Crystal Palace vs Arsenal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
56.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
64.6%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
74.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.5%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-2 |
-
|
- |
Crystal Palace
Arsenal
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Crystal Palace
54 matches
Arsenal
55 matches
| Crystal Palace | Statistic | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wins | 39 |
| 16 | Draws | 10 |
| 18 | Losses | 6 |
| 67 | Goals For | 109 |
| 63 | Goals Against | 36 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.98 |
| 1.17 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.65 |
| 28 | BTTS Yes | 25 |
| 39 | Over 1.5 | 41 |
| 30 | Over 2.5 | 29 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 15 |
| 19 | Clean Sheets | 29 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.24 | Shots On Goal | 5.27 |
| 13.02 | Total Shots | 14.87 |
| 4.39 | Corners | 5.76 |
| 49.1% | Ball Possession | 56% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Arsenal's more proactive style and Crystal Palace's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Arsenal. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Crystal Palace expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Arsenal in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Arsenal having the stronger overall control. Arsenal look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Arsenal carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 82 points while Crystal Palace sit 15 on 45, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Crystal Palace approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 45 points from 37 matches. The overall return of 11 wins, 12 draws, and 14 defeats with a 40:49 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Jean-Philippe Mateta (11 goals), I. Sarr (9 goals), Daniel Muñoz (4 goals), with creative support from Adam Wharton (5 assists), Daniel Muñoz (3 assists), M. Guehi (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 9 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Arsenal come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 82 points after 37 matches. With 25 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 69:26, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by V. Gyokeres (14 goals), B. Saka (7 goals), E. Eze (7 goals), with creative support from L. Trossard (6 assists), D. Rice (6 assists), M. Odegaard (6 assists), and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, the split of 10 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Crystal Palace won 1 times, Arsenal won 9 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:32 from Crystal Palace's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
Away
|
38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 71:27 | 44 | 85 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 77:35 | 42 | 78 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 20 | 11 | 7 | 69:50 | 19 | 71 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 19 | 8 | 11 | 56:49 | 7 | 65 |
W
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 63:53 | 10 | 60 |
D
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 38 | 13 | 18 | 7 | 58:54 | 4 | 57 |
D
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 14 | 12 | 12 | 42:48 | -6 | 54 |
W
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 53 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 55:52 | 3 | 53 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 58:52 | 6 | 52 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 47:51 | -4 | 52 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 53:55 | -2 | 49 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 47:50 | -3 | 49 |
L
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 11 | 14 | 13 | 49:56 | -7 | 47 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
Home
|
38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 48:51 | -3 | 44 |
D
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48:57 | -9 | 41 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 46:65 | -19 | 39 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 4 | 10 | 24 | 38:75 | -37 | 22 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 27:68 | -41 | 20 |
D
D
L
D
L
|