ECUADOR LIGA PRO
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jocay
Referee: G. Gonzalez
Delfin SC
Match Timeline
Aucas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
38'
Franco Ayunta
Delfin SC
🟨
40'
Santiago Morales
Aucas
🔄
46'
B. Oyola ↔ B. Carabali
Aucas
🔄
46'
M. Vera ↔ M. A. Carcelen Carabali
Aucas
🟨
53'
Michael Carcelén
Aucas
🔄
59'
R. Monti ↔ R. Bolanos
Aucas
🔄
64'
T. Ozaeta ↔ J. Arce
Delfin SC
🟨
67'
Anthony Bedoya
Delfin SC
67'
P. Guzman · Assist: A. Mena
Aucas
🔄
72'
A. Garcia ↔ S. Tapiero
Aucas
🔄
75'
D. Luna ↔ B. Pena
Delfin SC
🔄
75'
G. Heredia ↔ E. Espinoza
Delfin SC
🔄
75'
K. Ushina ↔ E. Caicedo
Delfin SC
🟨
77'
Erick Zúñiga
Delfin SC
🟨
79'
Jonathan Morocho
Delfin SC
🔄
87'
J. Morocho ↔ L. Castro
Delfin SC

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 67.4%
Odds 2.35
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.56
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
67.4%
2.35
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.56
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
73.5%
1.32
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Delfin SC Win 24.7%
Draw 7.9%
Aucas Win 67.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Delfin SC0.81
Aucas1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Delfin SC Delfin SC
WWDLW
18 GF / 27 GA
Aucas Aucas
WLDWL
30 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
1.11
1.04
Average Goals Conceded
1
9
BTTS Yes
9
7
Over 2.5
10
3.28
Shots on Goal
4.36

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Delfin SC Delfin SC 26 matches
Aucas Aucas 27 matches
Delfin SC Statistic Aucas
7 Wins 13
6 Draws 5
13 Losses 9
18 Goals For 30
27 Goals Against 27
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 1.11
1.04 Avg Goals Conceded 1
9 BTTS Yes 9
10 Over 1.5 14
7 Over 2.5 10
3 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 8
3.28 Shots On Goal 4.36
10.92 Total Shots 12.44
3.32 Corners 5.08
38.7% Ball Possession 50.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Aucas's more proactive style and Delfin SC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Delfin SC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Aucas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Delfin SC expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Aucas in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Aucas having the stronger overall control. Aucas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 41 points while Delfin SC sit 15 on 24, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Delfin SC Analysis

Delfin SC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 24 points from 25 matches. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 13 defeats, and the 17:27 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Erick Mendoza (3 goals), Kevin Ushiña (2 goals), Franco Ayunta (1 goals), with creative support from Kevin Ushiña (2 assists), Franco Ayunta (1 assists), Thiago Ozaeta (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Aucas Analysis

