🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
24.05.2026 01:30
Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Referee: I. Elfath
Colorado Rapids
Match Timeline
FC Dallas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
12'
L. Farrington
FC Dallas
13'
P. Aaronson · Assist: G. Minoungou
Colorado Rapids
🟨
45+4'
L. Herrington
Colorado Rapids
🟨
45+4'
L. Farrington
FC Dallas
45'
S. Moreno
FC Dallas
🔄
46'
J. Travis ↔ M. Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🟨
49'
P. Delgado
FC Dallas
🔄
59'
W. Frederick ↔ C. Ronan
Colorado Rapids
🔄
65'
P. Delgado ↔ C. Cappis
FC Dallas
🔄
65'
H. Johansson ↔ S. Sarver
FC Dallas
🔄
65'
S. Moreno ↔ N. Norris
FC Dallas
🟨
70'
M. Navarro
Colorado Rapids
🟨
73'
P. Aaronson
Colorado Rapids
🔄
75'
R. Holding ↔ D. Sealy
Colorado Rapids
🔄
75'
G. Minoungou ↔ A. Manyoma
Colorado Rapids
🔄
81'
R. Cannon ↔ K. Rosenberry
Colorado Rapids
🔄
83'
L. Farrington ↔ N. Simmonds
FC Dallas
🔄
84'
Ramiro ↔ C. Swann
FC Dallas
🟥
87'
W. Frederick
Colorado Rapids
🟨
90+1'
S. Sarver
FC Dallas

Colorado Rapids vs FC Dallas Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 90.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 26%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
90.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
26%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Colorado Rapids Win 42.4%
Draw 9.6%
FC Dallas Win 48%
Expected Goals (xG)
Colorado Rapids1.57
FC Dallas1.9
Recent Form (Last 5)
Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids
WWDLW
30 GF / 30 GA
FC Dallas FC Dallas
WLDWL
36 GF / 23 GA
Key Stats
1.76
Average Goals Scored
2
1.76
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
11
BTTS Yes
10
11
Over 2.5
12
4.36
Shots on Goal
4.93

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Colorado Rapids Colorado Rapids 17 matches
FC Dallas FC Dallas 18 matches
Colorado Rapids Statistic FC Dallas
6 Wins 8
1 Draws 5
10 Losses 5
30 Goals For 36
30 Goals Against 23
1.76 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.76 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
11 BTTS Yes 10
13 Over 1.5 14
11 Over 2.5 12
10 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 6
4 Failed To Score 4
4.36 Shots On Goal 4.93
10.64 Total Shots 12.57
4.86 Corners 4.57
55.3% Ball Possession 43.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Colorado Rapids have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Colorado Rapids expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and FC Dallas in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward FC Dallas having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors FC Dallas. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Colorado Rapids Analysis

Colorado Rapids approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 11 with 16 points from 14 matches. The overall return of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 8 defeats with a 24:22 goal balance points toward poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Going forward they depend heavily on Rafael Navarro (8 goals), D. Yapi (3 goals), P. Aaronson (3 goals), with creative support from Rafael Navarro (3 assists), P. Aaronson (3 assists), D. Yapi (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

FC Dallas Analysis

Operating from 5 place with 22 points from 14 games, FC Dallas bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. With 6 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats plus a goal balance of 28:21, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by P. Musa (12 goals), L. Farrington (5 goals), Sam Sarver (3 goals), with creative support from P. Musa (2 assists), L. Farrington (2 assists), Herman Johansson (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, which underlines a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Colorado Rapids won 7 times, FC Dallas won 5 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 25:22 from Colorado Rapids's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 3.13 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.4%)
Predicted formations: Colorado Rapids 4-2-3-1 / FC Dallas 4-4-2
Missing players: Colorado Rapids 3, FC Dallas 6
H2H summary: Colorado Rapids wins 7, draws 3, FC Dallas wins 5

Standings

Western Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 14 4 6 53:23 30 46
L W L W W
2 25 13 4 8 32:28 4 43
L W D D L
3 25 12 7 6 49:42 7 43
W W W D L
4 25 12 5 8 44:36 8 41
W W D D L
5 25 11 8 6 42:35 7 41
W D W D W
6 26 11 7 8 41:27 14 40
L W D D D
7 25 11 2 12 33:32 1 35
W D L W L
8 25 9 5 11 47:47 0 32
L D W L D
9 25 8 6 11 42:42 0 30
L L L W W
10 26 7 9 10 31:40 -9 30
D L W L D
11 24 8 5 11 37:39 -2 29
L L D L L
12 25 7 8 10 37:43 -6 29
L L L D W
13 25 7 8 10 32:44 -12 29
W D D W D
14 23 7 7 9 25:30 -5 28
D D D D L
15 24 5 3 16 26:59 -33 18
W L L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)