WORLD UEFA NATIONS LEAGUE
29.09.2026 18:45

Spain vs Croatia Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
Probability Distribution
Spain Win 0%
Draw 0%
Croatia Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Spain1.75
Croatia0.93
Recent Form (Last 5)
Spain Spain
WWDLW
21 GF / 3 GA
Croatia Croatia
WLDWL
11 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.75
Average Goals Scored
1.38
0.25
Average Goals Conceded
1.75
3
BTTS Yes
6
5
Over 2.5
6
6
Shots on Goal
3.13

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Spain Spain 12 matches
Croatia Croatia 8 matches
Spain Statistic Croatia
9 Wins 4
3 Draws 0
0 Losses 4
21 Goals For 11
3 Goals Against 14
1.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
0.25 Avg Goals Conceded 1.75
3 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 7
5 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 2
9 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 1
6 Shots On Goal 3.13
16 Total Shots 8.63
6.25 Corners 3.13
59.2% Ball Possession 46.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Spain won 4 times, Croatia won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:8 from Spain's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.71 goals per game.

Predicted formations: Spain 4-2-3-1 / Croatia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Spain wins 4, draws 1, Croatia wins 2

Standings

UEFA Nations League , League A, Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1
Spain Home
0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
Playoffs
Relegation Playoffs
Relegation