Aucas come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 41 points after 24 matches. They have recorded 12 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a 29:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on Bruno Miranda (5 goals), Ayrton Preciado (3 goals), Andres Mena (3 goals), with creative support from Ayrton Preciado (3 assists), Piero Guzmán (3 assists), Andres Mena (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Delfin SC won 3 times, Aucas won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:26 from Delfin SC's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.67 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
Predicted formations: Delfin SC 4-4-2 / Aucas 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Delfin SC wins 3, draws 5, Aucas wins 7
Stats
Delfin SC Delfin SC
Aucas Aucas
Shots on Goal
1
Shots on Goal
1
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
1
6 Corner Kicks 0
19 Fouls 19
2 Offsides 2
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 4
1 Shots on Goal 1
6 Shots off Goal 2
2 Blocked Shots 1
6 Shots insidebox 2
3 Shots outsidebox 2
0 Goalkeeper Saves 1
394 Total passes 299
312 Passes accurate 215
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Delfin SC
Formation
Aucas
B. Heras
B. Heras
E. Rubio
E. Rubio
A. Bedoya
A. Bedoya
O. Medina
O. Medina
E. Zuniga
E. Zuniga
G. Heredia
G. Heredia
J. Morocho
J. Morocho
K. Ushina
K. Ushina
D. Luna
D. Luna
T. Ozaeta
T. Ozaeta
F. Ayunta
F. Ayunta
H. Piedra
H. Piedra
A. Zova
A. Zova
M. Burdisso
M. Burdisso
S. Morales
S. Morales
A. Garcia
A. Garcia
A. L. Spina
A. L. Spina
B. Oyola
B. Oyola
P. Guzman
P. Guzman
A. Mena
🎯
A. Mena
M. Vera
M. Vera
R. Monti
R. Monti
Delfin SC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
21
B. Heras
G
17
E. Rubio
D
32
A. Bedoya
🟨 67'
D
5
O. Medina
14
E. Zuniga
🟨 77'
D
34
G. Heredia
↓ 75'
M
18
J. Morocho
↓ 87' 🟨 79'
M
78
K. Ushina
↓ 75'
M
10
D. Luna
↓ 75'
M
50
T. Ozaeta
↓ 64'
M
9
F. Ayunta
F
Substitutes
22
J. Cardenas
G
33
A. A. Cisneros Montenegro
D
3
D. Aimar
D
77
B. Hernandez
D
80
B. Pena
↑ 75'
51
C. Banguera
M
8
K. Moreno
M
16
L. Castro
↑ 87'
M
70
E. Espinoza
↑ 75'
31
J. Arce
↑ 64'
D
23
L. Cornejo
M
39
E. Caicedo
↑ 75'
F
20
I. Molano
D
Aucas 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
13
H. Piedra
G
37
A. Zova
D
4
M. Burdisso
D
2
S. Morales
🟨 40'
D
63
A. Garcia
↓ 72'
D
6
A. L. Spina
M
30
B. Oyola
↓ 46'
M
21
P. Guzman
⚽ 67'
M
18
A. Mena
🎯 67'
M
57
M. Vera
↓ 46'
M
9
R. Monti
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
12
J. Cabezas
G
31
B. Carabali
↑ 46'
D
5
T. Serpa
M
14
S. Tapiero
↑ 72'
M
34
M. A. Carcelen Carabali
↑ 46' 🟨 53'
M
20
D. S. Espinosa
F
7
J. M. Andrade
F
17
C. Zambrano
F
11
R. Bolanos
↑ 59'
Last matches: Delfin SC
28.08.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
0
1
L
15.08.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
2
3
L
09.08.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
04.08.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
2
L
26.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
21.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
2
1
W
15.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
1
0
W
11.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
2
L
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
31.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
0
1
L
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
16.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Universidad Catolica
2
2
D
09.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Tecnico Universitario
0
4
L
03.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
28.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
19.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
0
0
D
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
Last matches: Aucas
17.08.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
1
L
08.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
3
0
W
02.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
26.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
4
L
23.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
16.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
0
3
L
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
08.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
26.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Manta FC
3
1
W
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
09.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Universidad Catolica
2
1
W
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
28.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
W
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
24.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
3
2
W
H2H: Delfin SC vs Aucas
28.04.26
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
0
L
13.12.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
11.11.25
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
8
0
L
26.07.25
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
2
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
1
1
D
24.11.24
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
2
0
L
26.05.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
0
W
25.11.23
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
0
0
D
11.06.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
0
W
19.07.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
0
D
26.02.22
