29.09.2026 18:45
Estadio Ramón Sánchez-Pizjuán
Referee: Serdar Gozubuyuk
Spain
Match Timeline
Croatia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
2'
Lamine Yamal · Assist: Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
Spain
🟨
18'
Marin Pongračić
Croatia
⚽
28'
Dion Drena Beljo · Assist: Ivan Perišić
Croatia
⚽
31'
Marc Pubill · Assist: Lamine Yamal
Spain
🟨
37'
Petar Sučić
Croatia
🔄
45'
Marin Pongračić ↔ Luka Vuskovic
Croatia
🟨
49'
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez
Spain
🟨
54'
Marco Pašalić
Croatia
🔄
57'
Fermín López ↔ Mikel Merino
Spain
🔄
57'
Fabián Ruiz ↔ Pedri
Spain
🟨
58'
Josip Mišić
Croatia
🔄
60'
Dion Drena Beljo ↔ Ante Budimir
Croatia
🔄
60'
Mateo Kovačić ↔ Mario Pašalić
Croatia
⚽
63'
Lamine Yamal · Assist: Pedri
Spain
🔄
68'
Alejandro Baena Rodríguez ↔ Nico Williams
Spain
🔄
68'
Lamine Yamal ↔ Víctor Muñoz
Spain
🔄
72'
Ivan Perišić ↔ Franjo Ivanovic
Croatia
🔄
72'
Martín Zubimendi ↔ Rodrigo Hernandez Cascante
Spain
🔄
81'
Petar Sučić ↔ Luka Modrić
Croatia
⚽
89'
Nico Williams · Assist: Mikel Merino
Spain

Spain vs Croatia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63%
Odds 1.21
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.00
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 1.45
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63%
1.21 ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.00 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
1.45 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.80 ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
1.67 ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Spain Win 63%
Draw 9.4%
Croatia Win 27.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spain1.78
Croatia1.02
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spain Spain
WWDLW
24 GF / 5 GA
Croatia Croatia
WLDWL
13 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
1.85
Average Goals Scored
1.44
0.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
4
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
7
5.92
Shots on Goal
3.33

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spain Spain 13 matches
Croatia Croatia 9 matches
Spain Statistic Croatia
10 Wins 5
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
24 Goals For 13
5 Goals Against 15
1.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
0.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
4 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 7
3 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
5.92 Shots On Goal 3.33
15.92 Total Shots 9.44
6 Corners 3.44
58.7% Ball Possession 47.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Spain won 4 times, Croatia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Spain's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.6%)
Predicted formations: Spain 4-3-3 / Croatia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spain wins 4, draws 1, Croatia wins 2

Standings

League A - Group C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Spain Home
1 1 0 0 3:2 1 3
W
2 1 1 0 0 2:1 1 3
W
3 1 0 0 1 2:3 -1 0
L
4 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
L
Play Offs: Quarter-finals
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation