Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
61.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
25.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
34.4%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Catanzaro
Avellino
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Catanzaro
39 matches
Avellino
39 matches
| Catanzaro | Statistic | Avellino |
|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wins | 13 |
| 14 | Draws | 10 |
| 10 | Losses | 16 |
| 62 | Goals For | 43 |
| 52 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 1.59 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.1 |
| 1.33 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.44 |
| 26 | BTTS Yes | 19 |
| 31 | Over 1.5 | 29 |
| 21 | Over 2.5 | 17 |
| 16 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 9 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 7 | Failed To Score | 14 |
| 4.44 | Shots On Goal | 3.36 |
| 12.67 | Total Shots | 9.67 |
| 4.15 | Corners | 4.15 |
| 54.1% | Ball Possession | 48.8% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs Catanzaro's more proactive style and Avellino's more cautious structure, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The first leg ended level at 1-1, so the tie remains finely balanced going into this match. In the previous meeting, Catanzaro had more of the ball in the first leg (56% possession compared to 44%). Avellino carried the greater threat on target, finishing with 5 shots on goal compared to 2. Catanzaro also attempted more passes (466 to 337) and completed 408. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Avellino. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Catanzaro expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Avellino in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Avellino having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances.
Catanzaro come into this tie placed 5 in their league with 59 points from 38 matches. With 15 wins, 14 draws, and 9 losses plus a goal ratio of 62:51, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Filippo Pittarello (12 goals), P. Iemmello (10 goals), Alphadjo Cissè (6 goals), with creative support from P. Iemmello (9 assists), Filippo Pittarello (6 assists), S. Pontisso (6 assists), while defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split of 9 wins, 8 draws, and 2 losses fits a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.
Avellino enter this tie with a season profile built on 49 points from 38 matches, placing them 8 in their league. Their record of 13 wins, 10 draws, and 15 defeats with goals at 43:55 reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking weight falls on Tommaso Biasci (12 goals), Lorenco Šimić (4 goals), M. Palumbo (4 goals), with creative support from D. Sounas (5 assists), Tommaso Biasci (3 assists), M. Palumbo (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split of 4 wins, 5 draws, and 10 losses fits a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically they continue to show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Catanzaro won 6 times, Avellino won 1 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:10 from Catanzaro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.
Catanzaro
8
3
7
3
5
2
Lineups
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Avellino
Scafatese
Avellino
Modena
Avellino
Empoli
Avellino
Bari
Avellino
Mantova
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Palermo
Avellino
Sampdoria
Avellino
Sudtirol
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Padova
Avellino
Venezia
Avellino
Juve Stabia
Avellino
Reggiana
Avellino
Pescara
Avellino
Frosinone
Avellino
Monza
Avellino
Cesena
Avellino
Spezia
Avellino
Carrarese
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Bari
Catanzaro
Spezia
Catanzaro
Modena
Catanzaro
Monza
Catanzaro
Empoli
Catanzaro
Frosinone
Catanzaro
Mantova
Catanzaro
Reggiana
Catanzaro
Sampdoria
Catanzaro
Cesena
Catanzaro
Avellino
Catanzaro
Virtus Entella
Catanzaro
Pescara
Catanzaro
Venezia
Catanzaro
Palermo
Catanzaro
Padova
Catanzaro
Juve Stabia
Catanzaro
Carrarese
Avellino
Empoli
Avellino
Mantova
Avellino
Palermo
Avellino
Sampdoria
Avellino
Virtus Entella
Avellino
Venezia
Avellino
Reggiana
Avellino
Monza
Avellino
Spezia
Avellino
Bari
Avellino
Catanzaro
Avellino
Sudtirol
Avellino
Cesena
Avellino
Pescara
Avellino
Juve Stabia
Avellino
Padova
Avellino
Carrarese
Avellino
Modena
Avellino
Frosinone
Avellino
Audace Cerignola
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 77:31 | 46 | 82 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 76:34 | 42 | 81 |
W
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 38 | 22 | 10 | 6 | 61:32 | 29 | 76 |
D
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 61:33 | 28 | 72 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Catanzaro
Home
|
38 | 15 | 14 | 9 | 62:51 | 11 | 59 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
| 6 | 38 | 15 | 10 | 13 | 49:36 | 13 | 55 |
L
W
L
L
D
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 11 | 18 | 9 | 44:45 | -1 | 51 |
D
L
D
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Avellino
Away
|
38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 43:55 | -12 | 49 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 9 | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 45:57 | -12 | 46 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 39:49 | -10 | 46 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 45:56 | -11 | 46 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 47:52 | -5 | 44 |
L
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 35:48 | -13 | 44 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 10 | 12 | 16 | 36:51 | -15 | 42 |
W
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 9 | 14 | 15 | 47:54 | -7 | 41 |
D
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 8 | 17 | 13 | 38:48 | -10 | 41 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 38:60 | -22 | 40 |
W
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 9 | 10 | 19 | 36:56 | -20 | 37 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 43:59 | -16 | 35 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 7 | 14 | 17 | 51:66 | -15 | 35 |
D
L
D
D
L
|