Ceara vs Sport Recife Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
90.1%
|
1.33 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
78.8%
|
2.10 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
77.2%
|
2.32 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
71.1%
|
1.17 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
4.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Ceara
Sport Recife
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Ceara
25 matches
Sport Recife
25 matches
| Ceara | Statistic | Sport Recife |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Wins | 9 |
| 7 | Draws | 11 |
| 11 | Losses | 5 |
| 25 | Goals For | 33 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 24 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.32 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.96 |
| 12 | BTTS Yes | 15 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 18 |
| 8 | Over 2.5 | 11 |
| 3 | Over 3.5 | 4 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.16 | Shots On Goal | 4.2 |
| 13.24 | Total Shots | 13.68 |
| 5.64 | Corners | 4.68 |
| 51.4% | Ball Possession | 54.1% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Sport Recife's more proactive style and Ceara's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Sport Recife. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Sport Recife carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 38 points while Ceara sit 17 on 28, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
Ceara sit 17 with 28 points after 24 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 7 wins, 7 draws, and 10 defeats with a 25:30 goal balance points toward good form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (4 goals), Lucas Lima (3 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Giulio (3 assists), Juan Alano (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 5 wins, 3 draws, and 5 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
So far, Sport Recife have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 38 points from 25 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 11 draws, and 5 losses, while the 33:24 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Perotti (7 goals), Chrystian Barletta (6 goals), Biel Fonseca (1 goals), with creative support from Chrystian Barletta (3 assists), Biel Fonseca (3 assists), Carlos De Pena (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 5 times, Sport Recife won 5 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:15 from Ceara's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 |
Sport Recife
Away
|
29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Ceara
Home
|
29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 | 29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|