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
3
0
L
18.09.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
1
2
L
31.03.21
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
3
3
D
14.10.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
2
D
15.02.20
H2H
Aucas
Delfin SC
1
2
W
Last matches: Delfin SC
09.08.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Orense SC
1
1
D
26.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Leones del Norte
0
1
L
18.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Macara
2
1
W
05.07.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Emelec
1
1
D
24.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Barcelona SC
1
2
L
03.05.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Mushuc Runa SC
1
0
W
22.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Independiente del Valle
0
1
L
11.04.26
Lig
Delfin SC
LDU de Quito
1
0
W
21.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Libertad
0
0
D
14.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Manta FC
0
1
L
07.03.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Guayaquil City FC
1
0
W
22.02.26
Lig
Delfin SC
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
14.02.26
Fri
Delfin SC
LDU Portoviejo
1
0
W
H2H at home: Delfin SC
13.12.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
L
05.04.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
0
W
11.06.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
0
W
19.07.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
0
D
18.09.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
1
2
L
14.10.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
2
D
Last matches: Aucas
02.08.26
Lig
Aucas
Emelec
2
0
W
23.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Orense SC
1
2
L
19.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Tecnico Universitario
1
0
W
12.07.26
Lig
Aucas
Deportivo Cuenca
1
0
W
31.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Mushuc Runa SC
0
0
D
17.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
3
L
02.05.26
Lig
Aucas
Libertad
2
3
L
23.04.26
Lig
Aucas
LDU de Quito
0
0
D
17.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Leones del Norte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Lig
Aucas
Macara
1
0
W
14.03.26
Lig
Aucas
Independiente del Valle
2
2
D
28.02.26
Lig
Aucas
Guayaquil City FC
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Aucas
Barcelona SC
0
1
L
H2H away: Aucas
13.12.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
1
W
05.04.25
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
1
1
D
26.05.24
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
0
L
11.06.23
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
0
L
19.07.22
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
0
0
D
18.09.21
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
1
2
W
14.10.20
H2H
Delfin SC
Aucas
2
2
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.35
Draw 2.93
Home 3.48
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.08
Draw 1.99
Home 4.23
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.48
Over 1.75 1.62
Over 2.0 1.88
Over 2.25 2.22
Over 2.5 2.56
Over 3.5 4.88
Under 0.5 6.58
Under 1.5 2.63
Under 1.75 2.29
Under 2.0 1.93
Under 2.25 1.66
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 3.5 1.17
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 3.00
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 1.95
Home 4.00
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.20
Home 3.50
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 1.5 1.50
Over 2.5 2.50
Over 3.5 5.00
Over 4.5 11.00
Over 5.5 26.00
Over 6.5 51.00
Under 0.5 7.00
Under 1.5 2.50
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 3.5 1.17
Under 4.5 1.05
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.33
Draw 2.92
Home 3.36
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.04
Draw 1.81
Home 4.25
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.62
Draw 2.16
Home 3.66
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.06
Over 0.75 1.08
Over 1.0 1.12
Over 1.25 1.30
Over 1.5 1.46
Over 1.75 1.63
Over 2.0 1.83
Over 2.25 2.14
Over 2.5 2.49
Over 2.75 2.90
Over 3.0 4.04
Over 3.25 4.22
Over 3.5 4.85
Over 3.75 5.90
Over 4.0 10.20
Over 4.5 9.95
Over 5.5 19.00
Over 6.5 50.00
Under 0.5 6.10
Under 0.75 5.50
Under 1.0 4.92
Under 1.25 3.12
Under 1.5 2.46
Under 1.75 2.19
Under 2.0 1.85
Under 2.25 1.62
Under 2.5 1.50
Under 2.75 1.33
Under 3.0 1.20
Under 3.25 1.16
Under 3.5 1.14
Under 3.75 1.07
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.01
Under 5.5 1.01
Under 6.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.28
Draw 3.00
Home 3.05
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.07
Over 1.5 1.42
Over 2.5 2.32
Over 3.5 4.25
Under 0.5 6.25
Under 1.5 2.60
Under 2.5 1.52
Under 3.5 1.17

Standings

Liga Pro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 22 1 3 64:26 38 67
W W W W W
2
Aucas Away
26 13 5 8 30:26 4 44
W L W W L
3 26 12 7 7 45:23 22 43
W D L W D
4 26 12 6 8 33:26 7 42
L D W W W
5 26 12 5 9 26:20 6 41
W W L W W
6 26 10 9 7 28:20 8 39
W D L D L
7 26 10 7 9 29:29 0 37
W D W W W
8 27 9 9 9 33:34 -1 36
W D D W W
9 26 9 8 9 28:28 0 35
L W L D W
10 26 8 9 9 25:29 -4 33
W D D L D
11 27 9 5 13 23:35 -12 32
L D L L L
12 26 8 6 12 30:39 -9 30
L W D L L
13 26 8 8 10 21:31 -10 29
L W D L L
14 27 9 2 16 26:38 -12 29
W L L L L
15 27 6 6 15 17:29 -12 24
L L L D L
16 26 4 5 17 12:37 -25 17
L L W L L
Play-offs
Relegation Playoffs