ITALY SERIE A
--.--.---- --:--
Unipol Domus
Referee: A. Arena
Cagliari
Match Timeline
Torino
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
37'
R. Obrador · Assist: M. Prati
Torino
39'
S. Esposito · Assist: G. Gaetano
Cagliari
45'
Y. Mina
Cagliari
🔄
46'
L. Marianucci ↔ G. Maripan
Torino
🔄
59'
D. Zapata ↔ C. Adams
Torino
🔄
59'
M. Prati ↔ C. Casadei
Torino
🔄
72'
A. Deiola ↔ M. Folorunsho
Cagliari
🔄
72'
M. Adopo ↔ I. Sulemana
Cagliari
🔄
77'
M. Pedersen ↔ A. Njie
Torino
🟨
82'
Paul Mendy
Cagliari
🟨
82'
Guillermo Maripán
Torino
🔄
82'
P. Mendy ↔ A. Belotti
Cagliari
🔄
82'
S. Esposito ↔ J. Rodriguez
Cagliari
🔄
85'
E. Ilkhan ↔ S. Kulenovic
Torino

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 76.5%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 35.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 32.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
76.5%
-
BTTS BTTS No
35.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
32.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Cagliari Win 39.6%
Draw 23.5%
Torino Win 36.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Cagliari1.28
Torino1.26
Recent Form (Last 5)
Cagliari Cagliari
WWDLW
42 GF / 54 GA
Torino Torino
WLDWL
47 GF / 63 GA
Key Stats
1.08
Average Goals Scored
1.18
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.58
20
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
24
3.33
Shots on Goal
3.98

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Cagliari Cagliari 39 matches
Torino Torino 40 matches
Cagliari Statistic Torino
10 Wins 15
12 Draws 8
17 Losses 17
42 Goals For 47
54 Goals Against 63
1.08 Avg Goals Scored 1.18
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.58
20 BTTS Yes 19
30 Over 1.5 28
18 Over 2.5 24
8 Over 3.5 11
8 Clean Sheets 14
14 Failed To Score 11
3.33 Shots On Goal 3.98
10.54 Total Shots 11.93
3.72 Corners 4.05
45.6% Ball Possession 44.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Torino. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Cagliari expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Torino in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Torino having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Cagliari Analysis

Cagliari approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 16 with 37 points from 36 matches. The overall return of 9 wins, 10 draws, and 17 defeats with a 36:51 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Sebastiano Esposito (6 goals), Gennaro Borrelli (4 goals), Semih Kılıçsoy (4 goals), with creative support from Sebastiano Esposito (5 assists), M. Palestra (4 assists), G. Gaetano (3 assists), while defensively they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 6 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Torino Analysis

