Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
77.5%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
17.4%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
24.1%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
81.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Coritiba
Bahia
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Coritiba
16 matches
Bahia
17 matches
| Coritiba | Statistic | Bahia |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 7 |
| 5 | Draws | 5 |
| 5 | Losses | 5 |
| 21 | Goals For | 23 |
| 19 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.31 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.35 |
| 1.19 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.24 |
| 7 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 11 | Over 1.5 | 14 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 9 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 2 |
| 3.13 | Shots On Goal | 4.94 |
| 10 | Total Shots | 12.94 |
| 3.19 | Corners | 5.47 |
| 38.4% | Ball Possession | 54.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Coritiba expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Bahia in 4-3-3, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Bahia having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Bahia. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
So far, Coritiba have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 23 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 6 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses, while the 21:19 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Breno Lopes (7 goals), J. Lavega (4 goals), Pedro Rocha (4 goals), with creative support from Josué (6 assists), Lucas Ronier (2 assists), Tinga (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Bahia are currently 8 in the standings with 23 points from 15 matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 21:19 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Luciano Juba (7 goals), Everaldo (3 goals), Willian Jose (3 goals), with creative support from Everton Ribeiro (3 assists), Jean Lucas (2 assists), Luciano Juba (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Coritiba won 3 times, Bahia won 4 times, while 8 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 17:20 from Coritiba's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.47 goals per game.
Coritiba
7
1
3
9
3
4
Lineups
Coritiba
Flamengo
Coritiba
Santos
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Vitoria
Coritiba
Gremio
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Botafogo
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Atletico Paranaense
Coritiba
Mirassol
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Corinthians
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
Chapecoense-sc
Coritiba
Cruzeiro
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Atletico Torque
Bahia
Botafogo
Bahia
Gremio
Bahia
Cruzeiro
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Santos
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Palmeiras
Bahia
Atletico Paranaense
Bahia
Remo
Bahia
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Internacional
Bahia
Vitoria
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Fluminense
Bahia
Corinthians
Coritiba
Internacional
Coritiba
Atletico-MG
Coritiba
Fluminense
Coritiba
Vasco DA Gama
Coritiba
Remo
Coritiba
Sao Paulo
Coritiba
RB Bragantino
Bahia
Sao Paulo
Bahia
Flamengo
Bahia
Mirassol
Bahia
Remo
Bahia
Internacional
Bahia
O'Higgins
Bahia
Vasco DA Gama
Bahia
Corinthians
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 41 |
?
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
?
|
|
| 3 | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 28:23 | 5 | 31 |
?
|
|
| 4 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
?
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 7 | 25:19 | 6 | 29 |
?
|
|
| 6 |
Bahia
Away
|
17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 25:23 | 2 | 26 |
?
|
| 7 |
Coritiba
Home
|
18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 24:24 | 0 | 26 |
?
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
?
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 22:23 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 31:31 | 0 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 21:25 | -4 | 22 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:29 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 20:23 | -3 | 21 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22:29 | -7 | 20 |
?
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
?
|
|
| 19 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 18:24 | -6 | 16 |
?
|
|
| 20 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 10 | 17:33 | -16 | 9 |
?
|