SPAIN SEGUNDA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Municipal Reino de León
Referee: J. Sanchez
Cultural Leonesa
Match Timeline
Burgos
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Yayo González
Cultural Leonesa
🟨
5'
Matia Barzić
Cultural Leonesa
7'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Burgos
45'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
Burgos
🟨
48'
Iván Morante
Burgos
🟨
65'
Lucas Ribeiro
Cultural Leonesa
🟨
65'
Kevin Appin
Burgos
🔄
67'
D. Collado ↔ R. Sobrino
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
67'
N. Radoja ↔ T. Ojeda
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
67'
V. Moreno ↔ A. Morante
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
67'
S. Gonzalez ↔ O. Luengo
Burgos
🔄
67'
I. Morante ↔ P. Galdames
Burgos
🟨
69'
David González
Burgos
🔄
79'
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros ↔ V. Mollejo
Burgos
🔄
79'
K. Appin ↔ M. Mejia
Burgos
🟨
82'
Thiago Ojeda
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
84'
Bicho ↔ M. Diallo Selu
Cultural Leonesa
🔄
89'
F. Nino ↔ M. Exposito
Burgos

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
85.2%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cultural Leonesa Win 26.3%
Draw 3.5%
Burgos Win 70.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cultural Leonesa1
Burgos1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
WWDLW
49 GF / 72 GA
Burgos Burgos
WLDWL
51 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
1.11
Average Goals Scored
1.16
1.64
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
23
BTTS Yes
18
24
Over 2.5
15
4.14
Shots on Goal
2.95

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa 44 matches
Burgos Burgos 44 matches
Cultural Leonesa Statistic Burgos
12 Wins 21
9 Draws 12
23 Losses 11
49 Goals For 51
72 Goals Against 37
1.11 Avg Goals Scored 1.16
1.64 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
23 BTTS Yes 18
30 Over 1.5 25
24 Over 2.5 15
13 Over 3.5 7
8 Clean Sheets 18
16 Failed To Score 15
4.14 Shots On Goal 2.95
11.23 Total Shots 9.52
3.61 Corners 3.75
46.7% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Burgos's more proactive style and Cultural Leonesa's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cultural Leonesa expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Burgos in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Burgos having the stronger overall control. Cultural Leonesa have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Burgos carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 66 points while Cultural Leonesa sit 21 on 36, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Burgos.

Cultural Leonesa Analysis

Cultural Leonesa sit 21 with 36 points after 40 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 9 wins, 9 draws, and 22 losses, together with goals at 38:65, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through L. Chacon (8 goals), M. Justo (5 goals), L. Ribeiro (4 goals), with creative support from I. Calero (5 assists), Rafa Tresaco (4 assists), L. Chacon (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 11 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Burgos Analysis

