Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Corinthians Win 0%
Draw 0%
Gremio Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Corinthians1.18
Gremio1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Corinthians
WWDLW
27 GF / 24 GA
Gremio
WLDWL
27 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.23
0.96
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
14
6
Over 2.5
11
3.88
Shots on Goal
3.63
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Corinthians
25 matches
Gremio
22 matches
| Corinthians | Statistic | Gremio |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 7 |
| 9 | Draws | 6 |
| 7 | Losses | 9 |
| 27 | Goals For | 27 |
| 24 | Goals Against | 29 |
| 1.08 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.23 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.32 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 3.88 | Shots On Goal | 3.63 |
| 12.25 | Total Shots | 11.21 |
| 4.79 | Corners | 3.89 |
| 56.9% | Ball Possession | 49.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Corinthians won 5 times, Gremio won 0 times, while 10 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 18:9 from Corinthians's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 1.8 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Corinthians 4-2-3-1 / Gremio 4-3-3
H2H summary: Corinthians wins 5, draws 10, Gremio wins 0
Last matches: Corinthians
12.07.26
Fri
Corinthians
Cascavel
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Gremio
3
1
W
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
22.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Botafogo
1
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
07.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
1
1
D
03.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Mirassol
1
2
L
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vitoria
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
10.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
02.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Fluminense
1
3
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
20.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Chapecoense-sc
0
0
D
15.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Santos
1
1
D
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
12.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Cruzeiro
3
1
W
04.07.26
Fri
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
30.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
L
23.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Santos
3
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Flamengo
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Coritiba
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Remo
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
19.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vitoria
2
0
W
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
13.03.26
Ser
Gremio
RB Bragantino
1
1
D
26.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico-MG
2
1
W
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
H2H: Corinthians vs Gremio
30.05.26
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
1
3
W
02.11.25
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
2
0
W
12.06.25
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
1
1
D
08.12.24
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
0
3
W
08.08.24
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
0
0
D
01.08.24
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
25.07.24
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
2
2
D
12.11.23
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
0
1
W
19.09.23
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
4
4
D
05.12.21
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
1
1
D
29.08.21
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
0
1
W
22.11.20
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
16.08.20
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
0
0
D
05.10.19
H2H
Gremio
Corinthians
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
Last matches: Corinthians
28.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Platense
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Atletico-MG
1
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
Corinthians
Sao Paulo
3
2
W
01.05.26
CON
Corinthians
Penarol
2
0
W
26.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Vasco DA Gama
1
0
W
16.04.26
CON
Corinthians
Santa Fe
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Palmeiras
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Corinthians
Internacional
0
1
L
22.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Flamengo
1
1
D
12.03.26
Ser
Corinthians
Coritiba
0
2
L
12.02.26
Ser
Corinthians
RB Bragantino
2
0
W
28.01.26
Ser
Corinthians
Bahia
1
2
L
H2H at home: Corinthians
02.11.25
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
2
0
W
01.08.24
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
25.07.24
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
2
2
D
19.09.23
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
4
4
D
05.12.21
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
1
1
D
22.11.20
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
Last matches: Gremio
17.07.26
Ser
Gremio
Mirassol
1
2
L
27.06.26
Fri
Gremio
Cascavel
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Bahia
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Gremio
Atletico Paranaense
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Cruzeiro
0
2
L
11.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Internacional
0
0
D
03.04.26
Ser
Gremio
Palmeiras
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Vasco DA Gama
1
2
L
16.03.26
Ser
Gremio
Chapecoense-sc
1
1
D
12.02.26
Ser
Gremio
Sao Paulo
0
2
L
28.01.26
Ser
Gremio
Fluminense
1
2
L
H2H away: Gremio
02.11.25
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
2
0
L
01.08.24
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
25.07.24
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
2
2
D
19.09.23
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
4
4
D
05.12.21
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
1
1
D
22.11.20
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
11.05.19
H2H
Corinthians
Gremio
0
0
D
Standings
Serie A
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 33:14 | 19 | 44 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 31:16 | 15 | 34 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 19 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 29:24 | 5 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 4 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 26:20 | 6 | 30 |
D
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 24:18 | 6 | 30 |
W
W
D
L
D
|
|
| 6 | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 30 |
D
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 26 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 23:20 | 3 | 25 |
L
D
L
L
D
|
|
| 9 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 33:32 | 1 | 25 |
W
L
D
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 23:24 | -1 | 25 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22:25 | -3 | 25 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 12 |
Corinthians
Home
|
18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18:19 | -1 | 24 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 13 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 24:28 | -4 | 24 |
D
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 21:22 | -1 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 15 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 21 |
L
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 16 |
Gremio
Away
|
19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 17 | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 22:30 | -8 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 20:25 | -5 | 19 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 18 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 20 | 18 | 1 | 6 | 11 | 17:35 | -18 | 9 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage)
Relegation - Serie B