COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
05.09.2026 23:10
Estadio General Santander
Referee: Wilmar Roldan
Cucuta
Match Timeline
Deportivo Pasto
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
-5'
Leison Ochoa
Cucuta
14'
P. Preciado · Assist: J. Perlaza
Deportivo Pasto
16'
Neneco · Assist: L. Berdugo
Cucuta
🟨
19'
Carlos Rentería
Cucuta
🔄
28'
M. B. Carabali Lopez ↔ J. E. Manyoma Cordoba
Cucuta
31'
B. Montano
Cucuta
🟨
46'
Carlos Rentería
Cucuta
🟥
46'
Carlos Rentería
Cucuta
🔄
46'
E. C. Serje Orozco ↔ D. Osede
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
46'
H. Mancilla ↔ Y. Goez
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
46'
D. Chavez ↔ M. Gil
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
51'
Santiago Jiménez
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
52'
B. Rodriguez ↔ V. Mejia
Cucuta
🔄
52'
J. Rios ↔ H. Valencia
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
66'
Heiler Moreno
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
69'
M. Pisano ↔ A. Ibarguen
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
74'
Yair Joao Abonia Vasquez
Cucuta
🟨
77'
Jader Manyoma
Cucuta
🟨
77'
Patrick Preciado
Deportivo Pasto
🔄
83'
↔ L. Ochoa
Cucuta
🔄
83'
L. Berdugo ↔ K. Londono
Cucuta
84'
P. Preciado · Assist: N. Gil
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
85'
Patrick Preciado
Deportivo Pasto
🟥
85'
Patrick Preciado
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
88'
Nicolas Gil Uribe
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
90+8'
Kevin Londoño
Cucuta
🟨
90+2'
Heiler Moreno
Deportivo Pasto
🟨
90+1'
Yeiler Góez
Deportivo Pasto
🟥
90+2'
Heiler Moreno
Deportivo Pasto

Cucuta vs Deportivo Pasto Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 55%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 80.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.7%
-
BTTS No
55%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
80.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
85.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cucuta Win 55.7%
Draw 8.8%
Deportivo Pasto Win 35.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cucuta1.21
Deportivo Pasto1.44
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cucuta Cucuta
WWDLW
29 GF / 47 GA
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto
WLDWL
36 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.07
Average Goals Scored
1.24
1.74
Average Goals Conceded
1.41
17
BTTS Yes
15
12
Over 2.5
14
3.38
Shots on Goal
3.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cucuta Cucuta 27 matches
Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 29 matches
Cucuta Statistic Deportivo Pasto
5 Wins 11
10 Draws 5
12 Losses 13
29 Goals For 36
47 Goals Against 41
1.07 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
1.74 Avg Goals Conceded 1.41
17 BTTS Yes 15
23 Over 1.5 22
12 Over 2.5 14
9 Over 3.5 6
5 Clean Sheets 8
6 Failed To Score 8
3.38 Shots On Goal 3.61
8.73 Total Shots 11.64
3.62 Corners 4.14
43.3% Ball Possession 51.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Deportivo Pasto's more proactive style and Cucuta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Deportivo Pasto carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 34 points while Cucuta sit 19 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Deportivo Pasto. Deportivo Pasto arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta sit 19 with 16 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jaime Peralta (2 goals), Lucas Ríos (1 goals), with creative support from Leider Berdugo (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Deportivo Pasto Analysis

Deportivo Pasto approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 3 with 34 points from 19 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 29:25, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Santiago Córdoba (1 goals), Jorge Obregón (1 goals), Joider Micolta (1 goals), with creative support from Santiago Córdoba (1 assists), Hervin Goyes (1 assists), Diego Chávez (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cucuta won 0 times, Deportivo Pasto won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Cucuta's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.2%)
Predicted formations: Cucuta 4-2-3-1 / Deportivo Pasto 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cucuta wins 0, draws 1, Deportivo Pasto wins 3

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W W D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W D D L
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
D L W W L
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification