COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
17.10.2026 19:00
Estadio La Independencia

Chico vs Atletico Nacional Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 66.7%
Odds 6.10
BTTS
Yes
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.00
0 agree / 1 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 2.03
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
66.7%
6.10
BTTS Yes
53.4%
2.00
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
2.03
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.30
HT / FT Home / Home
-
10.00
Correct Score 2-1
-
19.00
Probability Distribution
Chico Win 66.7%
Draw 4.9%
Atletico Nacional Win 28.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chico0.87
Atletico Nacional1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chico Chico
WWDLW
22 GF / 50 GA
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional
WLDWL
68 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
0.79
Average Goals Scored
1.89
1.79
Average Goals Conceded
1
7
BTTS Yes
16
14
Over 2.5
24
2.96
Shots on Goal
6.24

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chico Chico 28 matches
Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 36 matches
Chico Statistic Atletico Nacional
7 Wins 24
4 Draws 1
17 Losses 11
22 Goals For 68
50 Goals Against 36
0.79 Avg Goals Scored 1.89
1.79 Avg Goals Conceded 1
7 BTTS Yes 16
20 Over 1.5 28
14 Over 2.5 24
6 Over 3.5 8
6 Clean Sheets 11
16 Failed To Score 10
2.96 Shots On Goal 6.24
9.39 Total Shots 16.52
4.07 Corners 5.52
44.8% Ball Possession 58.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.1%)
Predicted formations: Chico 4-1-4-1 / Atletico Nacional 4-2-3-1

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
L W W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
W L D D L
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
W W D L D
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
D L W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L W L L W
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
D L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L W W D W
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L W D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W W W D D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
W W D D L
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W D L W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
D L D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D W D D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L L L L
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
L D D L D
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L D D D W
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
L W W L L
18
Chico Home
19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
L L W W D
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
D L D L W
Post season qualification