Cuiaba vs Nautico Recife Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
68%
|
2.05 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
55.6%
|
2.31 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.16 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
3.25 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.00 |
Cuiaba
Nautico Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Cuiaba
28 matches
Nautico Recife
28 matches
| Cuiaba | Statistic | Nautico Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 10 |
| 13 | Draws | 8 |
| 6 | Losses | 10 |
| 27 | Goals For | 35 |
| 22 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 0.96 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.25 |
| 0.79 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 13 |
| 17 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 11 | Failed To Score | 9 |
| 4.04 | Shots On Goal | 4.75 |
| 12.86 | Total Shots | 16.43 |
| 5.04 | Corners | 5.96 |
| 47.5% | Ball Possession | 58.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cuiaba expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Nautico Recife in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Nautico Recife having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Nautico Recife. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
From their first 28 matches, Cuiaba have collected 40 points and now occupy 11 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 13 draws, and 6 losses, while the 27:22 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Kauan (2 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Hernandes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 5 wins, 7 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.
Nautico Recife approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 14 with 37 points from 27 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 7 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 32:30, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Vinícius (4 goals), Júnior Todinho (3 goals), Kaua Almeida da Costa (3 goals), with creative support from Vinícius (3 assists), Jean Carlos (2 assists), Wenderson (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Cuiaba won 1 times, Nautico Recife won 4 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:6 from Cuiaba's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.6 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 |
Cuiaba
Home
|
28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
| 14 |
Nautico Recife
Away
|
28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|