🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
--.--.---- --:--
Bank of America Stadium
Referee: A. Chapman
Charlotte
Match Timeline
Toronto FC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
W. Zaha · Assist: K. A. Calderon Vargas
Charlotte
22'
D. Etienne · Assist: J. Osorio
Toronto FC
VAR
30'
Jackson Gilman
Toronto FC
35'
D. Schnegg · Assist: K. A. Calderon Vargas
Charlotte
🟨
49'
Pep Biel
Charlotte
🟨
54'
Malik Henry
Toronto FC
🔄
58'
R. Edwards ↔ N. Gomis
Toronto FC
🔄
66'
B. Bronico ↔ D. Diani
Charlotte
🔄
66'
K. A. Calderon Vargas ↔ R. Aloko
Charlotte
🔄
75'
I. Toklomati ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🔄
75'
N. Byrne ↔ W. Cleary
Charlotte
🔄
78'
M. Henry ↔ F. Bank
Toronto FC
🟨
83'
Jonathan Osorio
Toronto FC
84'
P. Biel
Charlotte
🔄
87'
P. Biel ↔ L. de la Torre
Charlotte
🟨
90+2'
Ashley Westwood
Charlotte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 73%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 94.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 87.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
73%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
94.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
87.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
91.5%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Charlotte Win 73%
Draw 9%
Toronto FC Win 18%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte1.6
Toronto FC1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlotte Charlotte
WWDLW
26 GF / 25 GA
Toronto FC Toronto FC
WLDWL
30 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.53
Average Goals Scored
1.76
1.47
Average Goals Conceded
1.71
11
BTTS Yes
13
11
Over 2.5
11
4.54
Shots on Goal
4.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlotte Charlotte 17 matches
Toronto FC Toronto FC 17 matches
Charlotte Statistic Toronto FC
7 Wins 6
3 Draws 6
7 Losses 5
26 Goals For 30
25 Goals Against 29
1.53 Avg Goals Scored 1.76
1.47 Avg Goals Conceded 1.71
11 BTTS Yes 13
12 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 11
6 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
4.54 Shots On Goal 4.75
10.38 Total Shots 11.83
4.54 Corners 6
47.8% Ball Possession 47.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Charlotte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Toronto FC.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 8 with 15 points from 12 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 20:21, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through P. Biel (6 goals), Idan Toklomati Jorno (4 goals), A. Goodwin (3 goals), with creative support from P. Biel (3 assists), L. Abada (2 assists), Idan Toklomati Jorno (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Toronto FC Analysis

