Coritiba vs Corinthians Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
67.9%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
54.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
65.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Under 11.5 Corners |
76.8%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Draw |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-1 |
-
|
- |
Coritiba
Corinthians
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
23 matches
Corinthians
32 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Corinthians |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Wins | 12 |
| 7 | Draws | 12 |
| 8 | Losses | 8 |
| 28 | Goals For | 35 |
| 30 | Goals Against | 27 |
| 1.22 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.09 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.84 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 16 | Over 1.5 | 22 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 15 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 3.26 | Shots On Goal | 3.87 |
| 10.74 | Total Shots | 11.71 |
| 3.43 | Corners | 4.32 |
| 39.7% | Ball Possession | 55% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Corinthians's more proactive style and Coritiba's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. Coritiba have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Corinthians. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.
Coritiba sit 10 with 30 points after 22 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 8 wins, 6 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 27:29 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Breno Lopes (8 goals), Joaquín Lavega (5 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (8 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Corinthians are currently 8 in the standings with 32 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses, while the 24:20 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Rodrigo Garro (3 goals), Yuri Alberto (3 goals), André Luiz (3 goals), with creative support from Rodrigo Garro (6 assists), Yuri Alberto (2 assists), André Luiz (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 2 times, Corinthians won 8 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:26 from Coritiba's perspective. 9 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 11 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 53:22 | 31 | 57 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 2 | 28 | 16 | 9 | 3 | 47:21 | 26 | 57 |
D
W
D
D
W
|
|
| 3 | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 41:31 | 10 | 46 |
D
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:33 | 9 | 46 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 42:40 | 2 | 45 |
W
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 36:32 | 4 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 41:40 | 1 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 |
Coritiba
Home
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 37:43 | -6 | 38 |
L
D
L
W
W
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 32:29 | 3 | 36 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 32:30 | 2 | 36 |
W
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 41:45 | -4 | 35 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 28:42 | -14 | 33 |
L
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 14 |
Corinthians
Away
|
28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 29:32 | -3 | 32 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
| 15 | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 33:42 | -9 | 32 |
W
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 34:41 | -7 | 31 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 30:38 | -8 | 29 |
D
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 32:47 | -15 | 23 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 27 | 3 | 9 | 15 | 29:53 | -24 | 18 |
D
L
W
L
W
|