UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
UTC Cajamarca Win 0%
Draw 0%
FBC Melgar Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
UTC Cajamarca1.11
FBC Melgar1.67
Recent Form (Last 5)
UTC Cajamarca
WWDLW
32 GF / 48 GA
FBC Melgar
WLDWL
51 GF / 33 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.71
Average Goals Conceded
1.06
18
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
17
4.31
Shots on Goal
4.96
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UTC Cajamarca
28 matches
FBC Melgar
31 matches
| UTC Cajamarca | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 15 |
| 9 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 8 |
| 32 | Goals For | 51 |
| 48 | Goals Against | 33 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.65 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.06 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 22 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 11 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.31 | Shots On Goal | 4.96 |
| 12.27 | Total Shots | 15.27 |
| 4.42 | Corners | 5 |
| 50.4% | Ball Possession | 54.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, FBC Melgar won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:22 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Predicted formations: UTC Cajamarca 3-4-3 / FBC Melgar 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: UTC Cajamarca wins 3, draws 4, FBC Melgar wins 7
Standings
Primera Division: Tabla Anual
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38:34 | 4 | 37 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 25:28 | -3 | 32 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 |
UTC Cajamarca
Home
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2