Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
80.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
50.9%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.3%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.2%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Casa Pia
33 matches
Rio Ave
33 matches
| Casa Pia | Statistic | Rio Ave |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 8 |
| 11 | Draws | 11 |
| 16 | Losses | 14 |
| 30 | Goals For | 34 |
| 56 | Goals Against | 56 |
| 0.91 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.03 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.7 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 27 |
| 15 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 10 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 15 | Failed To Score | 13 |
| 2.82 | Shots On Goal | 3.88 |
| 8.55 | Total Shots | 10.58 |
| 3.88 | Corners | 4.39 |
| 41.3% | Ball Possession | 46.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Rio Ave. Casa Pia have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Casa Pia expected to line up in 3-4-3 and Rio Ave in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Rio Ave having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Casa Pia approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 29 points from 33 matches. Their record of 6 wins, 11 draws, and 16 losses, together with goals at 30:56, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Cassiano (6 goals), Gaizka Larrazabal (4 goals), J. Livolant (3 goals), with creative support from J. Livolant (8 assists), Gaizka Larrazabal (4 assists), A. Conte (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.
From their first 33 matches, Rio Ave have collected 35 points and now occupy 13 place in the table. The record of 8 wins, 11 draws, and 14 defeats, together with a 34:56 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Clayton (10 goals), Andre Luiz (7 goals), J. Blesa (6 goals), with creative support from Andre Luiz (5 assists), Clayton (4 assists), D. Spikic (3 assists), while at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. Away from home, their split return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Casa Pia won 2 times, Rio Ave won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:15 from Casa Pia's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.27 goals per game.
Casa Pia
5
3
7
2
8
1
Lineups
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Tondela
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Alverca
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estoril
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Arouca
Casa Pia
Nacional
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Casa Pia
AVS
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
AVS
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Alverca
Rio Ave
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estrela
Rio Ave
Tondela
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Rio Ave
Arouca
Rio Ave
Nacional
Rio Ave
Benfica
Rio Ave
Casa Pia
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Torreense
Casa Pia
Tondela
Casa Pia
SC Braga
Casa Pia
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
Benfica
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Casa Pia
Arouca
Casa Pia
FC Porto
Casa Pia
AVS
Casa Pia
Guimaraes
Casa Pia
GIL Vicente
Casa Pia
Alverca
Casa Pia
Estrela
Casa Pia
Estoril
Casa Pia
Famalicao
Casa Pia
Nacional
Casa Pia
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
Guimaraes
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
Estoril
Rio Ave
Tondela
Rio Ave
FC Porto
Rio Ave
SC Braga
Rio Ave
Nacional
Rio Ave
Sporting CP
Rio Ave
GIL Vicente
Rio Ave
AVS
Rio Ave
Alverca
Rio Ave
Estrela
Rio Ave
Famalicao
Rio Ave
Benfica
Rio Ave
Moreirense
Rio Ave
Arouca