BRAZIL SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Estádio Major Antônio Couto Pereira
Referee: Wagner do Nascimento Magalhaes, Brazil
Coritiba
Match Timeline
Internacional
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Lucas Ronier
Coritiba
28'
J. Lavega · Assist: Josue
Coritiba
🟨
29'
Sergio Rochet
Internacional
🟨
45'
Félix Torres
Internacional
🔄
46'
Allex ↔ Vitinho
Internacional
🔄
62'
Matheus Bahia ↔ R. Borre
Internacional
🔄
64'
Vini Paulista ↔ Wallisson
Coritiba
🔄
64'
J. Lavega ↔ Rodrigo Moledo
Coritiba
69'
R. Borre
Internacional
🔄
75'
Josue ↔ Gustavo
Coritiba
🔄
80'
Felipe Jonatan ↔ Fernando Sobral
Coritiba
🔄
80'
Pedro Rocha ↔ Renato Marques
Coritiba
🔄
81'
J. Carbonero ↔ Alan Patrick
Internacional
🔄
81'
Bruno Henrique ↔ Thiago Maia
Internacional
🔄
81'
Alerrandro ↔ Bruno Tabata
Internacional
🟨
83'
Victor Gabriel
Internacional
84'
Rodrigo Moledo · Assist: Tinga
Coritiba
90'
F. Torres
Internacional

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 83.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
83.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.4%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Coritiba Win 45%
Draw 16.4%
Internacional Win 38.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Coritiba1.08
Internacional1.08
Recent Form (Last 5)
Coritiba Coritiba
WWDLW
16 GF / 17 GA
Internacional Internacional
WLDWL
14 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1
1.21
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
4
3
Shots on Goal
5.29

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Coritiba Coritiba 14 matches
Internacional Internacional 14 matches
Coritiba Statistic Internacional
5 Wins 4
4 Draws 5
5 Losses 5
16 Goals For 14
17 Goals Against 14
1.14 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.21 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 9
4 Over 2.5 4
3 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 4
3 Shots On Goal 5.29
10.21 Total Shots 15.07
3.21 Corners 7.93
38.7% Ball Possession 50.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Internacional. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Coritiba Analysis

Coritiba sit 8 with 19 points after 14 league matches. The record of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 5 defeats, together with a 16:17 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Breno Lopes (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), J. Lavega (3 goals), with creative support from Josué (4 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Breno Lopes (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Internacional Analysis

