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ENGLAND › LEAGUE TWO
03.10.2026 11:30
Proact Stadium
Chesterfield
Match Timeline
Tranmere
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
15'
D. Markanday · Assist: R. Hutton
Chesterfield
🟨
18'
Tom Conlon
Tranmere
🟨
21'
Lee Bonis
Chesterfield
🔄
34'
Z. Okoro ↔ D. Jones
Tranmere
🟨
41'
Joe Ironside
Tranmere
🟨
54'
George James McEachran
Chesterfield
🟨
57'
Joel Senior
Tranmere
⚽
59'
D. Jones · Assist: T. Ince
Tranmere
🔄
61'
T. Conlon ↔ S. Finley
Tranmere
🔄
61'
J. Ironside ↔ D. Kamara
Tranmere
🔄
71'
J. Randall ↔ J. Koroma
Chesterfield
🟨
79'
Kyle McFadzean
Chesterfield
⚽
83'
L. Marsh · Assist: D. Markanday
Chesterfield
⚽
85'
J. Koroma · Assist: L. Marsh
Chesterfield
🔄
87'
L. Gordon ↔ T. Pearce
Chesterfield
🔄
87'
R. Hutton ↔ J. Eccleston
Chesterfield
🔄
88'
L. Marsh ↔ L. Mandeville
Chesterfield
🔄
88'
G. McEachran ↔ K. Dyer
Chesterfield
⚽
90'
J. Koroma · Assist: L. Bonis
Chesterfield
⚽
90'
J. Slater · Assist: S. Finley
Tranmere

Chesterfield vs Tranmere Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 58.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
58.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.3%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Chesterfield Win 58.9%
Draw 17.1%
Tranmere Win 24%
Expected Goals (xG)
Chesterfield1.12
Tranmere1.31
Recent Form (Last 5)
Chesterfield Chesterfield
L W W D D
9 GF / 7 GA
Tranmere Tranmere
D D L W D
5 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.27
Average Goals Scored
1.33
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
7
BTTS Yes
4
5
Over 2.5
2
6.13
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Chesterfield Chesterfield 11 matches
Tranmere Tranmere 9 matches
Chesterfield Statistic Tranmere
3 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
4 Losses 1
14 Goals For 12
14 Goals Against 8
1.27 Avg Goals Scored 1.33
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
7 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 8
5 Over 2.5 2
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
6.13 Shots On Goal 4.5
17.63 Total Shots 11.88
5 Corners 3.63
57.1% Ball Possession 49.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Tranmere. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Chesterfield Analysis

Chesterfield are currently 8 in the standings with 11 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 10:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on L. Bonis (3 goals), D. Markanday (2 goals), L. Marsh (2 goals), with creative support from L. Bonis (1 assists), G. McEachran (1 assists), J. Koroma (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Tranmere Analysis

Tranmere are currently 10 in the standings with 10 points from 7 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 2 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, while the 9:7 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on T. Ince (1 goals), J. Ironside (1 goals), Z. Okoro (1 goals), with creative support from T. Ince (1 assists), J. Senior (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 0 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Chesterfield won 3 times, Tranmere won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:14 from Chesterfield's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.89 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (82.9%)
Predicted formations: Chesterfield 4-2-3-1 / Tranmere 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Chesterfield wins 3, draws 2, Tranmere wins 4

Standings

League Two
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 1 3 19:12 7 25
W W W W W
2 10 6 3 1 23:15 8 21
L W W W W
3 12 5 6 1 15:11 4 21
L W W W D
4 11 4 7 0 16:7 9 19
W D D D W
5 12 5 3 4 21:22 -1 18
W L L L W
6 11 4 5 2 19:13 6 17
D D D W L
7 12 4 5 3 17:14 3 17
D L W D L
8 12 5 2 5 13:17 -4 17
W W L W D
9 12 4 4 4 18:16 2 16
D L D W L
10 12 4 4 4 8:6 2 16
W D W W L
11 12 3 6 3 17:16 1 15
D W D W D
12 12 3 6 3 16:15 1 15
D D W D W
13 12 3 6 3 15:15 0 15
W L D L D
14 12 4 3 5 15:17 -2 15
D L D W W
15 12 4 3 5 13:16 -3 15
W D L L D
16 12 5 0 7 16:20 -4 15
L L L L W
17 12 3 5 4 15:15 0 14
D L L L L
18 12 3 5 4 14:15 -1 14
L W D L L
19 11 2 6 3 11:14 -3 12
D D L D D
20 10 3 3 4 6:10 -4 12
D W W L W
21 11 3 2 6 13:17 -4 11
L W D L L
22 12 2 5 5 14:20 -6 11
D L L L D
23 10 2 4 4 6:8 -2 10
L W D L L
24 10 1 2 7 11:20 -9 5
L L D L L
Promotion - League One
Promotion - League Two (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation - National League