So far, Burgos have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 66 points from 40 matches. Their overall return of 18 wins, 12 draws, and 10 losses with goals at 45:33 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (10 goals), F. Nino (7 goals), Curro (6 goals), with creative support from D. Gonzalez Ballesteros (5 assists), Curro (4 assists), Iván Morante (4 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 9 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cultural Leonesa won 2 times, Burgos won 5 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:13 from Cultural Leonesa's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.63 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.6%)
Predicted formations: Cultural Leonesa 4-2-3-1 / Burgos 4-4-2
H2H summary: Cultural Leonesa wins 2, draws 1, Burgos wins 5
Stats
Cultural Leonesa Cultural Leonesa
Burgos Burgos
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
7
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
1
9 Corner Kicks 0
13 Fouls 16
0 Offsides 4
76% Ball Possession 24%
16 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Goal 4
7 Shots off Goal 4
5 Blocked Shots 1
8 Shots insidebox 9
8 Shots outsidebox 0
2 Goalkeeper Saves 4
543 Total passes 167
489 Passes accurate 118
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cultural Leonesa
Formation
Burgos
E. Badia
E. Badia
V. Garcia
V. Garcia
M. Barzic
M. Barzic
Q. Fornos
Q. Fornos
R. Hinojo
R. Hinojo
L. Ribeiro
L. Ribeiro
Bicho
Bicho
N. Radoja
N. Radoja
V. Moreno
V. Moreno
L. Chacon
L. Chacon
D. Collado
D. Collado
A. Cantero
A. Cantero
A. Lizancos
A. Lizancos
S. Gonzalez
S. Gonzalez
G. Sierra
G. Sierra
F. Miguel
F. Miguel
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
⚽ 2
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
I. Morante
I. Morante
M. Atienza
M. Atienza
I. Cordoba
I. Cordoba
F. Nino
F. Nino
K. Appin
K. Appin
Cultural Leonesa 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
E. Badia
G
24
V. Garcia
D
36
M. Barzic
🟨 5'
D
5
Q. Fornos
D
21
R. Hinojo
D
15
L. Ribeiro
🟨 65'
M
14
Bicho
↓ 84'
M
22
N. Radoja
↓ 67'
M
11
V. Moreno
↓ 67'
M
10
L. Chacon
F
7
D. Collado
↓ 67'
F
Substitutes
1
M. Banuz
G
26
A. Rafus
G
19
R. Sobrino
↑ 67'
F
6
S. Maestre
M
2
P. Rodriguez
D
8
Y. Gonzalez
🟨 -5'
M
3
E. Satrustegui
D
16
T. Ribeiro
D
28
T. Ojeda
↑ 67' 🟨 82'
M
23
M. Diallo Selu
↑ 84'
M
39
A. Morante
↑ 67'
F
Burgos 4-4-2
Starting XI
13
A. Cantero
G
2
A. Lizancos
D
6
S. Gonzalez
↓ 67'
D
8
G. Sierra
D
12
F. Miguel
D
14
D. Gonzalez Ballesteros
⚽ 7' ⚽ 45' ↓ 79' 🟨 69'
M
23
I. Morante
↓ 67' 🟨 48'
M
5
M. Atienza
M
21
I. Cordoba
M
9
F. Nino
↓ 89'
F
10
K. Appin
↓ 79' 🟨 65'
F
Substitutes
1
J. Ruiz
G
15
A. Bunuel
D
3
O. Luengo
↑ 67'
D
11
V. Mollejo
↑ 79'
F
28
S. del Cerro
M
30
H. F. Cuenca Martinez
M
31
F. Garcia
M
4
P. Galdames
↑ 67'
M
7
M. Mejia
↑ 79'
F
22
B. Martinez
D
33
M. Exposito
↑ 89'
M
17
M. Cantero
M
Last matches: Cultural Leonesa
30.05.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Real Sociedad II
1
1
D
16.05.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Eibar
2
1
W
09.05.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Albacete
1
2
L
02.05.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Cadiz
2
2
D
26.04.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Mirandes
1
2
L
18.04.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Cordoba
1
2
L
12.04.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Granada CF
0
1
L
04.04.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Valladolid
1
0
W
01.04.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Huesca
1
1
D
29.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
FC Andorra
0
4
L
23.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Castellón
1
1
D
14.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Racing Santander
1
2
L
09.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Almeria
0
3
L
01.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Las Palmas
0
3
L
21.02.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Leganes
1
1
D
14.02.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Zaragoza
0
0
D
08.02.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Malaga
1
2
L
31.01.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Deportivo La Coruna
0
1
L
26.01.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
AD Ceuta FC
1
3
L
17.01.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Sporting Gijon
2
4
L
Last matches: Burgos
18.07.26
Fri
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
2
0
W
31.05.26
Seg
Burgos
FC Andorra
1
0
W
16.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Granada CF
1
0
W
09.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Almeria
0
0
D
03.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
0
0
D
25.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Deportivo La Coruna
1
1
D
18.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Castellón
1
3
L
11.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
1
0
W
04.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Albacete
3
2
W
01.04.26
Seg
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
1
1
D
28.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Valladolid
1
0
W
22.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Cordoba
4
0
W
15.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Eibar
0
0
D
07.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Mirandes
2
0
W
28.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Zaragoza
1
0
W
22.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Racing Santander
0
1
L
14.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Cadiz
1
1
D
07.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Las Palmas
0
0
D
31.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Leganes
2
1
W
23.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Malaga
0
3
L
H2H: Cultural Leonesa vs Burgos
24.05.26
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
0
2
L
15.08.25
H2H
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
5
1
L
09.08.24
H2H
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
0
1
W
26.07.23
H2H
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
1
0
L
20.02.21
H2H
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
2
1
L
29.11.20
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
1
1
D
09.02.20
H2H
Burgos
Cultural Leonesa
2
0
L
22.09.19
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
4
0
W
Last matches: Cultural Leonesa
16.05.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Eibar
2
1
W
02.05.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Cadiz
2
2
D
18.04.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Cordoba
1
2
L
04.04.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Valladolid
1
0
W
29.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
FC Andorra
0
4
L
14.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Racing Santander
1
2
L
01.03.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Las Palmas
0
3
L
14.02.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Zaragoza
0
0
D
31.01.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Deportivo La Coruna
0
1
L
17.01.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Sporting Gijon
2
4
L
13.01.26
Cop
Cultural Leonesa
Athletic Club
3
4
L
03.01.26
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Real Sociedad II
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Cultural Leonesa
Levante
1
0
W
12.12.25
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Huesca
0
2
L
03.12.25
Cop
Cultural Leonesa
FC Andorra
4
2
W
29.11.25
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Granada CF
0
1
L
17.11.25
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Malaga
1
0
W
01.11.25
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Mirandes
3
2
W
25.10.25
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
AD Ceuta FC
0
1
L
06.10.25
Seg
Cultural Leonesa
Albacete
0
0
D
H2H at home: Cultural Leonesa
24.05.26
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
0
2
L
29.11.20
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
1
1
D
22.09.19
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
4
0
W
Last matches: Burgos
16.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Granada CF
1
0
W
03.05.26
Seg
Burgos
Real Sociedad II
0
0
D
18.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Castellón
1
3
L
04.04.26
Seg
Burgos
Albacete
3
2
W
28.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Valladolid
1
0
W
15.03.26
Seg
Burgos
Eibar
0
0
D
28.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Zaragoza
1
0
W
22.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Racing Santander
0
1
L
07.02.26
Seg
Burgos
Las Palmas
0
0
D
23.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Malaga
0
3
L
03.01.26
Seg
Burgos
Cordoba
0
2
L
14.12.25
Seg
Burgos
Almeria
2
1
W
04.12.25
Cop
Burgos
Zaragoza
1
0
W
29.11.25
Seg
Burgos
AD Ceuta FC
0
1
L
16.11.25
Seg
Burgos
Mirandes
2
0
W
01.11.25
Seg
Burgos
Leganes
2
1
W
28.10.25
Cop
Burgos
Atlético Tordesillas
2
1
W
20.10.25
Seg
Burgos
Cadiz
3
1
W
04.10.25
Seg
Burgos
Huesca
1
2
L
14.09.25
Seg
Burgos
Sporting Gijon
3
2
W
H2H away: Burgos
24.05.26
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
0
2
W
29.11.20
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
1
1
D
22.09.19
H2H
Cultural Leonesa
Burgos
4
0
L

