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FRANCE › LIGUE 2
23.10.2026 18:00
Stade Gabriel Montpied

Clermont Foot vs Guingamp Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 64.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
64.8%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
86%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
89.5%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Clermont Foot Win 35.2%
Draw 26.5%
Guingamp Win 38.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Clermont Foot1.32
Guingamp1.19
Recent Form (Last 5)
Clermont Foot Clermont Foot
WWDLW
19 GF / 20 GA
Guingamp Guingamp
WLDWL
19 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
1.12
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.63
10
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
9
2.67
Shots on Goal
5.11

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Clermont Foot Clermont Foot 17 matches
Guingamp Guingamp 16 matches
Clermont Foot Statistic Guingamp
2 Wins 4
11 Draws 4
4 Losses 8
19 Goals For 19
20 Goals Against 26
1.12 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.63
10 BTTS Yes 10
10 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 4
2.67 Shots On Goal 5.11
7.67 Total Shots 14.11
4.67 Corners 4.11
49% Ball Possession 53.3%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Guingamp. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Clermont Foot expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Guingamp in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Guingamp having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Clermont Foot Analysis

Clermont Foot sit 17 with 6 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 2 defeats with a 6:9 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on A. Hunou (1 goals), F. Bianchini (1 goals), C. Okou (1 goals), with creative support from A. Hunou (1 assists), F. Bianchini (1 assists), V. N'Simba (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guingamp Analysis

Guingamp sit 11 with 8 points after 8 league matches. The record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 10:13 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through D. Gomis (2 goals), S. Kielt (2 goals), E. Koffi (1 goals), with creative support from T. Averlant (2 assists), D. Gomis (1 assists), E. Koffi (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Clermont Foot won 5 times, Guingamp won 4 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:11 from Clermont Foot's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.45 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.5%)
Predicted formations: Clermont Foot 4-1-4-1 / Guingamp 4-4-2
H2H summary: Clermont Foot wins 5, draws 2, Guingamp wins 4

Standings

Ligue 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 1 1 22:8 14 22
W W D L W
2 9 4 5 0 19:11 8 17
W D D W D
3 9 5 2 2 12:10 2 17
L W W W W
4 9 5 1 3 11:8 3 16
W W W L L
5 8 4 3 1 8:5 3 15
W D W L D
6 9 4 2 3 11:9 2 14
W W W L D
7 9 3 4 2 15:13 2 13
W L D L W
8 9 4 1 4 11:11 0 13
L W L L W
9 9 3 3 3 16:16 0 12
L W W W D
10 9 3 2 4 13:15 -2 11
W L L W D
11 9 2 5 2 7:9 -2 11
L D D W D
12 9 1 6 2 6:6 0 9
W D L D D
13 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L L W D
14 9 2 2 5 11:16 -5 8
L D W L W
15 9 2 2 5 8:15 -7 8
L L D W L
16 9 0 7 2 9:12 -3 7
D L D D D
17 8 2 1 5 14:18 -4 7
L L L L D
18 9 1 3 5 13:20 -7 6
D L D L L
Promotion - Ligue 1
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Final)
Promotion - Ligue 1 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation - Ligue 3