22.09.2026 00:15
Estadio Ciudad de Lanus
Referee: N. Ramirez

Lanus vs Estudiantes L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 87.7%
Odds 1.36
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 2.20
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.79
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
87.7%
1.36
BTTS Yes
67.1%
2.20
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.79
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.55
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.60
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Lanus Win 48.5%
Draw 12.3%
Estudiantes L.P. Win 39.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Lanus0.91
Estudiantes L.P.1.18
Recent Form (Last 5)
Lanus Lanus
WWDLW
37 GF / 35 GA
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P.
WLDWL
50 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
1.09
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.03
Average Goals Conceded
0.64
11
BTTS Yes
12
13
Over 2.5
12
4.31
Shots on Goal
5.14

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Lanus Lanus 34 matches
Estudiantes L.P. Estudiantes L.P. 39 matches
Lanus Statistic Estudiantes L.P.
14 Wins 19
7 Draws 10
13 Losses 10
37 Goals For 50
35 Goals Against 25
1.09 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.03 Avg Goals Conceded 0.64
11 BTTS Yes 12
19 Over 1.5 23
13 Over 2.5 12
6 Over 3.5 4
14 Clean Sheets 17
12 Failed To Score 14
4.31 Shots On Goal 5.14
12.88 Total Shots 13.86
4.84 Corners 4.33
51.8% Ball Possession 53.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Estudiantes L.P.. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Lanus Analysis

Lanus sit 6 with 24 points after 16 league matches. Their overall return of 6 wins, 6 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 18:15 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Y. Valois (4 goals), F. Peña (3 goals), A. Wlk (3 goals), with creative support from E. Salvio (2 assists), Y. Valois (1 assists), C. Izquierdoz (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Estudiantes L.P. Analysis

Estudiantes L.P. come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 31 points from 16 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 4 draws, and 3 losses, while the 19:7 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on A. Gaich (4 goals), G. Carrillo (2 goals), A. Castro (2 goals), with creative support from Tiago Palacios (3 assists), E. Cetré (2 assists), G. Carrillo (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, Lanus won 4 times, Estudiantes L.P. won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:12 from Lanus's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 1.92 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87.7%)
Predicted formations: Lanus 4-2-3-1 / Estudiantes L.P. 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Lanus wins 4, draws 6, Estudiantes L.P. wins 3

Standings

Clausura - Group A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 1 2 13:7 6 22
W W L W D
2 10 5 3 2 13:11 2 18
D W L W W
3 10 5 2 3 14:9 5 17
D L D W W
4 9 4 5 0 12:7 5 17
D W D D D
5 10 4 5 1 14:11 3 17
W W D W D
6 10 5 2 3 10:8 2 17
W D W L D
7 10 4 4 2 11:8 3 16
W D D D W
8
Lanus Home
9 4 1 4 11:8 3 13
W W L D L
9 10 4 1 5 17:16 1 13
L L W W W
10 10 3 2 5 4:8 -4 11
L D W L D
11 9 3 1 5 9:9 0 10
W L D L W
12 10 2 4 4 8:10 -2 10
D L D D D
13 10 2 3 5 9:15 -6 9
L L D L W
14 10 2 2 6 11:17 -6 8
L W L D D
15 10 2 2 6 7:13 -6 8
D L L D L
Knockout Phase