Standings

Segunda División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 42 25 7 10 90:61 29 82
W D W W W
2 42 22 11 9 65:44 21 77
L W W W W
3 42 22 8 12 81:63 18 74
L D W D W
4 42 21 10 11 75:52 23 73
W D D W W
5 42 20 13 9 57:40 17 73
D L W D W
6 42 20 12 10 70:51 19 72
L D W W D
7 42 20 12 10 48:33 15 72
W W W D D
8 42 19 10 13 52:40 12 67
L W L W L
9 42 18 7 17 60:54 6 61
W W W L L
10 42 17 10 15 57:61 -4 61
D L L W W
11 42 17 10 15 51:63 -12 61
W W L D W
12 42 16 11 15 56:55 1 59
L W W W W
13 42 16 10 16 62:54 8 58
L L L W L
14 42 12 12 18 50:56 -6 48
L L L L W
15 42 12 11 19 52:61 -9 47
D L D W D
16 42 11 13 18 43:51 -8 46
W L D L L
17 42 12 10 20 44:57 -13 46
L L L W L
18 42 11 10 21 41:61 -20 43
L W D L D
19 42 10 10 22 47:69 -22 40
L W D L L
20 42 9 11 22 41:63 -22 38
D L D L L
21 42 9 10 23 39:68 -29 37
D L W L D
22 42 8 12 22 35:59 -24 36
L D L L L
Promotion
Promotion Play-offs
Relegation