JAPAN › J1 LEAGUE

06.09.2026 10:00

Cerezo Osaka

Tokyo Verdy

Yodoko Sakura Stadium

Cerezo Osaka vs Tokyo Verdy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 66%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 54.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 55.6%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	66%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	54.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	55.6%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	84.1%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Cerezo Osaka Win 66%

Draw 4.7%

Tokyo Verdy Win 29.3%

Expected Goals (xG)

Cerezo Osaka1.05

Tokyo Verdy0.8

Recent Form (Last 5)

Cerezo Osaka

WWDLW

3 GF / 5 GA

Tokyo Verdy

WLDWL

2 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

0.75

Average Goals Scored

0.5

1.25

Average Goals Conceded

1.5

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

3.25

Shots on Goal

2.25

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cerezo Osaka 4 matches

Tokyo Verdy 4 matches

Cerezo Osaka	Statistic	Tokyo Verdy
2	Wins	0
0	Draws	2
2	Losses	2
3	Goals For	2
5	Goals Against	6
0.75	Avg Goals Scored	0.5
1.25	Avg Goals Conceded	1.5
1	BTTS Yes	2
2	Over 1.5	3
2	Over 2.5	1
0	Over 3.5	1
1	Clean Sheets	1
2	Failed To Score	2
3.25	Shots On Goal	2.25
9.75	Total Shots	9
5.75	Corners	3.25
57.8%	Ball Possession	36.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Cerezo Osaka won 5 times, Tokyo Verdy won 1 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:6 from Cerezo Osaka's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.3%)

Predicted formations: Cerezo Osaka 3-4-2-1 / Tokyo Verdy 3-4-2-1

H2H summary: Cerezo Osaka wins 5, draws 2, Tokyo Verdy wins 1

Standings

J-League

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Kashiwa Reysol	4	4	0	0	10:4	6	12	W W W W
2	Kashima	4	4	0	0	11:6	5	12	W W W W
3	Machida Zelvia	4	3	1	0	13:3	10	10	D W W W
4	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	4	2	2	0	8:2	6	8	D D W W
5	FC Tokyo	4	2	1	1	8:7	1	7	W W D L
6	Vissel Kobe	4	2	1	1	4:3	1	7	W L D W
7	Kawasaki Frontale	4	1	3	0	8:6	2	6	W D D D
8	Nagoya Grampus	4	2	0	2	6:5	1	6	W W L L
9	Yokohama F. Marinos	4	2	0	2	7:7	0	6	L W W L
10	Cerezo Osaka Home	4	2	0	2	3:5	-2	6	L W L W
11	Mito Hollyhock	4	1	2	1	6:5	1	5	D W D L
12	Gamba Osaka	4	1	2	1	6:7	-1	5	D L D W
13	Fagiano Okayama	4	1	1	2	3:4	-1	4	L D W L
14	Kyoto Sanga	4	1	1	2	6:8	-2	4	W L D L
15	Avispa Fukuoka	4	1	0	3	6:6	0	3	L L W L
16	Shimizu S-pulse	4	1	0	3	1:3	-2	3	L L L W
17	Urawa	4	1	0	3	8:13	-5	3	W L L L
18	V-varen Nagasaki	4	1	0	3	4:9	-5	3	L L L W
19	Tokyo Verdy Away	4	0	2	2	2:6	-4	2	L D L D
20	JEF United Chiba	4	0	0	4	2:13	-11	0	L L L L

Promotion - AFC Champions League (League phase)

Relegation - J2 League