ARGENTINA PRIMERA B METROPOLITANA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Gigante de Villa Fox
Defensores Unidos
Match Timeline
Excursionistas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
27'
M. Fernandez
Excursionistas
🟨
38'
A. Baigorria
Defensores Unidos
🟨
55'
S. Iribarne
Defensores Unidos
🔄
57'
S. Patroni ↔ M. Ortigoza
Defensores Unidos
🔄
60'
J. Pereyra ↔ I. Arbello
Excursionistas
🔄
65'
T. Girard ↔ A. Sombra
Defensores Unidos
🔄
66'
H. Tello ↔ K. Redondo
Defensores Unidos
🔄
71'
M. Blanco ↔ E. Scaramuzzi
Excursionistas
🔄
72'
A. Baigorria ↔ L. Montani
Defensores Unidos
🔄
72'
M. Lopez ↔ S. Herrera
Defensores Unidos
🔄
73'
M. Polvera ↔ W. Gimenez
Excursionistas
81'
I. Arbello
Excursionistas
🔄
84'
A. Paulides ↔ M. Lopez
Excursionistas
🔄
84'
A. Avalos ↔ M. Cardozo
Excursionistas
88'
W. Gimenez
Excursionistas
🟨
90+8'
G. Zoratti
Excursionistas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.7%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.7%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Defensores Unidos Win 36.1%
Draw 13.3%
Excursionistas Win 50.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Defensores Unidos0.78
Excursionistas1.33
Recent Form (Last 5)
Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos
WWDLW
20 GF / 27 GA
Excursionistas Excursionistas
WLDWL
35 GF / 17 GA
Key Stats
0.83
Average Goals Scored
1.46
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.71
12
BTTS Yes
10
6
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Defensores Unidos Defensores Unidos 24 matches
Excursionistas Excursionistas 24 matches
Defensores Unidos Statistic Excursionistas
5 Wins 13
9 Draws 6
10 Losses 5
20 Goals For 35
27 Goals Against 17
0.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.46
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.71
12 BTTS Yes 10
16 Over 1.5 15
6 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
4 Clean Sheets 11
9 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Excursionistas's more proactive style and Defensores Unidos's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Excursionistas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Excursionistas having the stronger overall control. Defensores Unidos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Excursionistas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 42 points while Defensores Unidos sit 17 on 23, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Defensores Unidos Analysis

Defensores Unidos sit 17 with 23 points after 21 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 18:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses points to a very strong split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Excursionistas Analysis

Excursionistas come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 42 points from 21 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 6 draws, and 3 losses with goals at 28:12 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Defensores Unidos won 4 times, Excursionistas won 7 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:16 from Defensores Unidos's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.7%)
H2H summary: Defensores Unidos wins 4, draws 1, Excursionistas wins 7

