15.08.2026 21:30
Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza
Referee: M. Riquelme
Deportes Limache
Match Timeline
Universidad de Chile
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
2'
Daniel Castro
Deportes Limache
VAR
43'
Jean Meneses
Deportes Limache
🟨
45+1'
Daniel Castro
Deportes Limache
45+3'
Fabián Hormazábal · Assist: Maximiliano Guerrero
Universidad de Chile
🔄
61'
Marcos Arturia ↔ Gonzalo Sosa
Deportes Limache
🔄
61'
Leonardo Valencia ↔ Hugo Martínez
Deportes Limache
🔄
69'
Lucas Assadi ↔ Ignacio Vásquez
Universidad de Chile
🔄
69'
Charles Aránguiz ↔ Tobías Reinhart
Universidad de Chile
76'
Agustín Arce · Assist: Eduardo Vargas
Universidad de Chile
🔄
79'
Tiago Galletto ↔ Vicente Cárcamo
Deportes Limache
🔄
79'
Maximiliano Guerrero ↔ Gonzalo Reyna
Universidad de Chile
🔄
79'
Agustín Arce ↔ Juan Martín Lucero
Universidad de Chile
🔄
79'
Fabián Hormazábal ↔ Nicolás Fernández
Universidad de Chile
🔄
85'
Javier Rojas ↔ Carlos Morales
Deportes Limache
🟨
90+5'
Jean Meneses
Deportes Limache
90'
Gonzalo Reyna
Universidad de Chile

Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Chile Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 71.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
71.7%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Deportes Limache Win 23.6%
Draw 4.7%
Universidad de Chile Win 71.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Deportes Limache1.53
Universidad de Chile1.52
Recent Form (Last 5)
Deportes Limache Deportes Limache
WWDLW
45 GF / 38 GA
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile
WLDWL
36 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.96
Average Goals Scored
1.44
1.65
Average Goals Conceded
0.88
17
BTTS Yes
10
17
Over 2.5
11
4.65
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Deportes Limache Deportes Limache 23 matches
Universidad de Chile Universidad de Chile 25 matches
Deportes Limache Statistic Universidad de Chile
9 Wins 13
5 Draws 7
9 Losses 5
45 Goals For 36
38 Goals Against 22
1.96 Avg Goals Scored 1.44
1.65 Avg Goals Conceded 0.88
17 BTTS Yes 10
21 Over 1.5 15
17 Over 2.5 11
14 Over 3.5 6
3 Clean Sheets 11
3 Failed To Score 7
4.65 Shots On Goal 5.06
11.59 Total Shots 13.5
4.24 Corners 5.89
44.4% Ball Possession 57.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Universidad de Chile look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universidad de Chile. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Deportes Limache expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Universidad de Chile in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universidad de Chile having the stronger overall control. Universidad de Chile carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 30 points while Deportes Limache sit 10 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Deportes Limache Analysis

With 21 points from 16 games and a place of 10, Deportes Limache still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 31:26, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Daniel Castro (4 goals), Gonzalo Sosa (3 goals), Jean Meneses (1 goals), with creative support from Daniel Castro (3 assists), Jean Meneses (3 assists), Joaquín Montecinos (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Universidad de Chile Analysis

Operating from 2 place with 30 points from 17 games, Universidad de Chile bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 8 wins, 6 draws, and 3 defeats plus a goal balance of 21:11, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Eduardo Vargas (5 goals), Agustín Arce (2 goals), Fabián Hormazábal (1 goals), with creative support from Lucas Assadi (3 assists), Eduardo Vargas (1 assists), Fabián Hormazábal (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which underlines a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Deportes Limache won 1 times, Universidad de Chile won 2 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:9 from Deportes Limache's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4.25 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)
Predicted formations: Deportes Limache 4-4-2 / Universidad de Chile 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Deportes Limache wins 1, draws 1, Universidad de Chile wins 2

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 17 3 3 48:22 26 54
D D W W D
2 23 13 3 7 50:33 17 42
W W W W L
3 23 12 6 5 35:19 16 42
W W L L W
4 23 10 6 7 37:25 12 36
W L W W D
5 23 11 3 9 36:33 3 36
L W L W W
6 23 10 3 10 43:35 8 33
L W W L W
7 23 8 8 7 28:31 -3 32
L L L L W
8 23 9 4 10 25:26 -1 31
D L W D W
9 23 7 9 7 34:38 -4 30
L W W D W
10 22 8 5 9 31:31 0 29
L L W L D
11 23 7 7 9 26:31 -5 28
W W L D D
12 23 8 3 12 28:36 -8 27
L W L L D
13 21 7 4 10 29:39 -10 25
D L L L L
14 23 7 3 13 34:44 -10 24
W L W D L
15 22 6 4 12 17:37 -20 22
L L W L L
16 23 4 5 14 19:40 -21 17
W L L D L