ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Padre Ernesto Martearena

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 80.4%
Odds 1.40
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds 2.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 70.3%
Odds 3.16
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
80.4%
1.40
BTTS Yes
71.2%
2.50
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
70.3%
3.16
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.42
HT / FT Home / Home
-
5.50
Correct Score 2-1
-
15.00
Probability Distribution
Central Norte Win 32.5%
Draw 19.6%
Godoy Cruz Win 47.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Central Norte0.68
Godoy Cruz0.98
Recent Form (Last 5)
Central Norte Central Norte
WWDLW
11 GF / 17 GA
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
WLDWL
18 GF / 14 GA
Key Stats
0.61
Average Goals Scored
1
0.94
Average Goals Conceded
0.78
7
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Central Norte Central Norte 18 matches
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 18 matches
Central Norte Statistic Godoy Cruz
3 Wins 6
7 Draws 7
8 Losses 5
11 Goals For 18
17 Goals Against 14
0.61 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.94 Avg Goals Conceded 0.78
7 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 5
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
9 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Godoy Cruz's more proactive style and Central Norte's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Central Norte have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Godoy Cruz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 25 points while Central Norte sit 17 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Godoy Cruz. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Godoy Cruz having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Central Norte Analysis

Central Norte approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 14 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 10:16 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on J. Lopez (2 goals), M. Ribero (2 goals), A. Lamosa (1 goals), with creative support from M. Ribero (1 assists), F. Borda (1 assists), J. Mateo (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Godoy Cruz Analysis

Godoy Cruz sit 6 with 25 points after 16 league matches. The record of 6 wins, 7 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 18:12 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through M. Pino (8 goals), N. Ulariaga (3 goals), V. Poggi (3 goals), with creative support from L. Arce (4 assists), M. Pino (3 assists), N. Ulariaga (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
Last matches: Central Norte
14.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Telmo
0
0
D
06.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
Acassuso
1
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Deportivo Madryn
2
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
04.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
29.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
All Boys
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Los Andes
0
0
D
01.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
Deportivo Moron
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Central Norte
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
13.02.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Miguel
0
1
L
28.01.26
Fri
Central Norte
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
Last matches: Godoy Cruz
14.06.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
07.06.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Atletico Mitre
2
1
W
30.05.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
24.05.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
All Boys
4
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Los Andes
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Racing Cordoba
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Deportivo Moron
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
18.04.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
San Miguel
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
San Telmo
0
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Acassuso
2
0
W
29.03.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
1
W
01.03.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Deportivo Madryn
0
0
D
26.02.26
Cop
Godoy Cruz
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Ciudad de Bolívar
1
1
D
Last matches: Central Norte
14.06.26
Pri
Central Norte
San Telmo
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
10.05.26
Pri
Central Norte
Deportivo Madryn
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Central Norte
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Central Norte
All Boys
1
0
W
22.02.26
Pri
Central Norte
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
Last matches: Godoy Cruz
14.06.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Almirante Brown
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
CA Estudiantes
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Los Andes
0
1
L
26.04.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
San Telmo
0
2
L
29.03.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Deportivo Maipu
1
0
W
22.03.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Chaco For Ever
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Godoy Cruz
Defensores De Belgrano
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.47
Draw 2.73
Home 3.39
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.37
Draw 1.81
Home 4.38
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.25 1.46
Over 1.5 1.68
Over 1.75 1.92
Over 2.0 2.36
Over 2.25 2.78
Over 2.5 3.16
Over 3.5 6.93
Under 0.5 5.12
Under 1.25 2.65
Under 1.5 2.15
Under 1.75 1.87
Under 2.0 1.57
Under 2.25 1.42
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.10
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.45
Draw 2.75
Home 3.40
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.40
Draw 1.83
Home 4.33
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.05
Home 3.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.67
Over 2.5 3.40
Over 3.5 7.00
Over 4.5 17.00
Over 5.5 41.00
Under 0.5 5.00
Under 1.5 2.10
Under 2.5 1.33
Under 3.5 1.10
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.38
Draw 2.64
Home 3.33
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.34
Draw 1.70
Home 4.61
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.87
Draw 1.99
Home 3.92
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.10
Over 0.75 1.13
Over 1.0 1.18
Over 1.25 1.43
Over 1.5 1.65
Over 1.75 1.82
Over 2.0 2.21
Over 2.25 2.59
Over 2.5 2.97
Over 2.75 3.78
Over 3.0 5.45
Over 3.25 5.94
Over 3.5 6.40
Over 3.75 9.60
Over 4.0 9.80
Over 4.5 12.50
Over 5.5 21.00
Under 0.5 5.15
Under 0.75 4.54
Under 1.0 3.85
Under 1.25 2.62
Under 1.5 2.11
Under 1.75 1.80
Under 2.0 1.53
Under 2.25 1.39
Under 2.5 1.30
Under 2.75 1.19
Under 3.0 1.08
Under 3.25 1.07
Under 3.5 1.05
Under 3.75 1.01
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.02
Under 5.5 1.00

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 4 3 26:14 12 34
W W W W L
2 17 9 4 4 19:13 6 31
W W D W W
3 17 7 8 2 15:4 11 29
W D D W W
4 17 7 8 2 21:13 8 29
W D D D D
5 17 6 9 2 14:10 4 27
L D D W W
6 17 6 7 4 22:17 5 25
D D D W L
7 17 6 7 4 18:13 5 25
L W L W L
8 17 6 5 6 10:11 -1 23
W L D L D
9 17 6 5 6 12:14 -2 23
W D W L D
10 17 4 9 4 14:19 -5 21
D D D W L
11 17 5 5 7 16:19 -3 20
W D D L L
12 17 4 8 5 12:15 -3 20
L D W L D
13 17 5 3 9 12:17 -5 18
L W D W L
14 17 3 8 6 17:20 -3 17
L L L D W
15 17 3 8 6 12:16 -4 17
D D L L D
16 17 3 7 7 10:18 -8 16
L D D L W
17 17 3 6 8 10:16 -6 15
D L D L W
18 17 1 6 10 12:24 -12 9
L L D L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation