🇺🇸 USA MAJOR LEAGUE SOCCER
05.09.2026 23:30
Bank of America Stadium
Referee: G. Gonzales
Charlotte
Match Timeline
Houston Dynamo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
8'
Felipe Andrade
Houston Dynamo
🟨
45+3'
Tim Ream
Charlotte
🟨
49'
Djibril Diani
Charlotte
🟨
66'
Agustin Resch
Houston Dynamo
🔄
66'
D. McGuire ↔ I. Aliyu
Houston Dynamo
🔄
70'
D. Diani ↔ L. de la Torre
Charlotte
🔄
70'
L. Abada ↔ R. Aloko
Charlotte
🟨
71'
Ashley Westwood
Charlotte
🟨
71'
Ashley Westwood
Charlotte
🟥
71'
Ashley Westwood
Charlotte
🔄
75'
I. Toklomati ↔ B. Bronico
Charlotte
🟨
78'
Artur
Houston Dynamo
🔄
79'
A. Bouzat ↔ M. Arana
Houston Dynamo
🟨
83'
Allan Saint-Maximin
Charlotte
🔄
85'
A. Saint-Maximin ↔ A. Goodwin
Charlotte
🟨
90+3'
Guilherme
Houston Dynamo

Charlotte vs Houston Dynamo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.4%
Odds 1.28
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds 1.53
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds 1.69
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.4%
1.28
BTTS Yes
67.1%
1.53
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
1.69
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
77.2%
1.37
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Charlotte Win 52.6%
Draw 3.6%
Houston Dynamo Win 43.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Charlotte1.53
Houston Dynamo1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Charlotte Charlotte
WWDLW
46 GF / 35 GA
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo
WLDWL
51 GF / 36 GA
Key Stats
1.77
Average Goals Scored
1.65
1.35
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
17
BTTS Yes
15
17
Over 2.5
14
5.05
Shots on Goal
4.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Charlotte Charlotte 26 matches
Houston Dynamo Houston Dynamo 31 matches
Charlotte Statistic Houston Dynamo
13 Wins 19
5 Draws 5
8 Losses 7
46 Goals For 51
35 Goals Against 36
1.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.65
1.35 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
17 BTTS Yes 15
20 Over 1.5 23
17 Over 2.5 14
11 Over 3.5 7
5 Clean Sheets 12
5 Failed To Score 5
5.05 Shots On Goal 4.5
11.55 Total Shots 13.05
4.5 Corners 4.32
46.9% Ball Possession 46.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match looks like a contest between two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Houston Dynamo. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Houston Dynamo look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Charlotte expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Houston Dynamo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Houston Dynamo having the stronger overall control.

Charlotte Analysis

Charlotte come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 32 points after 21 matches. The return of 9 wins, 5 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 38:32, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Pep Biel (4 goals), Idan Toklomati (3 goals), Kerwin Calderón Vargas (2 goals), with creative support from Kerwin Calderón Vargas (4 assists), Pep Biel (3 assists), Ashley Westwood (1 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. At home, the split of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Houston Dynamo Analysis

Houston Dynamo come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 38 points after 21 matches. The return of 12 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats, together with goals at 30:26, reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking edge comes through Guilherme (6 goals), Mateusz Bogusz (3 goals), Lawrence Ennali (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Lawrence Ennali (2 assists), Jack McGlynn (2 assists), while their defending has remained fairly stable. Away from home, their record of 5 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Charlotte won 2 times, Houston Dynamo won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:3 from Charlotte's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Charlotte 4-3-3 / Houston Dynamo 4-2-3-1
Missing players: Charlotte 3, Houston Dynamo 2
H2H summary: Charlotte wins 2, draws 0, Houston Dynamo wins 1

Standings

Eastern Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 17 6 3 53:21 32 57
W D L D W
2 26 14 4 8 45:33 12 46
W W W L W
3 25 12 9 4 61:46 15 45
D D D W L
4 26 12 7 7 47:37 10 43
W D W D W
5 25 11 6 8 45:38 7 39
L L D D D
6 26 10 6 10 50:42 8 36
W W W W W
7 26 10 4 12 46:60 -14 34
L W W W D
8 26 9 6 11 34:48 -14 33
W W L D L
9 25 8 9 8 54:61 -7 33
D D L L D
10 26 8 8 10 39:34 5 32
L W L D D
11 25 6 11 8 31:39 -8 29
L D W D L
12 26 6 11 9 39:49 -10 29
L L W D D
13 26 7 5 14 37:42 -5 26
W L L W L
14 26 7 5 14 30:43 -13 26
W D L D L
15 26 5 6 15 31:53 -22 21
L L L L L
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/8-finals)
Promotion - MLS (Play Offs: 1/16-finals)