Internacional are currently 12 in the standings with 17 points from 14 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 14:14 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alan Patrick (3 goals), Alexandro Bernabei (3 goals), Alerrandro (2 goals), with creative support from Vitinho (3 assists), Alerrandro (2 assists), J. Carbonero (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 1 times, Internacional won 7 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:23 from Coritiba's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (83.6%)
Predicted formations: Coritiba 4-2-3-1 / Internacional 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Coritiba 8, Internacional 3
H2H summary: Coritiba wins 1, draws 7, Internacional wins 7
Stats
Coritiba Coritiba
Internacional Internacional
Shots on Goal
3
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
3
Shots off Goal
11
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
7
3 Corner Kicks 8
11 Fouls 10
0 Offsides 1
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Goal 4
3 Shots off Goal 11
2 Blocked Shots 7
5 Shots insidebox 16
3 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
306 Total passes 532
227 Passes accurate 444
0.42 expected_goals 3.15
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Coritiba
Formation
Internacional
Pedro Rangel
Pedro Rangel
Tinga
🎯
Tinga
Jacy
Jacy
Bruno Melo
Bruno Melo
Felipe Jonatan
Felipe Jonatan
S. Gomez
S. Gomez
Vini Paulista
Vini Paulista
Lucas Ronier
Lucas Ronier
Josue
🎯
Josue
J. Lavega
J. Lavega
Pedro Rocha
Pedro Rocha
S. Rochet
S. Rochet
Allex
Allex
Bruno Gomes
Bruno Gomes
F. Torres
F. Torres
Victor Gabriel
Victor Gabriel
Matheus Bahia
Matheus Bahia
J. Carbonero
J. Carbonero
Bruno Henrique
Bruno Henrique
R. Villagra
R. Villagra
A. Bernabei
A. Bernabei
Alerrandro
Alerrandro
Coritiba 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
22
Pedro Rangel
G
2
Tinga
🎯 84'
D
55
Jacy
D
26
Bruno Melo
D
6
Felipe Jonatan
↓ 80'
D
19
S. Gomez
M
36
Vini Paulista
↓ 64'
M
11
Lucas Ronier
🟨 17'
M
10
Josue
🎯 28' ↓ 75'
M
7
J. Lavega
⚽ 28' ↓ 64'
M
32
Pedro Rocha
↓ 80'
F
Substitutes
87
Gabriel Leite
G
67
Benassi
G
29
Willian Oliveira
M
8
Wallisson
↑ 64'
M
44
Joao Pedro Chermont
D
14
Enzo Vagner
F
86
Lucas Taverna
D
4
Rodrigo Moledo
⚽ 84' ↑ 64'
D
88
Fernando Sobral
↑ 80'
M
78
Renato Marques
↑ 80'
F
39
Gustavo
↑ 75'
M
33
D. Alves
F
Internacional 5-4-1
Starting XI
1
S. Rochet
🟨 29'
G
31
Allex
↓ 46'
D
15
Bruno Gomes
D
4
F. Torres
⚽ 90' 🟨 45'
D
41
Victor Gabriel
🟨 83'
D
6
Matheus Bahia
↓ 62'
D
7
J. Carbonero
↓ 81'
M
8
Bruno Henrique
↓ 81'
M
5
R. Villagra
M
26
A. Bernabei
M
9
Alerrandro
↓ 81'
F
Substitutes
12
Anthoni
G
10
Alan Patrick
↑ 81'
M
29
Thiago Maia
↑ 81'
M
18
Juninho
D
17
Bruno Tabata
↑ 81'
F
28
Vitinho
↑ 46'
F
14
A. Rodriguez
M
35
B. Aguirre
D
53
L. F. de Morais Francisco
D
19
R. Borre
⚽ 69' ↑ 62'
F
16
Ronaldo
M
11
Kayky
F
Last matches: Coritiba
22.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
L
30.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Flamengo
0
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Santos
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vitoria
1
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Gremio
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Botafogo
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
0
2
L
18.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Mirassol
1
0
W
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
12.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Corinthians
2
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
11.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
3
3
D
06.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
2
1
W
28.01.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
Last matches: Internacional
23.07.26
Ser
Internacional
Cruzeiro
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vitoria
0
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vasco DA Gama
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Fluminense
2
0
W
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Mirassol
1
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Gremio
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
01.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Sao Paulo
1
1
D
22.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Chapecoense-sc
2
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
15.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Bahia
0
1
L
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
13.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Palmeiras
1
3
L
04.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Flamengo
1
1
D
28.01.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico Paranaense
0
1
L
H2H: Coritiba vs Internacional
09.05.26
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
29.10.23
H2H
Internacional
Coritiba
3
4
W
22.06.23
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
L
23.10.22
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
25.06.22
H2H
Internacional
Coritiba
3
0
L
08.11.20
H2H
Internacional
Coritiba
2
2
D
08.08.20
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
L
06.10.16
H2H
Internacional
Coritiba
1
0
L
24.06.16
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
12.09.15
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
L
07.06.15
H2H
Internacional
Coritiba
2
0
L
28.09.14
H2H
Internacional
Coritiba
4
2
L
21.05.14
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
24.11.13
H2H
Internacional
Coritiba
0
0
D
01.09.13
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Coritiba
22.07.26
Ser
Coritiba
Palmeiras
1
3
L
25.05.26
Ser
Coritiba
Bahia
3
2
W
19.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
2
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Fluminense
1
1
D
01.04.26
Ser
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
1
1
D
15.03.26
Ser
Coritiba
Remo
1
0
W
25.02.26
Ser
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
0
1
L
28.01.26
Ser
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
0
1
L
H2H at home: Coritiba
09.05.26
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
22.06.23
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
L
23.10.22
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
08.08.20
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
L
24.06.16
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
12.09.15
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
L
21.05.14
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
01.09.13
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
0
D
Last matches: Internacional
31.05.26
Ser
Internacional
RB Bragantino
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Internacional
Vitoria
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Botafogo
2
2
D
05.04.26
Ser
Internacional
Corinthians
1
0
W
19.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Santos
2
1
W
11.03.26
Ser
Internacional
Atletico-MG
0
1
L
25.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Remo
1
1
D
04.02.26
Ser
Internacional
Flamengo
1
1
D
H2H away: Internacional
09.05.26
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
2
2
D
22.06.23
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
W
23.10.22
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
08.08.20
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
W
24.06.16
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
12.09.15
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
1
W
21.05.14
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
1
1
D
01.09.13
H2H
Coritiba
Internacional
0
0
D

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 5 1 33:14 19 44
W W W D D
2 18 11 4 3 35:16 19 37
W W L D W
3 19 10 3 6 26:19 7 33
W W W D L
4 19 9 5 5 29:24 5 32
D D L W D
5 19 9 3 7 26:20 6 30
D W W W L
6 19 8 6 5 28:24 4 30
D W W L D
7 19 7 6 6 21:19 2 27
W W W L W
8 19 7 6 6 26:29 -3 27
W D W D W
9 19 7 5 7 33:32 1 26
D W L D W
10 19 7 5 7 25:27 -2 26
L L W W D
11 19 7 5 7 22:25 -3 26
D W L W L
12 19 7 4 8 24:22 2 25
L L D L L
13 19 7 4 8 23:24 -1 25
D W L W D
14 19 5 6 8 22:24 -2 21
L L L W D
15 19 5 6 8 27:31 -4 21
L W L L W
16 19 5 6 8 21:25 -4 21
L L W D L
17 19 5 5 9 22:30 -8 20
L L L L W
18 18 5 4 9 20:25 -5 19
W L W L D
19 19 4 6 9 21:32 -11 18
L W L W D
20 19 1 6 12 17:39 -22 9
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Coritiba 8 missing
-
Maicon
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Pedro Morisco
Missing Fixture Shoulder Injury
OUT
-
Rodrigo Rodrigues
Missing Fixture Ankle Injury
OUT
-
Keno
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Fabinho
Missing Fixture Inactive
OUT
-
Thiago Santos
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Tiago Coser
Missing Fixture Red Card
OUT
-
Keiller
Missing Fixture Loan agreement
OUT
Internacional 3 missing
-
G. Mercado
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
-
A. Rodriguez
Questionable Muscle Injury
OUT
-
Paulinho Paula
Questionable Inactive
OUT