Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
59.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
41.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
Criciuma
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Criciuma
14 matches
São Bernardo
14 matches
| Criciuma | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 2 | Losses | 3 |
| 16 | Goals For | 20 |
| 11 | Goals Against | 11 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.43 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.79 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 7 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 9 |
| 3 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 3 |
| 3.71 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 13.07 | Total Shots | 10.64 |
| 6.29 | Corners | 3.29 |
| 52.1% | Ball Possession | 44.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring São Bernardo. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Criciuma expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and São Bernardo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward São Bernardo having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.
So far, Criciuma have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 21 points from 13 matches. The record of 5 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 15:11 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), Nicolas (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Placed 1 with 25 points from 13 outings, São Bernardo continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses, while the 20:10 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Daniel Amorim (2 goals), Dudu Miraíma (2 goals), Felipe Garcia (2 goals), with creative support from Dudu Miraíma (2 assists), Pedro Vitor (2 assists), Echapora (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Criciuma won 1 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Criciuma's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.
Criciuma
4
3
10
6
3
1
Lineups
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Novorizontino
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Ponte Preta
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Avai
Criciuma
Operario-PR
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
Juventude
Criciuma
Cuiaba
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Fortaleza EC
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Goias
Criciuma
Athletic Club
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Avai
São Bernardo
Cuiaba
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
Juventude
São Bernardo
Sport Recife
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Novorizontino
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Ponte Preta
São Bernardo
Goias
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Fortaleza EC
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Ceara
Criciuma
Nautico Recife
Criciuma
Vila Nova
Criciuma
Sport Recife
Criciuma
Ceara
Criciuma
Londrina
Criciuma
Atletico Goianiense
Criciuma
CRB
Criciuma
Botafogo SP
Criciuma
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Operario-PR
São Bernardo
Athletic Club
São Bernardo
Vila Nova
São Bernardo
CRB
São Bernardo
Atletico Goianiense
São Bernardo
Londrina
São Bernardo
Nautico Recife
São Bernardo
Botafogo SP
São Bernardo
Ceara
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Criciuma
Home
|
20 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 23:12 | 11 | 40 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
| 2 | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 22:12 | 10 | 35 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 29:28 | 1 | 35 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 23:19 | 4 | 34 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 34 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 32:19 | 13 | 33 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 23:20 | 3 | 31 |
W
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 8 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31:24 | 7 | 30 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
| 9 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 31:32 | -1 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 29 |
L
D
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 20 | 6 | 11 | 3 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
D
D
D
D
L
|
|
| 12 | 20 | 6 | 10 | 4 | 19:18 | 1 | 28 |
D
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 9 | 24:24 | 0 | 25 |
D
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 14 | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
W
L
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 15:15 | 0 | 25 |
D
L
L
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 24:21 | 3 | 24 |
L
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 17 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 27:31 | -4 | 20 |
L
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 18 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 21:27 | -6 | 20 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 19 | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:31 | -17 | 11 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 20 | 21 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 15:41 | -26 | 9 |
L
D
L
L
L
|