Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
72.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Cruzeiro
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
29 matches
Mirassol
26 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 5 |
| 9 | Losses | 11 |
| 38 | Goals For | 30 |
| 36 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.15 |
| 1.24 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.19 |
| 16 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 12 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.59 | Shots On Goal | 4.23 |
| 13.93 | Total Shots | 12.73 |
| 4.89 | Corners | 5.31 |
| 55.6% | Ball Possession | 50.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mirassol. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Cruzeiro are currently 7 in the standings with 30 points from 21 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 7 losses, while the 27:30 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Matheus Pereira (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (5 goals), Christian (4 goals), with creative support from Christian (3 assists), Lucas Romero (3 assists), Fagner (3 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 23 points from 20 games and a place of 14, Mirassol still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 9 defeats with a 23:27 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Igor Formiga (4 goals), Negueba (2 goals), Edson Carioca (2 goals), with creative support from Alesson (4 assists), Reinaldo (3 assists), Igor Formiga (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 2 times, Mirassol won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:5 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.25 goals per game.
Cruzeiro
3
4
6
4
2
5
Lineups
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Internacional
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Flamengo
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Remo
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Gremio
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Fluminense
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Chapecoense-sc
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Corinthians
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Bahia
Mirassol
Lanus
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Botafogo
Cruzeiro
Defensor Sporting
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Vasco DA Gama
Mirassol
Atletico Paranaense
Mirassol
Lanus
Mirassol
Always Ready
Mirassol
Atletico-MG
Mirassol
Sao Paulo
Mirassol
Internacional
Mirassol
LDU de Quito
Mirassol
Botafogo
Mirassol
Vitoria
Mirassol
Palmeiras
Mirassol
Remo
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 23 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 40:19 | 21 | 48 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 44:19 | 25 | 45 |
W
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 31:20 | 11 | 41 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 34:28 | 6 | 38 |
W
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 5 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
23 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 36 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
| 6 | 23 | 8 | 10 | 5 | 32:28 | 4 | 34 |
D
D
D
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 27:23 | 4 | 32 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 30:27 | 3 | 32 |
W
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 32 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 31 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 30 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 23:33 | -10 | 29 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 27:26 | 1 | 27 |
D
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 14 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 32:35 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 25 |
L
W
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Mirassol
Away
|
22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 25:35 | -10 | 23 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
| 18 | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 27:37 | -10 | 23 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23:34 | -11 | 22 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 22 | 1 | 8 | 13 | 23:46 | -23 | 11 |
D
L
D
L
L
|