BRAZIL › SERIE B
24.05.2026 19:30
Estádio Rei Pelé
Referee: W. do Nascimento
CRB
Match Timeline
Ponte Preta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Tarik
Ponte Preta
⚽
28'
David da Hora · Assist: Elvis
Ponte Preta
⚽
33'
Elvis · Assist: Diego Tavares
Ponte Preta
🟨
39'
Weverton
Ponte Preta
🔄
39'
De Lucca ↔ Danielzinho
CRB
🟨
43'
Danielzinho
CRB
⚽
45'
Mikael · Assist: Dada Belmonte
CRB
🔄
46'
David da Hora ↔ Jonathan Cafu
Ponte Preta
⚽
57'
Mikael · Assist: Hereda
CRB
🔄
64'
Thiaguinho ↔ Douglas Baggio
CRB
🔄
73'
Reverson ↔ Leo Campos
CRB
🔄
73'
Pedro Castro ↔ Luiz Phellype
CRB
🔄
73'
Dada Belmonte ↔ Geovane
CRB
🔄
74'
Danilo Barcelos ↔ Diego Porfirio
Ponte Preta
🔄
74'
Diego Tavares ↔ Kevyson
Ponte Preta
⚽
80'
Luiz Phellype · Assist: Leo Campos
CRB
🔄
85'
Andre Lima ↔ Rodriguinho
Ponte Preta
🔄
85'
Weverton ↔ Gustavo Telles
Ponte Preta
⚽
90'
Luiz Phellype · Assist: Douglas Baggio
CRB

CRB vs Ponte Preta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 17.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 12.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
55.6%
- ▥
BTTS BTTS No
17.4%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
12.4%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
CRB Win 55.6%
Draw 23.2%
Ponte Preta Win 21.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
CRB1.58
Ponte Preta1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
CRB CRB
WWDLW
13 GF / 13 GA
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta
WLDWL
7 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.44
Average Goals Scored
0.78
1.44
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
6
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
5
Shots on Goal
4.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

CRB CRB 9 matches
Ponte Preta Ponte Preta 9 matches
CRB Statistic Ponte Preta
3 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
4 Losses 6
13 Goals For 7
13 Goals Against 16
1.44 Avg Goals Scored 0.78
1.44 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
6 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 6
6 Over 2.5 5
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 1
2 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 4.11
13.67 Total Shots 11.67
3.33 Corners 5.89
53.4% Ball Possession 46.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ponte Preta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Ponte Preta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with CRB expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ponte Preta in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ponte Preta having the stronger overall control.

CRB Analysis

From their first 9 matches, CRB have collected 11 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 13:13 goal balance, points toward good form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking threat comes through Mikael (4 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from De Lucca (2 assists), Hereda (2 assists), Mikael (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ponte Preta Analysis

With 7 points from 9 games and a place of 19, Ponte Preta still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 7:16, reflects mixed form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Willian Pottker (2 goals), Bryan Borges (1 goals), Danilo Barcelos (1 goals), with creative support from Diego Tavares (2 assists), Luis Phelipe (1 assists), Brandao (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, CRB won 6 times, Ponte Preta won 7 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:18 from CRB's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (78.8%)
Predicted formations: CRB 4-3-3 / Ponte Preta 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: CRB wins 6, draws 2, Ponte Preta wins 7

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8
CRB Home
29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
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