COLOMBIA PRIMERA B
22.09.2026 00:30

Real Cartagena vs Envigado Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 66.5%
Odds 1.11
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.06
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 2.06
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
66.5%
1.11
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.06
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
2.06
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.44
Correct Score 2-1
-
6.50
Probability Distribution
Real Cartagena Win 47.4%
Draw 19.1%
Envigado Win 33.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Real Cartagena1.34
Envigado1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Real Cartagena Real Cartagena
WWDLW
50 GF / 35 GA
Envigado Envigado
WLDWL
42 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.61
Average Goals Scored
1.35
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.94
18
BTTS Yes
17
16
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Real Cartagena Real Cartagena 31 matches
Envigado Envigado 31 matches
Real Cartagena Statistic Envigado
15 Wins 15
8 Draws 8
8 Losses 8
50 Goals For 42
35 Goals Against 29
1.61 Avg Goals Scored 1.35
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.94
18 BTTS Yes 17
24 Over 1.5 22
16 Over 2.5 14
8 Over 3.5 4
9 Clean Sheets 12
6 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Envigado. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Envigado having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. Envigado arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Real Cartagena Analysis

Real Cartagena approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 53 points after 31 outings. With 15 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats plus a goal balance of 50:35, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared fairly stable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, which underlines an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Envigado Analysis

Envigado approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 4 with 50 points from 30 matches. Across the season they have posted 14 wins, 8 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 40:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Real Cartagena won 1 times, Envigado won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Real Cartagena's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.8 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.9%)
H2H summary: Real Cartagena wins 1, draws 2, Envigado wins 2

Standings

Primera B: Apertura - Quadrangular
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 3 2 1 6:3 3 11
W W D D W
1 6 4 1 1 8:6 2 13
W W L W W
2 6 3 1 2 4:3 1 10
L L W W D
2 6 2 3 1 8:4 4 9
D D W L W
3 6 1 4 1 3:3 0 7
D W D D D
3 6 1 3 2 5:6 -1 6
L D D W L
4 6 1 1 4 4:8 -4 4
D L L L L
4 6 0 3 3 3:8 -5 3
D L D L L
Promotion - Primera B (Apertura - Play Offs: Final)