UKRAINE PREMIER LEAGUE
02.08.2026 10:00
Stadion Chornomorets
Referee: Andrey Kovalenko, Ukraine
Chornomorets
Match Timeline
Polessya
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
G. Robakidze
Chornomorets
32'
V. Veleten · Assist: B. Mykhaylichenko
Polessya
🔄
46'
L. Emerllahu ↔ I. Krasnopir
Polessya
51'
I. Krasnopir · Assist: V. Veleten
Polessya
🔄
57'
Leandro Andrade ↔ O. Nazarenko
Polessya
🔄
67'
M. Gayduchyk ↔ O. Fedor
Polessya
🔄
67'
V. Veleten ↔ M. Bragaru
Polessya
🔄
68'
A. Avagimyan ↔ K. Popov
Chornomorets
🔄
83'
V. Kurko ↔ D. Klyots
Chornomorets
🔄
83'
V. Faraseyenko ↔ A. Khoma
Chornomorets
🔄
84'
B. Tomandzoto ↔ R. Babenko
Polessya
🟨
87'
Oleg Fedor
Polessya
🟨
90'
Moses Jarju
Chornomorets
🔄
90+1'
D. Alefirenko ↔ S. Korniychuk
Chornomorets

Chornomorets vs Polessya Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 88.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
88.4%
-
BTTS Yes
78.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Chornomorets Win 42.1%
Draw 11.7%
Polessya Win 46.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chornomorets1.26
Polessya2.1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chornomorets Chornomorets
WWDLW
6 GF / 6 GA
Polessya Polessya
WLDWL
54 GF / 27 GA
Key Stats
1.2
Average Goals Scored
2.7
1.2
Average Goals Conceded
1.35
3
BTTS Yes
13
3
Over 2.5
15
0
Shots on Goal
5.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chornomorets Chornomorets 5 matches
Polessya Polessya 20 matches
Chornomorets Statistic Polessya
3 Wins 10
0 Draws 5
2 Losses 5
6 Goals For 54
6 Goals Against 27
1.2 Avg Goals Scored 2.7
1.2 Avg Goals Conceded 1.35
3 BTTS Yes 13
4 Over 1.5 18
3 Over 2.5 15
0 Over 3.5 10
1 Clean Sheets 6
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 5.5
0 Total Shots 23
0 Corners 8
0% Ball Possession 60%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Chornomorets won 3 times, Polessya won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:12 from Chornomorets's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 3.29 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (88.4%)
Predicted formations: Chornomorets 4-1-2-3 / Polessya 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Chornomorets wins 3, draws 1, Polessya wins 3

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 0 1 15:5 10 18
W W W W L
2 7 6 0 1 15:4 11 18
W W W L W
3 7 4 2 1 15:5 10 14
D W L D W
4 6 4 1 1 9:5 4 13
W W D L W
5 6 4 0 2 12:4 8 12
W W W L L
6 7 2 2 3 6:7 -1 8
L L D W D
7 7 2 2 3 5:8 -3 8
L W D L W
8 7 2 2 3 7:11 -4 8
L D D L W
9 6 1 4 1 4:3 1 7
W L D D D
10 7 1 4 2 4:6 -2 7
L D D W L
11 6 1 3 2 4:5 -1 6
D D W D L
12 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D L D W L
13 6 1 2 3 6:10 -4 5
W L D D L
14 6 1 2 3 7:10 -3 5
L D L D W
15 7 0 4 3 2:12 -10 4
D L L D D
16 6 0 2 4 4:16 -12 2
L L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Persha Liga (Relegation)
Relegation - Persha Liga