Lineups

Defensores Unidos
Formation
Excursionistas
F. Henricot
F. Henricot
M. Gimenez
M. Gimenez
T. Ferreyra
T. Ferreyra
S. Iribarne
S. Iribarne
F. Suarez
F. Suarez
M. N. Alarcon
M. N. Alarcon
H. Tello
H. Tello
A. Baigorria
A. Baigorria
S. Patroni
S. Patroni
T. Girard
T. Girard
M. Lopez
M. Lopez
M. Polvera
M. Polvera
N. Rodriguez
N. Rodriguez
M. Fernandez
M. Fernandez
I. Maizarez
I. Maizarez
G. Pedrosa
G. Pedrosa
G. Rodriguez
G. Rodriguez
A. Avalos
A. Avalos
G. Zoratti
G. Zoratti
M. Blanco
M. Blanco
A. Paulides
A. Paulides
J. Pereyra
J. Pereyra
Defensores Unidos 1 (estimated)
Starting XI
10
M. Gimenez
F
4
T. Ferreyra
1
F. Henricot
G
2
S. Iribarne
🟨 55'
6
F. Suarez
3
M. N. Alarcon
8
H. Tello
↓ 66'
5
A. Baigorria
↓ 72' 🟨 38'
11
S. Patroni
↓ 57'
7
T. Girard
↓ 65'
9
M. Lopez
↓ 72'
Substitutes
12
F. Salerno
13
A. Lorenzo
14
K. Redondo
↑ 66'
15
M. Rapetti
D
16
A. Sombra
↑ 65'
F
17
L. Montani
↑ 72'
18
M. Ortigoza
↑ 57'
19
S. Herrera
↑ 72'
20
F. D'Andrea
Excursionistas 1 (estimated)
Starting XI
9
M. Polvera
↓ 73'
F
1
N. Rodriguez
4
M. Fernandez
🟨 27'
2
I. Maizarez
6
G. Pedrosa
3
G. Rodriguez
8
A. Avalos
↓ 84'
5
G. Zoratti
🟨 90+8'
10
M. Blanco
↓ 71'
11
A. Paulides
↓ 84'
7
J. Pereyra
↓ 60'
Substitutes
12
M. Blengio
13
D. Ledesma
14
E. Scaramuzzi
↑ 71'
15
L. Chambi
16
M. Lopez
↑ 84'
17
W. Gimenez
⚽ 88' ↑ 73'
18
I. Arbello
⚽ 81' ↑ 60'
19
M. Cardozo
↑ 84'
20
G. Tellas
Last matches: Defensores Unidos
25.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa Dalmine
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Arsenal Sarandi
1
3
L
05.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
27.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Talleres Remedios
0
1
L
20.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
13.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Brown DE Adrogue
1
1
D
06.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Armenio
0
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Flandria
1
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa Dalmine
2
1
W
23.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino Quilmes
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Ituzaingó
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Comunicaciones
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Dock Sud
0
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Merlo
1
1
D
20.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Camioneros
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
11.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
San Martín Burzaco
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Liniers
1
1
D
Last matches: Excursionistas
25.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
1
1
D
18.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
0
0
D
10.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
2
L
04.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
3
L
27.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
5
0
W
20.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Camioneros
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1
0
W
06.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
San Martín Burzaco
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
2
2
D
22.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
4
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Real Pilar
1
0
W
08.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
UAI Urquiza
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Arsenal Sarandi
0
1
L
14.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
10.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Talleres Remedios
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Brown DE Adrogue
1
0
W
H2H: Defensores Unidos vs Excursionistas
14.07.26
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
0
2
L
04.03.26
H2H
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
1
0
L
01.04.18
H2H
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
1
2
W
04.11.17
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
0
W
13.07.15
H2H
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
1
0
L
28.02.15
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
2
L
15.03.14
H2H
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
2
1
L
02.10.13
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
2
L
26.04.13
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
4
1
W
04.11.12
H2H
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
0
1
W
10.03.12
H2H
Excursionistas
Defensores Unidos
3
1
L
25.09.11
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
1
D
Last matches: Defensores Unidos
25.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
UAI Urquiza
1
1
D
05.07.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
13.06.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Brown DE Adrogue
1
1
D
31.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Flandria
1
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa Dalmine
2
1
W
16.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Ituzaingó
2
1
W
09.05.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Comunicaciones
1
1
D
25.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Merlo
1
1
D
14.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Sportivo Italiano
2
0
W
04.04.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Real Pilar
1
2
L
27.02.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Arsenal Sarandi
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
30.10.22
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Villa San Carlos
2
1
W
15.10.22
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Fénix
1
0
W
02.10.22
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Argentino Quilmes
4
1
W
18.09.22
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Colegiales
1
2
L
03.09.22
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Talleres Remedios
2
0
W
13.08.22
Pri
Defensores Unidos
UAI Urquiza
2
1
W
30.07.22
Pri
Defensores Unidos
Deportivo Armenio
0
1
L
H2H at home: Defensores Unidos
14.07.26
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
0
2
L
04.11.17
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
0
W
28.02.15
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
2
L
02.10.13
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
2
L
26.04.13
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
4
1
W
25.09.11
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
1
D
Last matches: Excursionistas
25.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Flandria
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
1
3
L
13.06.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Sportivo Italiano
1
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa San Carlos
2
0
W
27.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino Quilmes
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Real Pilar
1
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
0
1
L
25.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Ituzaingó
3
1
W
14.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Laferrere
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Comunicaciones
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Merlo
2
1
W
28.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Argentino de Merlo
0
4
L
15.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Villa Dalmine
1
2
L
02.11.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Fénix
5
1
W
12.10.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Liniers
0
1
L
27.09.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Deportivo Armenio
1
2
L
13.09.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Sacachispas
1
1
D
29.08.25
Pri
Excursionistas
Dock Sud
0
1
L
H2H away: Excursionistas
14.07.26
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
0
2
W
04.11.17
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
0
L
28.02.15
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
2
W
02.10.13
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
2
W
26.04.13
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
4
1
L
25.09.11
H2H
Defensores Unidos
Excursionistas
1
1
D

Standings

Prim B Metro
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 15 7 5 31:13 18 52
W W L D W
2 27 14 9 4 37:19 18 51
D W L W W
3 27 14 8 5 38:18 20 50
D D W L L
4 27 14 8 5 33:17 16 50
W W W L W
5 27 13 10 4 30:14 16 49
D D D W W
6 27 12 9 6 27:21 6 45
D W W W D
7 27 11 7 9 31:30 1 40
W L L W D
8 27 10 8 9 31:28 3 38
L W D W L
9 27 10 8 9 30:31 -1 38
D D W D D
10 27 10 8 9 29:32 -3 38
L W W D W
11 27 9 9 9 32:40 -8 36
L D W D L
12 27 9 8 10 26:25 1 35
L D L W D
13 27 8 11 8 26:25 1 35
L L W D D
14 27 7 11 9 27:25 2 32
D W D L W
15 27 7 11 9 25:28 -3 32
D D W L L
16 27 6 10 11 18:27 -9 28
D D L L D
17 27 7 6 14 21:33 -12 27
D L W D L
18 27 6 9 12 17:29 -12 27
W L L D D
19 27 5 11 11 21:30 -9 26
D D L L D
20 27 5 10 12 26:34 -8 25
W L L D W
21 27 3 16 8 13:23 -10 25
D L D D L
22 27 1 8 18 18:45 -27 11
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional
Promotion - Primera B (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Primera C (Apertura)