UTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar H2H Stats
Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.
View today's football H2H statsUTC Cajamarca vs FBC Melgar Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
82.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
- |
UTC Cajamarca
FBC Melgar
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
UTC Cajamarca
31 matches
FBC Melgar
34 matches
| UTC Cajamarca | Statistic | FBC Melgar |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Wins | 16 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 17 | Losses | 8 |
| 34 | Goals For | 58 |
| 53 | Goals Against | 38 |
| 1.1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.71 |
| 1.71 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 19 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 23 | Over 1.5 | 28 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 19 |
| 12 | Over 3.5 | 12 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 10 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.45 | Shots On Goal | 5.28 |
| 12.69 | Total Shots | 15.83 |
| 4.21 | Corners | 5.21 |
| 49.2% | Ball Possession | 55.2% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by FBC Melgar's more proactive style and UTC Cajamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. UTC Cajamarca have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward FBC Melgar. FBC Melgar carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 47 points while UTC Cajamarca sit 18 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
With 15 points from 28 games and a place of 18, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 4 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 32:51, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through M. Rasmussen (4 goals), M. Lliuya (3 goals), A. Arroyo (3 goals), with creative support from M. Lliuya (3 assists), M. Rasmussen (2 assists), D. Camacho (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed - wins, - draws, and - losses, a return that supports an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Placed 4 with 47 points from 28 outings, FBC Melgar continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 13 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses with goals at 47:31 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by B. Cuesta (9 goals), J. Vidales (9 goals), N. Quagliata (4 goals), with creative support from N. Quagliata (10 assists), B. Cuesta (3 assists), Matias Zegarra (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, FBC Melgar won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 13:22 from UTC Cajamarca's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 53:23 | 30 | 68 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 32 | 17 | 9 | 6 | 57:37 | 20 | 60 |
D
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 |
FBC Melgar
Away
|
33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 56:38 | 18 | 57 |
W
L
D
W
W
|
| 4 | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 50:35 | 15 | 54 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 5 | 33 | 15 | 6 | 12 | 63:48 | 15 | 51 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 14 | 46:47 | -1 | 51 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 54:46 | 8 | 50 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 48:49 | -1 | 50 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 9 | 33 | 14 | 7 | 12 | 49:48 | 1 | 49 |
L
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 39:51 | -12 | 47 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 37:35 | 2 | 45 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | 48:59 | -11 | 41 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 37 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 44:47 | -3 | 36 |
D
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 15 | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36:48 | -12 | 32 |
D
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 46:65 | -19 | 31 |
W
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 32 | 7 | 8 | 17 | 25:46 | -21 | 29 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 |
UTC Cajamarca
Home
|
32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:58 | -20 | 18 |
L
W
L
L
L
|