Coritiba vs Mirassol Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
74.5%
|
2.45 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.4%
|
1.80 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
2.20 | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
71.7%
|
1.35 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Coritiba
Mirassol
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
25 matches
Mirassol
33 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Mirassol |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 8 | Losses | 14 |
| 33 | Goals For | 35 |
| 33 | Goals Against | 44 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.06 |
| 1.32 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 23 |
| 12 | Over 2.5 | 14 |
| 7 | Over 3.5 | 7 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.32 | Shots On Goal | 4.09 |
| 10.8 | Total Shots | 12.52 |
| 3.48 | Corners | 5.06 |
| 39.4% | Ball Possession | 49.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Coritiba arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 9 with 34 points compared to Mirassol in 17 on 24, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Mirassol. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coritiba expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Mirassol in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Mirassol having the stronger overall control. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.
Coritiba are currently 9 in the standings with 34 points from 24 matches. Their overall return of 9 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 30:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Breno Lopes (8 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (8 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. At home, the record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Mirassol sit 17 with 24 points after 23 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 6 wins, 6 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 26:36 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Igor Formiga (4 goals), João Victor (2 goals), Negueba (2 goals), with creative support from Reinaldo (4 assists), Alesson (4 assists), Igor Formiga (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 1 times, Mirassol won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:5 from Coritiba's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 51:21 | 30 | 54 |
W
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 3 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 41:35 | 6 | 45 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 40:32 | 8 | 43 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 6 | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 42 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 7 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 35:31 | 4 | 39 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Coritiba
Home
|
27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 37:38 | -1 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 39:39 | 0 | 35 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 33 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 27:39 | -12 | 33 |
D
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 27:27 | 0 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 38:41 | -3 | 32 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 15 |
Mirassol
Away
|
27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 29 |
D
W
L
D
D
|
| 16 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 28:35 | -7 | 28 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 26 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 19 | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 30:43 | -13 | 23 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 20 | 26 | 3 | 8 | 15 | 28:52 | -24 | 17 |
L
W
L
W
D
|