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SWEDEN › ETTAN - NORRA
23.10.2026 17:30
Jarfallavallen

Järfälla vs Hammarby Talang Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
72.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
82.5%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Järfälla Win 27.1%
Draw 21.9%
Hammarby Talang Win 51%
Expected Goals (xG)
Järfälla1.29
Hammarby Talang2.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Järfälla Järfälla
WWDLW
42 GF / 67 GA
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang
WLDWL
61 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.4
Average Goals Scored
1.91
2.23
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
20
BTTS Yes
16
22
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Järfälla Järfälla 30 matches
Hammarby Talang Hammarby Talang 32 matches
Järfälla Statistic Hammarby Talang
6 Wins 15
5 Draws 8
19 Losses 9
42 Goals For 61
67 Goals Against 36
1.4 Avg Goals Scored 1.91
2.23 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
20 BTTS Yes 16
28 Over 1.5 26
22 Over 2.5 19
17 Over 3.5 11
3 Clean Sheets 11
7 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Hammarby Talang's more proactive style and Järfälla's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Hammarby Talang carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 45 points while Järfälla sit 15 on 19, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Hammarby Talang having the stronger overall control. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Hammarby Talang. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Järfälla Analysis

With 19 points from 26 games and a place of 15, Järfälla still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 4 draws, and 17 defeats, and the 34:57 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 0 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Hammarby Talang Analysis

Hammarby Talang sit 4 with 45 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 51:26 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 8 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Järfälla won 0 times, Hammarby Talang won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from Järfälla's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (78.1%)
H2H summary: Järfälla wins 0, draws 1, Hammarby Talang wins 0

Standings

North
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 19 4 4 64:22 42 61
D W W W W
2 27 15 5 7 52:37 15 50
W L D W L
3 27 14 6 7 47:34 13 48
L L W W W
4 27 15 3 9 42:41 1 48
W W W L D
5 27 13 7 7 44:37 7 46
W L D W D
6 26 13 6 7 51:26 25 45
L L W L D
7 26 12 8 6 40:25 15 44
W D D D D
8 26 10 5 11 44:45 -1 35
L W L L W
9 26 10 5 11 36:42 -6 35
W W W L W
10 27 9 6 12 37:47 -10 33
L D W D L
11 27 9 5 13 33:47 -14 32
D D L L W
12 27 6 10 11 28:37 -9 28
D W L L D
13 27 7 7 13 39:59 -20 28
L D L W L
14 27 5 9 13 34:50 -16 24
D D D W W
15 27 6 4 17 37:58 -21 22
W L D L L
16 27 3 6 18 46:67 -21 15
L L D L L