ENGLAND › PREMIER LEAGUE
24.05.2026 15:00
Selhurst Park
Referee: F. Hallam
Crystal Palace
Match Timeline
Arsenal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
42'
Gabriel Jesus · Assist: G. Martinelli
Arsenal
🔄
46'
D. Munoz ↔ T. Mitchell
Crystal Palace
🔄
46'
I. Sarr ↔ Y. Pino
Crystal Palace
🔄
46'
D. Kamada ↔ A. Wharton
Crystal Palace
🔄
46'
C. Norgaard ↔ K. Havertz
Arsenal
🔄
46'
R. Calafiori ↔ Gabriel
Arsenal
⚽
48'
N. Madueke · Assist: K. Havertz
Arsenal
🔄
62'
↔ E. Guessand
Crystal Palace
🔄
62'
M. Dowman ↔ M. Merino
Arsenal
🟨
74'
Gabriel Jesus
Arsenal
🔄
75'
Gabriel Jesus ↔ E. Eze
Arsenal
🔄
77'
J. S. Larsen ↔ J. Mateta
Crystal Palace
🔄
83'
N. Madueke ↔ V. Gyökeres
Arsenal
⚽
89'
J. Mateta · Assist: Y. Pino
Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 56.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 64.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
56.2%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS Yes
64.6%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
74.1%
- ▥
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
71.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Crystal Palace Win 43.8%
Draw 0%
Arsenal Win 56.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Crystal Palace1
Arsenal1.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Crystal Palace Crystal Palace
WWDLW
67 GF / 63 GA
Arsenal Arsenal
WLDWL
109 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.24
Average Goals Scored
1.98
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.65
28
BTTS Yes
25
30
Over 2.5
29
4.24
Shots on Goal
5.27

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Crystal Palace Crystal Palace 54 matches
Arsenal Arsenal 55 matches
Crystal Palace Statistic Arsenal
20 Wins 39
16 Draws 10
18 Losses 6
67 Goals For 109
63 Goals Against 36
1.24 Avg Goals Scored 1.98
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.65
28 BTTS Yes 25
39 Over 1.5 41
30 Over 2.5 29
11 Over 3.5 15
19 Clean Sheets 29
15 Failed To Score 4
4.24 Shots On Goal 5.27
13.02 Total Shots 14.87
4.39 Corners 5.76
49.1% Ball Possession 56%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Arsenal's more proactive style and Crystal Palace's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Arsenal. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crystal Palace expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Arsenal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arsenal having the stronger overall control. Arsenal look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Arsenal carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 82 points while Crystal Palace sit 15 on 45, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Crystal Palace Analysis

Crystal Palace approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 45 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats with a 40:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jean-Philippe Mateta (11 goals), I. Sarr (9 goals), Daniel Muñoz (4 goals), with creative support from Adam Wharton (5 assists), Daniel Muñoz (3 assists), M. Guehi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Arsenal Analysis

Arsenal come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 82 points after 37 matches. With 25 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 69:26, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Gyokeres (14 goals), B. Saka (7 goals), E. Eze (7 goals), with creative support from L. Trossard (6 assists), D. Rice (6 assists), M. Odegaard (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace won 1 times, Arsenal won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:32 from Crystal Palace's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Crystal Palace 3-4-2-1 / Arsenal 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Crystal Palace 3, Arsenal 2
H2H summary: Crystal Palace wins 1, draws 5, Arsenal wins 9

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 26 7 5 71:27 44 85
W W W W W
2 38 23 9 6 77:35 42 78
L D W W D
3 38 20 11 7 69:50 19 71
W W D W W
4 38 19 8 11 56:49 7 65
W W D L L
5 38 17 9 12 63:53 10 60
D L D L W
6 38 13 18 7 58:54 4 57
D D W W D
7 38 14 12 12 42:48 -6 54
W W D D L
8 38 14 11 13 52:46 6 53
L L W L W
9 38 14 11 13 55:52 3 53
D D L W L
10 38 14 10 14 58:52 6 52
L W D L L
11 38 15 7 16 47:51 -4 52
W D L L W
12 38 14 7 17 53:55 -2 49
L W D W L
13 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
L L D D L
14 38 11 14 13 49:56 -7 47
L W D W D
15 38 11 12 15 41:51 -10 45
L D L D L
16 38 11 11 16 48:51 -3 44
D L D W W
17 38 10 11 17 48:57 -9 41
W L D W W
18 38 10 9 19 46:65 -19 39
W L L L W
19 38 4 10 24 38:75 -37 22
D L D L L
20 38 3 11 24 27:68 -41 20
D D L D L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Championship