Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Spain Win 0%
Draw 0%
Croatia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spain1.83
Croatia0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spain
WWDLW
15 GF / 2 GA
Croatia
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.88
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
2
BTTS Yes
6
4
Over 2.5
6
5.5
Shots on Goal
3.13
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Spain
8 matches
Croatia
8 matches
| Spain | Statistic | Croatia |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 4 |
| 3 | Draws | 0 |
| 0 | Losses | 4 |
| 15 | Goals For | 11 |
| 2 | Goals Against | 14 |
| 1.88 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.38 |
| 0.25 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.75 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 6 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 3.13 |
| 16.25 | Total Shots | 8.63 |
| 6.63 | Corners | 3.13 |
| 58.9% | Ball Possession | 46.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Spain won 4 times, Croatia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Spain's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Spain 4-2-3-1 / Croatia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spain wins 4, draws 1, Croatia wins 2
Last matches: Spain
02.07.26
Wor
Spain
Austria
3
0
W
27.06.26
Wor
Spain
Uruguay
1
0
W
21.06.26
Wor
Spain
Saudi Arabia
4
0
W
15.06.26
Wor
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
0
0
D
09.06.26
Fri
Spain
Peru
3
1
W
04.06.26
Fri
Spain
Iraq
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Spain
Egypt
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
2
2
D
15.11.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
4
0
W
14.10.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
4
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
2
0
W
07.09.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
6
0
W
04.09.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
3
0
W
08.06.25
UEF
Spain
Portugal
2
2
D
05.06.25
UEF
Spain
France
5
4
W
23.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
3
3
D
20.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
2
2
D
18.11.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
3
2
W
15.11.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
2
1
W
Last matches: Croatia
02.07.26
Wor
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
27.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Ghana
2
1
W
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
07.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Slovenia
2
1
W
02.06.26
Fri
Croatia
Belgium
0
2
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
14.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
3
1
W
12.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
3
0
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
08.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
4
0
W
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
09.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
5
1
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
20.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
2
0
W
18.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
1
D
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
H2H: Spain vs Croatia
15.06.24
H2H
Spain
Croatia
3
0
W
18.06.23
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
0
D
28.06.21
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
5
W
15.11.18
H2H
Croatia
Spain
3
2
L
11.09.18
H2H
Spain
Croatia
6
0
W
21.06.16
H2H
Croatia
Spain
2
1
L
18.06.12
H2H
Croatia
Spain
0
1
W
Last matches: Spain
02.07.26
Wor
Spain
Austria
3
0
W
21.06.26
Wor
Spain
Saudi Arabia
4
0
W
15.06.26
Wor
Spain
Cape Verde Islands
0
0
D
04.06.26
Fri
Spain
Iraq
1
1
D
31.03.26
Fri
Spain
Egypt
0
0
D
27.03.26
Fri
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
18.11.25
Wor
Spain
Türkiye
2
2
D
14.10.25
Wor
Spain
Bulgaria
4
0
W
11.10.25
Wor
Spain
Georgia
2
0
W
05.06.25
UEF
Spain
France
5
4
W
23.03.25
UEF
Spain
Netherlands
3
3
D
18.11.24
UEF
Spain
Switzerland
3
2
W
15.10.24
UEF
Spain
Serbia
3
0
W
12.10.24
UEF
Spain
Denmark
1
0
W
H2H at home: Spain
15.06.24
H2H
Spain
Croatia
3
0
W
11.09.18
H2H
Spain
Croatia
6
0
W
Last matches: Croatia
02.07.26
Wor
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
23.06.26
Wor
Croatia
Panama
1
0
W
17.06.26
Wor
Croatia
England
2
4
L
01.04.26
Fri
Croatia
Brazil
1
3
L
26.03.26
Fri
Croatia
Colombia
2
1
W
17.11.25
Wor
Croatia
Montenegro
3
2
W
09.10.25
Wor
Croatia
Czechia
0
0
D
05.09.25
Wor
Croatia
Faroe Islands
1
0
W
06.06.25
Wor
Croatia
Gibraltar
7
0
W
23.03.25
UEF
Croatia
France
0
2
L
15.11.24
UEF
Croatia
Scotland
0
1
L
15.10.24
UEF
Croatia
Poland
3
3
D
05.09.24
UEF
Croatia
Portugal
1
2
L
H2H away: Croatia
15.06.24
H2H
Spain
Croatia
3
0
L
11.09.18
H2H
Spain
Croatia
6
0
L