Predictions & Statistics
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Cruzeiro Win 0%
Draw 0%
Sao Paulo Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cruzeiro1.25
Sao Paulo1.29
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cruzeiro
WWDLW
35 GF / 34 GA
Sao Paulo
WLDWL
23 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.11
15
BTTS Yes
10
14
Over 2.5
7
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.11
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
26 matches
Sao Paulo
18 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Sao Paulo |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 7 |
| 8 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 7 |
| 35 | Goals For | 23 |
| 34 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.28 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.11 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 10 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 14 | Over 2.5 | 7 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.11 |
| 13.63 | Total Shots | 11.83 |
| 4.75 | Corners | 6.56 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 53.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 4 times, Sao Paulo won 8 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:19 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Cruzeiro 4-2-3-1 / Sao Paulo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Cruzeiro wins 4, draws 3, Sao Paulo wins 8
Last matches: Cruzeiro
12.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Gremio
1
3
L
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
20.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Bahia
2
1
W
07.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Remo
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
08.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
4
L
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
18.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
1
2
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Botafogo
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Bahia
2
2
D
26.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Palmeiras
0
1
L
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
12.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
12.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Gremio
2
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
29.01.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Flamengo
2
1
W
H2H: Cruzeiro vs Sao Paulo
04.04.26
H2H
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
4
1
L
31.08.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
13.04.25
H2H
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
16.01.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
02.06.24
H2H
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
2
0
L
02.11.23
H2H
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
1
0
L
25.06.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
17.10.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
02.06.19
H2H
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
1
1
D
18.11.18
H2H
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
1
0
L
29.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
13.08.17
H2H
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
3
2
L
14.05.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
19.04.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
Last matches: Cruzeiro
04.07.26
Fri
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
1
1
D
29.05.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
4
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
1
3
L
29.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Gremio
2
0
W
15.04.26
CON
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
01.04.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
3
0
W
22.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Santos
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
3
3
D
25.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
1
1
D
06.02.26
Ser
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
1
2
L
H2H at home: Cruzeiro
31.08.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
16.01.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
25.06.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
17.10.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
29.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
14.05.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
W
19.04.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
2
L
Last matches: Sao Paulo
31.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Remo
0
1
L
16.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Corinthians
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Vitoria
0
2
L
01.04.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Internacional
1
1
D
18.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
RB Bragantino
2
1
W
25.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
1
0
W
04.02.26
Ser
Sao Paulo
Santos
1
1
D
H2H away: Sao Paulo
31.08.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
16.01.25
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
0
1
W
25.06.23
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
17.10.19
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
29.07.18
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
0
2
W
14.05.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
0
L
19.04.17
H2H
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
1
2
W
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 27:23 | 4 | 29 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Sao Paulo
Away
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B