BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Capital Brasilia
Match Timeline
União Rondonópolis
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
35'
Renan Luis
Capital Brasilia
90'
Mateus Anderson
Capital Brasilia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 72.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 61.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
72.9%
-
BTTS Yes
75.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
61.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Capital Brasilia Win 72.9%
Draw 7.9%
União Rondonópolis Win 19.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Capital Brasilia1.65
União Rondonópolis1
Recent Form (Last 5)
Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia
WWDLW
14 GF / 6 GA
União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis
WLDWL
11 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.56
Average Goals Scored
1.22
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1.78
5
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Capital Brasilia Capital Brasilia 9 matches
União Rondonópolis União Rondonópolis 9 matches
Capital Brasilia Statistic União Rondonópolis
6 Wins 2
2 Draws 3
1 Losses 4
14 Goals For 11
6 Goals Against 16
1.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.22
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1.78
5 BTTS Yes 6
5 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 4
3 Clean Sheets 1
1 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Capital Brasilia's more proactive style and União Rondonópolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward União Rondonópolis having the stronger overall control. Capital Brasilia arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 20 points compared to União Rondonópolis in 5 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors União Rondonópolis.

Capital Brasilia Analysis

Capital Brasilia approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 20 points after 9 outings. The return of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 14:6, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through Gustavo Nescau (2 goals), Matheuzinho (2 goals), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

União Rondonópolis Analysis

Placed 5 with 9 points from 9 outings, União Rondonópolis continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 11:16 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Daniel Cruz (2 goals), Lucas Lourenco (2 goals), Mateus Goiano (2 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Capital Brasilia won 2 times, União Rondonópolis won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Capital Brasilia's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.1%)
H2H summary: Capital Brasilia wins 2, draws 0, União Rondonópolis wins 0
Last matches: Capital Brasilia
12.07.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
1
0
W
04.07.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
4
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
5
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
1
W
19.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
1
0
W
26.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
1
2
L
20.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
3
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
2
D
05.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
0
1
L
28.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
1
2
L
15.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
1
1
D
07.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
1
1
D
Last matches: União Rondonópolis
30.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
2
3
L
16.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
1
5
L
26.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
04.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
1
L
H2H: Capital Brasilia vs União Rondonópolis
07.06.26
H2H
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
2
0
W
04.04.26
H2H
União Rondonópolis
Capital Brasilia
0
1
W
Last matches: Capital Brasilia
12.07.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Nacional AM
1
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
4
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
1
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiatuba EC
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Capital Brasilia
CEOV Operário
1
0
W
20.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Porto Velho
3
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Ceilândia
2
2
D
15.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goianésia
1
1
D
01.06.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Goiânia
0
0
D
18.05.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Luverdense
2
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Mixto
1
1
D
19.04.25
Ser
Capital Brasilia
Aparecidense
0
1
L
H2H at home: Capital Brasilia
07.06.26
H2H
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
2
0
W
Last matches: União Rondonópolis
16.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
CEOV Operário
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Goiatuba EC
1
5
L
18.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Ceilândia
0
1
L
11.04.26
Ser
União Rondonópolis
Mixto
2
2
D
H2H away: União Rondonópolis
07.06.26
H2H
Capital Brasilia
União Rondonópolis
2
0
L