COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
20.09.2026 23:10
Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro
Referee: Wilmar Roldan

Deportes Tolima vs America de Cali Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.57
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 2.39
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
66.2%
1.57
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
2.39
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.24
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
12.00
Probability Distribution
Deportes Tolima Win 33.8%
Draw 24.2%
America de Cali Win 42%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Tolima1.07
America de Cali1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima
WWDLW
54 GF / 43 GA
America de Cali America de Cali
WLDWL
50 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.23
Average Goals Scored
1.47
0.98
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
18
BTTS Yes
12
18
Over 2.5
14
4.61
Shots on Goal
4.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Tolima Deportes Tolima 44 matches
America de Cali America de Cali 34 matches
Deportes Tolima Statistic America de Cali
19 Wins 18
10 Draws 7
15 Losses 9
54 Goals For 50
43 Goals Against 28
1.23 Avg Goals Scored 1.47
0.98 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
18 BTTS Yes 12
28 Over 1.5 22
18 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 5
16 Clean Sheets 17
15 Failed To Score 7
4.61 Shots On Goal 4.77
12.77 Total Shots 13.6
4.82 Corners 3.9
56.7% Ball Possession 55.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportes Tolima expected to line up in 4-4-2 and America de Cali in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward America de Cali having the stronger overall control. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward America de Cali. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Deportes Tolima Analysis

Deportes Tolima are currently 6 in the standings with 31 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 27:17 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luis Sandoval (8 goals), Juan Torres (6 goals), A. Parra (5 goals), with creative support from Juan Torres (4 assists), S. Guzmán (4 assists), Luis Sandoval (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

America de Cali Analysis

Operating from 4 place with 33 points from 19 games, America de Cali bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. They have recorded 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, with a 25:15 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Yeison Guzmán (10 goals), Dany Rosero (4 goals), T. Ángel (3 goals), with creative support from R. Carrascal (9 assists), L. Quiñones (4 assists), Yeison Guzmán (3 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Tolima won 8 times, America de Cali won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:11 from Deportes Tolima's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (75.9%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Tolima 4-4-2 / America de Cali 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Deportes Tolima wins 8, draws 4, America de Cali wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W D L D L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
L W D W D
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W L L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L L W W D
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L W D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W D D L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
D W D D W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification