BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
FT
0 - 1
Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo
Referee: P. Vollkopf
Ceara
Match Timeline
CRB
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
11'
João Gabriel
Ceara
🟨
38'
Éder
Ceara
🟨
43'
Lucas Mugni
Ceara
VAR
45+2'
Thiaguinho
CRB
45'
Mikael
CRB
🔄
46'
Giulio ↔ M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
Ceara
🔄
46'
Lucas Mugni ↔ Vina
Ceara
🔄
46'
Sanchez ↔ Savio
Ceara
🟨
53'
Lucas Lovat
CRB
🔄
63'
Lucas Lovat ↔ Reverson
CRB
🔄
63'
Danielzinho ↔ Geovane
CRB
🔄
71'
Bryan Borges ↔ Enzo Lodovico
Ceara
🟨
74'
Kevin
CRB
🟨
76'
Júlio César
Ceara
🔄
78'
Giovanni Pavani ↔ Juan Alano
Ceara
🔄
79'
Thiaguinho ↔ Guilherme Pato
CRB
🟨
88'
Vitor Caetano
CRB
🔄
88'
Dada Belmonte ↔ Vinicius Barata
CRB
🔄
88'
Pedro Castro ↔ De Lucca
CRB

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 63.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
63.5%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ceara Win 36.5%
Draw 26.6%
CRB Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ceara1.25
CRB1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ceara Ceara
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
CRB CRB
WLDWL
28 GF / 32 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1.56
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
9
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
12
3.72
Shots on Goal
5.61

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ceara Ceara 18 matches
CRB CRB 18 matches
Ceara Statistic CRB
4 Wins 6
7 Draws 5
7 Losses 7
16 Goals For 28
21 Goals Against 32
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1.56
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
9 BTTS Yes 12
13 Over 1.5 15
5 Over 2.5 12
1 Over 3.5 8
4 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 4
3.72 Shots On Goal 5.61
13 Total Shots 16.5
5.89 Corners 5.06
50.1% Ball Possession 51.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ceara have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward CRB. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Ceara expected to line up in 3-5-2 and CRB in 4-1-4-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward CRB having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Ceara Analysis

Ceara sit 17 with 18 points after 17 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 15:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Matheus Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

CRB Analysis

With 20 points from 17 games and a place of 15, CRB still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 26:31, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Mikael (9 goals), Pedro Castro (3 goals), Dadá Belmonte (2 goals), with creative support from Mikael (3 assists), Dadá Belmonte (2 assists), Diogo Hereda (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Ceara won 5 times, CRB won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 16:15 from Ceara's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.07 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (73.4%)
Predicted formations: Ceara 3-5-2 / CRB 4-1-4-1
H2H summary: Ceara wins 5, draws 4, CRB wins 6
Stats
Ceara Ceara
CRB CRB
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
6
Blocked Shots
5
Blocked Shots
3
7 Corner Kicks 1
18 Fouls 14
2 Offsides 1
52% Ball Possession 48%
20 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Goal 3
9 Shots off Goal 6
5 Blocked Shots 3
11 Shots insidebox 6
9 Shots outsidebox 6
2 Goalkeeper Saves 6
405 Total passes 391
335 Passes accurate 323
0.79 expected_goals 1.30
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Ceara
Formation
CRB
Richard
Richard
Bryan Borges
Bryan Borges
Julio Cesar
Julio Cesar
Eder
Eder
Sanchez
Sanchez
Giovanni Pavani
Giovanni Pavani
Joao Gabriel
Joao Gabriel
Melk
Melk
Lucas Mugni
Lucas Mugni
Giulio
Giulio
R. Lopez
R. Lopez
Vitor Caetano
Vitor Caetano
Kevin
Kevin
Bressan
Bressan
Lyncon
Lyncon
Lucas Lovat
Lucas Lovat
Crystopher Ribeiro
Crystopher Ribeiro
Pedro Castro
Pedro Castro
Danielzinho
Danielzinho
Thiaguinho
Thiaguinho
Mikael
Mikael
Dada Belmonte
Dada Belmonte
Ceara 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
1
Richard
G
31
Bryan Borges
↓ 71'
D
18
Julio Cesar
🟨 76'
D
33
Eder
🟨 38'
D
12
Sanchez
↓ 46'
D
21
Giovanni Pavani
↓ 78'
M
81
Joao Gabriel
🟨 11'
M
40
Melk
M
11
Lucas Mugni
↓ 46' 🟨 43'
M
35
Giulio
↓ 46'
M
7
R. Lopez
F
Substitutes
22
Matheus Nogueira
G
10
Juan Alano
↑ 78'
F
20
M. N. Ferreira Berrondo
↑ 46'
F
26
Richardson
M
29
Vina
↑ 46'
M
13
Luiz Otavio
D
6
Savio
↑ 46'
D
8
Matheus Araujo
M
99
Lucca
F
71
Gabriel Rocha
M
88
Caio
M
60
Enzo Lodovico
↑ 71'
F
CRB 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Vitor Caetano
🟨 88'
G
2
Kevin
🟨 74'
D
22
Bressan
D
33
Lyncon
D
36
Lucas Lovat
↓ 63' 🟨 53'
D
8
Crystopher Ribeiro
M
21
Pedro Castro
↓ 88'
M
10
Danielzinho
↓ 63'
M
17
Thiaguinho
↓ 79'
F
28
Mikael
⚽ 45'
F
97
Dada Belmonte
↓ 88'
F
Substitutes
23
Fabio Henrique
G
20
Vinicius Barata
↑ 88'
F
50
Luizao
M
45
De Lucca
↑ 88'
M
7
Douglas Baggio
F
6
Reverson
↑ 63'
D
18
Geovane
↑ 63'
M
11
Guilherme Pato
↑ 79'
F
44
Ruy
D
16
Guilherme
F
Last matches: Ceara
22.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
2
1
W
19.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
0
1
L
15.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
1
3
L
07.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
26.07.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
4
3
W
17.07.26
Ser
Ceara
America Mineiro
1
1
D
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Goias
0
2
L
28.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Juventude
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Criciuma
1
1
D
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Novorizontino
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Sport Recife
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
19.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
Last matches: CRB
25.08.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
1
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.08.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
0
0
D
11.08.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
1
0
W
27.07.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
0
W
16.07.26
Ser
CRB
Nautico Recife
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
CRB
Goias
2
2
D
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
21.06.26
Ser
CRB
Fortaleza EC
1
1
D
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
07.06.26
Ser
CRB
São Bernardo
2
3
L
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
CRB
Ponte Preta
4
2
W
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
CRB
Operario-PR
3
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
3
L
H2H: Ceara vs CRB
22.07.26
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
21.08.24
H2H
CRB
Ceara
0
2
W
24.05.24
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
06.05.24
H2H
Ceara
CRB
2
2
D
02.05.24
H2H
CRB
Ceara
1
0
L
07.10.23
H2H
CRB
Ceara
2
0
L
10.06.23
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
3
L
17.02.23
H2H
CRB
Ceara
1
1
D
24.03.22
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
0
D
22.07.20
H2H
CRB
Ceara
1
2
W
12.08.17
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
0
W
12.05.17
H2H
CRB
Ceara
1
0
L
27.08.16
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
1
D
21.05.16
H2H
CRB
Ceara
0
3
W
04.09.15
H2H
CRB
Ceara
1
3
W
Last matches: Ceara
22.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Londrina
2
1
W
15.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Cuiaba
1
3
L
07.08.26
Ser
Ceara
Ponte Preta
2
0
W
13.07.26
Ser
Ceara
Athletic Club
0
0
D
20.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Botafogo SP
0
1
L
10.06.26
Ser
Ceara
Avai
2
1
W
31.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Operario-PR
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Vila Nova
3
3
D
11.04.26
Ser
Ceara
Nautico Recife
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Ceara
São Bernardo
1
1
D
H2H at home: Ceara
22.07.26
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
24.05.24
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
1
L
06.05.24
H2H
Ceara
CRB
2
2
D
10.06.23
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
3
L
24.03.22
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
0
D
12.08.17
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
0
W
27.08.16
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
1
D
Last matches: CRB
25.08.26
Ser
CRB
Juventude
1
2
L
20.08.26
Ser
CRB
Athletic Club
2
0
W
11.08.26
Ser
CRB
Avai
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
CRB
Londrina
0
5
L
30.06.26
Ser
CRB
Botafogo SP
1
0
W
12.06.26
Ser
CRB
Atletico Goianiense
3
3
D
31.05.26
Ser
CRB
Cuiaba
0
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
CRB
Sport Recife
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
CRB
America Mineiro
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
CRB
Criciuma
1
3
L
05.04.26
Ser
CRB
Novorizontino
1
1
D
21.03.26
Ser
CRB
Vila Nova
2
2
D
H2H away: CRB
22.07.26
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
1
W
24.05.24
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
1
W
06.05.24
H2H
Ceara
CRB
2
2
D
10.06.23
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
3
W
24.03.22
H2H
Ceara
CRB
0
0
D
12.08.17
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
0
L
27.08.16
H2H
Ceara
CRB
1
1
D

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7
CRB Away
24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17
Ceara Home
24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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