05.09.2026 18:00
Cerrito
Match Timeline
Paysandu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
11'
A. Mendez
Paysandu
26'
A. Schetino
Cerrito
30'
L. Lopez
Paysandu

Cerrito vs Paysandu Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.4%
Odds 2.03
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds 1.84
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.4%
2.03
BTTS Yes
75%
1.84
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.16
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.10
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Cerrito Win 60.4%
Draw 8.3%
Paysandu Win 31.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cerrito1.32
Paysandu1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cerrito Cerrito
WWDLW
29 GF / 26 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
25 GF / 29 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.18
Average Goals Conceded
1.32
12
BTTS Yes
11
9
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerrito Cerrito 22 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 22 matches
Cerrito Statistic Paysandu
8 Wins 7
9 Draws 3
5 Losses 12
29 Goals For 25
26 Goals Against 29
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.18 Avg Goals Conceded 1.32
12 BTTS Yes 11
15 Over 1.5 14
9 Over 2.5 10
5 Over 3.5 5
8 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Paysandu. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. Cerrito arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 9 points compared to Paysandu in 11 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Paysandu arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Cerrito Analysis

So far, Cerrito have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 9 points from 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 8:8 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu sit 11 with 4 points after 6 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 4 defeats with a 4:7 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Cerrito won 1 times, Paysandu won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Cerrito's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.7%)
H2H summary: Cerrito wins 1, draws 0, Paysandu wins 0

Standings

1st Phase
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 6 4 1 1 8:5 3 13
L W W W D
2 6 3 3 0 9:2 7 12
W D D W W
3 6 3 2 1 13:7 6 11
W L W W D
4 6 2 4 0 9:6 3 10
D W W D D
5 6 2 3 1 8:5 3 9
D W D L D
6 6 2 3 1 7:5 2 9
D W L W D
7 6 2 3 1 6:5 1 9
D L W W D
8 6 2 3 1 8:8 0 9
D D L W D
9 6 1 4 1 5:6 -1 7
D L W D D
10 6 1 2 3 3:7 -4 5
D D L W L
11 6 1 1 4 4:7 -3 4
L D L L W
12 6 1 1 4 5:11 -6 4
L W L L L
13 6 1 1 4 6:13 -7 4
W L L L D
14 6 0 3 3 5:9 -4 3
D L L L D