5
16
4.62
Shots on Goal
6.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 29 matches
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 23 matches
Deportes Tolima Statistic Atletico Nacional
14 Wins 15
8 Draws 1
7 Losses 7
40 Goals For 45
22 Goals Against 22
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1.96
0.76 Avg Goals Conceded 0.96
10 BTTS Yes 10
19 Over 1.5 18
9 Over 2.5 16
6 Over 3.5 5
14 Clean Sheets 7
8 Failed To Score 7
4.62 Shots On Goal 6.38
12.52 Total Shots 16.14
4.48 Corners 4.71
56.2% Ball Possession 56.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 5 times, Atletico Nacional won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Deportes Tolima 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportes Tolima wins 5, draws 4, Atletico Nacional wins 6

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
D L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W W L D D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L W W D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D L W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W L L
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D D L L W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W D W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
D L L W D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W W D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D W W D D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W D L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L L D L D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W W D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L W L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D L D D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L L D D D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L W W L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W W
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
W L L D L
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D D L D L
Post season qualification