Toronto FC sit 10 with 14 points after 12 league matches. Their overall return of 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 20:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by D. Salloi (4 goals), Emilio Aristizábal (3 goals), J. Sargent (2 goals), with creative support from D. Salloi (3 assists), K. Franklin (2 assists), D. Mihailovic (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 5 times, Toronto FC won 3 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Charlotte's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91%)
Predicted formations: Charlotte 4-2-3-1 / Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Charlotte 2, Toronto FC 10
H2H summary: Charlotte wins 5, draws 1, Toronto FC wins 3
Stats
Charlotte Charlotte
Toronto FC Toronto FC
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
5
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
7 Corner Kicks 3
8 Fouls 13
2 Offsides 1
46% Ball Possession 54%
18 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 5
4 Blocked Shots 4
13 Shots insidebox 7
5 Shots outsidebox 6
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
422 Total passes 498
370 Passes accurate 437
2.14 expected_goals 1.20
🟨 2 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Charlotte
Formation
Toronto FC
K. Kahlina
K. Kahlina
N. Byrne
N. Byrne
M. Agyemang
M. Agyemang
A. Privett
A. Privett
D. Schnegg
D. Schnegg
B. Bronico
B. Bronico
A. Westwood
A. Westwood
K. A. Calderon Vargas
🎯
K. A. Calderon Vargas
P. Biel
P. Biel
W. Zaha
W. Zaha
I. Toklomati
I. Toklomati
L. Gavran
L. Gavran
K. Franklin
K. Franklin
W. Zimmerman
W. Zimmerman
J. Gilman
J. Gilman
R. Edwards
R. Edwards
A. Coello
A. Coello
J. Osorio
🎯
J. Osorio
M. Henry
M. Henry
D. Salloi
D. Salloi
D. Etienne
D. Etienne
E. Aristizabal
E. Aristizabal
Charlotte 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
K. Kahlina
G
14
N. Byrne
↓ 75'
D
44
M. Agyemang
4
A. Privett
D
23
D. Schnegg
⚽ 35'
D
13
B. Bronico
↓ 66'
M
8
A. Westwood
🟨 90+2'
M
18
K. A. Calderon Vargas
🎯 19' 🎯 35' ↓ 66'
M
16
P. Biel
⚽ 84' ↓ 87' 🟨 49'
M
10
W. Zaha
⚽ 19'
M
9
I. Toklomati
↓ 75'
F
Substitutes
21
T. Miller
G
7
A. Goodwin
↑ 75'
F
48
A. John
M
17
L. de la Torre
↑ 87'
M
11
L. Abada
F
28
D. Diani
↑ 66'
M
22
H. Kessler
D
37
R. Aloko
↑ 66'
F
35
W. Cleary
↑ 75'
D
Toronto FC 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
L. Gavran
G
19
K. Franklin
D
25
W. Zimmerman
D
38
J. Gilman
D
44
R. Edwards
↓ 58'
D
14
A. Coello
M
21
J. Osorio
🎯 22' 🟨 83'
M
78
M. Henry
↓ 78' 🟨 54'
M
20
D. Salloi
M
11
D. Etienne
⚽ 22'
M
17
E. Aristizabal
F
Substitutes
23
W. Yarbrough
G
77
A. De Rosario
G
74
L. Costabile
D
98
S. Kapor
D
15
N. Gomis
↑ 58'
D
91
D. Barrow
F
79
F. Bank
↑ 78'
F
Last matches: Charlotte
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
02.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
0
1
L
26.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
2
4
L
22.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Orlando City SC
1
4
L
18.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
2
1
W
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
01.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Los Angeles Galaxy
0
3
L
21.02.26
Maj
Charlotte
St. Louis City
1
1
D
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
07.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
San Jose Earthquakes
0
1
L
31.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Sporting Kansas City
1
0
W
23.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
3
1
W
Last matches: Toronto FC
24.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
09.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Inter Miami
2
4
L
02.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
San Jose Earthquakes
1
1
D
25.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Atlanta United FC
1
2
L
22.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Philadelphia Union
3
3
D
18.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Austin
3
3
D
11.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
1
D
04.04.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Colorado Rapids
3
2
W
21.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Columbus Crew
2
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
New York Red Bulls
1
1
D
08.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
2
3
L
14.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Polessya
2
1
W
11.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Fredrikstad
0
1
L
08.02.26
Fri
Toronto FC
AIK Stockholm
2
2
D
31.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Jeonbuk Motors
2
0
W
28.01.26
Fri
Toronto FC
Incheon United
4
1
W
H2H: Charlotte vs Toronto FC
16.05.26
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
2
0
W
31.05.25
H2H
Toronto FC
Charlotte
0
2
W
13.04.24
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
2
W
09.03.24
H2H
Toronto FC
Charlotte
1
0
L
04.10.23
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
0
W
01.04.23
H2H
Toronto FC
Charlotte
2
2
D
27.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
0
2
L
23.07.22
H2H
Toronto FC
Charlotte
4
0
L
Last matches: Charlotte
23.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New England Revolution
1
0
W
13.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York City FC
0
1
L
09.05.26
Maj
Charlotte
FC Cincinnati
2
2
D
11.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Nashville SC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Maj
Charlotte
Philadelphia Union
2
1
W
21.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
New York Red Bulls
6
1
W
14.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Inter Miami
0
0
D
08.03.26
Maj
Charlotte
Austin
3
1
W
14.02.26
Fri
Charlotte
Minnesota United FC
2
1
W
23.01.26
Fri
Charlotte
Charleston Battery
3
1
W
H2H at home: Charlotte
16.05.26
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
W
26.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
2
0
W
13.04.24
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
2
W
04.10.23
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
0
W
27.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
0
2
L
Last matches: Toronto FC
24.05.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Chicago Fire
1
2
L
08.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Cincinnati
1
0
W
01.03.26
Maj
Toronto FC
Vancouver Whitecaps
0
3
L
22.02.26
Maj
Toronto FC
FC Dallas
2
3
L
H2H away: Toronto FC
16.05.26
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
1
L
26.07.25
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
2
0
L
13.04.24
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
2
L
04.10.23
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
3
0
L
27.08.22
H2H
Charlotte
Toronto FC
0
2
W

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 14 10 3 1 31:11 20 33
W W W D D
2 15 9 4 2 39:28 11 31
W W W W L
3 14 8 2 4 27:16 11 26
W W W L L
4 14 8 1 5 22:18 4 25
L W L W W
5 15 6 4 5 25:32 -7 22
W D W W L
6 15 6 3 6 24:23 1 21
W W L D L
7 15 5 5 5 36:37 -1 20
W D L D W
8 15 5 4 6 25:21 4 19
L D W W L
9 15 4 6 5 21:25 -4 18
D D L D W
10 15 4 4 7 21:23 -2 16
W D L L L
11 14 4 2 8 22:31 -9 14
D L D W L
12 15 4 2 9 23:44 -21 14
L D W L W
13 14 3 5 6 22:29 -7 14
L L L D L
14 14 3 2 9 14:23 -9 11
L D L W W
15 15 1 4 10 18:30 -12 7
L D L L D
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)

Missing Players

Charlotte 2 missing
-
H. Kessler
Missing Fixture Lower-Body Injury
OUT
-
H. Toffolo
Missing Fixture Hamstring Injury
OUT
Toronto FC 10 missing
-
B. Kuscevic
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
T. Corbeanu
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
Matheus Pereira
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
H. Wingo
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
D. Mihailovic
Missing Fixture Pelvis Injury
OUT
-
R. Laryea
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT
-
J. Cifuentes
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Vilsaint
Missing Fixture Groin Injury
OUT
-
J. Sargent
Questionable Thigh Injury
OUT
-
L. Stefanovic
Missing Fixture Injury
OUT