Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.3%
|
2.03 | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
68.4%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
56.5%
|
2.12 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.28 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Cruzeiro
Fluminense
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cruzeiro
23 matches
Fluminense
23 matches
| Cruzeiro | Statistic | Fluminense |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 11 |
| 7 | Draws | 5 |
| 7 | Losses | 7 |
| 31 | Goals For | 34 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.35 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.48 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.26 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 19 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 6 |
| 8 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.57 | Shots On Goal | 5.57 |
| 13.39 | Total Shots | 14.87 |
| 4.74 | Corners | 4.96 |
| 55.4% | Ball Possession | 61.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights Fluminense's more proactive style and Cruzeiro's more cautious structure. Fluminense seem to carry the heavier availability burden, which may reduce some of their stability compared to the home side. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Fluminense. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Cruzeiro are currently 10 in the standings with 23 points from 17 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 23:27 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Christian (5 goals), Kaio Jorge (4 goals), N. Villarreal (3 goals), with creative support from Christian (3 assists), L. Romero (3 assists), Keny Arroyo (2 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Cassio, Kaua Prates, William Furtado unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.
Fluminense arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 30 points after 17 matches. The record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 27:22 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through John Kennedy (8 goals), Agustín Canobbio (4 goals), Hércules (3 goals), with creative support from L. Acosta (4 assists), J. Savarino (2 assists), Guga (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football. They also have disciplinary concerns to manage, with J. Freytes, Ignacio, Alisson, Nonato unavailable.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cruzeiro won 4 times, Fluminense won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:19 from Cruzeiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.
Cruzeiro
3
5
10
3
6
2
Lineups
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Remo
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Sao Paulo
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Atletico Paranaense
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Flamengo
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Sao Paulo
Fluminense
Vitoria
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Chapecoense-sc
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Flamengo
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Corinthians
Fluminense
Atletico-MG
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Atletico Paranaense
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Cruzeiro
Barcelona SC
Cruzeiro
Chapecoense-sc
Cruzeiro
Atletico-MG
Cruzeiro
Boca Juniors
Cruzeiro
Gremio
Cruzeiro
U. Catolica
Cruzeiro
RB Bragantino
Cruzeiro
Vitoria
Cruzeiro
Santos
Cruzeiro
Vasco DA Gama
Cruzeiro
Corinthians
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
Fluminense
Mirassol
Fluminense
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
Internacional
Fluminense
Bolívar
Fluminense
Santos
Fluminense
Deportivo La Guaira
Fluminense
Coritiba
Fluminense
Vasco DA Gama
Fluminense
Remo
Fluminense
Palmeiras
Fluminense
Bahia
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
W
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
Fluminense
Away
|
18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
D
L
W
D
L
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 11 |
Cruzeiro
Home
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
W
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
L
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
L
L
L
D
L
|