Torino sit 12 with 44 points after 36 league matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 8 draws, and 16 losses with goals at 41:59 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by G. Simeone (11 goals), Nikola Vlašić (8 goals), C. Adams (5 goals), with creative support from Nikola Vlašić (3 assists), C. Adams (2 assists), Emirhan İlkhan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 5 draws, and 9 losses, a split that suggests a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach. They are not at full strength, with Zannetos Savva unavailable, although the overall attacking core still looks largely intact.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Cagliari won 6 times, Torino won 4 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:21 from Cagliari's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 10 matches, with an average of 2.73 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (76.5%)
Predicted formations: Cagliari 5-3-2 / Torino 3-4-2-1
Missing players: Cagliari 6, Torino 4
H2H summary: Cagliari wins 6, draws 5, Torino wins 4
Stats
Cagliari Cagliari
Torino Torino
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
2
Blocked Shots
3
Blocked Shots
5
5 Corner Kicks 1
8 Fouls 13
1 Offsides 1
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 2
3 Blocked Shots 5
8 Shots insidebox 6
5 Shots outsidebox 4
2 Goalkeeper Saves 1
413 Total passes 510
343 Passes accurate 434
1.32 expected_goals 0.99
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 1 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Cagliari
Formation
Torino
E. Caprile
E. Caprile
G. Zappa
G. Zappa
Y. Mina
Y. Mina
A. Dossena
A. Dossena
A. Obert
A. Obert
M. Adopo
M. Adopo
G. Gaetano
🎯
G. Gaetano
A. Deiola
A. Deiola
M. Palestra
M. Palestra
S. Esposito
S. Esposito
P. Mendy
P. Mendy
A. Paleari
A. Paleari
L. Marianucci
L. Marianucci
S. Coco
S. Coco
E. Ebosse
E. Ebosse
M. Pedersen
M. Pedersen
E. Ilkhan
E. Ilkhan
M. Prati
🎯
M. Prati
R. Obrador
R. Obrador
G. Simeone
G. Simeone
N. Vlasic
N. Vlasic
D. Zapata
D. Zapata
Cagliari 4-3-2-1
Starting XI
1
E. Caprile
G
28
G. Zappa
D
26
Y. Mina
⚽ 45'
D
22
A. Dossena
D
33
A. Obert
D
8
M. Adopo
↓ 72'
M
10
G. Gaetano
🎯 39'
M
14
A. Deiola
↓ 72'
M
2
M. Palestra
M
94
S. Esposito
⚽ 39' ↓ 82'
M
31
P. Mendy
↓ 82' 🟨 82'
F
Substitutes
24
G. Ciocci
G
12
A. Sherri
G
19
A. Belotti
↑ 82'
F
90
M. Folorunsho
↑ 72'
M
25
I. Sulemana
↑ 72'
M
15
J. Rodriguez
↑ 82'
D
29
G. Borrelli
F
9
S. Kilicsoy
F
20
A. Albarracin
F
Torino 3-4-2-1
Starting XI
1
A. Paleari
G
35
L. Marianucci
↓ 46'
D
23
S. Coco
D
77
E. Ebosse
D
16
M. Pedersen
↓ 77'
M
6
E. Ilkhan
↓ 85'
M
4
M. Prati
🎯 37' ↓ 59'
M
33
R. Obrador
⚽ 37'
M
18
G. Simeone
F
10
N. Vlasic
F
91
D. Zapata
↓ 59'
F
Substitutes
81
F. Israel
G
99
L. Siviero
G
34
C. Biraghi
D
20
V. Lazaro
D
17
S. Kulenovic
↑ 85'
F
25
N. Nkounkou
D
93
M. Pellini
D
13
G. Maripan
↑ 46' 🟨 82'
D
19
C. Adams
↑ 59'
F
22
C. Casadei
↑ 59'
M
8
I. Ilic
M
79
Z. Savva
92
A. Njie
↑ 77'
F
83
S. Perciun
M
94
W. Acquah
M
Last matches: Cagliari
24.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
2
1
W
09.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
0
D
27.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2
W
17.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
3
L
11.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
20.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
15.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
1
3
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Como
1
2
L
27.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Parma
1
1
D
21.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
0
D
16.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
L
09.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
4
0
W
24.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Fiorentina
2
1
W
17.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Juventus
1
0
W
12.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Genoa
0
3
L
08.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
2
2
D
02.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
L
Last matches: Torino
24.05.26
Ser
Torino
Juventus
2
2
D
08.05.26
Ser
Torino
Sassuolo
2
1
W
02.05.26
Ser
Torino
Udinese
0
2
L
26.04.26
Ser
Torino
Inter
2
2
D
19.04.26
Ser
Torino
Cremonese
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Torino
Hellas Verona
2
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Torino
Pisa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Torino
AC Milan
2
3
L
13.03.26
Ser
Torino
Parma
4
1
W
06.03.26
Ser
Torino
Napoli
1
2
L
01.03.26
Ser
Torino
Lazio
2
0
W
22.02.26
Ser
Torino
Genoa
0
3
L
15.02.26
Ser
Torino
Bologna
1
2
L
07.02.26
Ser
Torino
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.02.26
Cop
Torino
Inter
1
2
L
01.02.26
Ser
Torino
Lecce
1
0
W
24.01.26
Ser
Torino
Como
0
6
L
18.01.26
Ser
Torino
AS Roma
0
2
L
13.01.26
Cop
Torino
AS Roma
3
2
W
10.01.26
Ser
Torino
Atalanta
0
2
L
H2H: Cagliari vs Torino
17.05.26
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
27.12.25
H2H
Torino
Cagliari
1
2
W
24.01.25
H2H
Torino
Cagliari
2
0
L
20.10.24
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
3
2
W
26.01.24
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
1
2
L
21.08.23
H2H
Torino
Cagliari
0
0
D
27.02.22
H2H
Torino
Cagliari
1
2
W
06.12.21
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
1
1
D
19.02.21
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
1
L
18.10.20
H2H
Torino
Cagliari
2
3
W
27.06.20
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
4
2
W
27.10.19
H2H
Torino
Cagliari
1
1
D
14.04.19
H2H
Torino
Cagliari
1
1
D
26.11.18
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
0
D
31.03.18
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
4
L
Last matches: Cagliari
09.05.26
Ser
Cagliari
Udinese
0
2
L
27.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Atalanta
3
2
W
11.04.26
Ser
Cagliari
Cremonese
1
0
W
20.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Napoli
0
1
L
07.03.26
Ser
Cagliari
Como
1
2
L
21.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lazio
0
0
D
16.02.26
Ser
Cagliari
Lecce
0
2
L
31.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Hellas Verona
4
0
W
17.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
Juventus
1
0
W
02.01.26
Ser
Cagliari
AC Milan
0
1
L
21.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
Pisa
2
2
D
07.12.25
Ser
Cagliari
AS Roma
1
0
W
22.11.25
Ser
Cagliari
Genoa
3
3
D
30.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Sassuolo
1
2
L
19.10.25
Ser
Cagliari
Bologna
0
2
L
27.09.25
Ser
Cagliari
Inter
0
2
L
23.09.25
Cop
Cagliari
Frosinone
4
1
W
13.09.25
Ser
Cagliari
Parma
2
0
W
24.08.25
Ser
Cagliari
Fiorentina
1
1
D
16.08.25
Cop
Cagliari
Virtus Entella
1
1
D
H2H at home: Cagliari
17.05.26
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
W
20.10.24
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
3
2
W
26.01.24
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
1
2
L
06.12.21
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
1
1
D
19.02.21
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
1
L
27.06.20
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
4
2
W
26.11.18
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
0
D
31.03.18
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
4
L
Last matches: Torino
02.05.26
Ser
Torino
Udinese
0
2
L
19.04.26
Ser
Torino
Cremonese
0
0
D
05.04.26
Ser
Torino
Pisa
1
0
W
21.03.26
Ser
Torino
AC Milan
2
3
L
06.03.26
Ser
Torino
Napoli
1
2
L
22.02.26
Ser
Torino
Genoa
0
3
L
07.02.26
Ser
Torino
Fiorentina
2
2
D
04.02.26
Cop
Torino
Inter
1
2
L
24.01.26
Ser
Torino
Como
0
6
L
13.01.26
Cop
Torino
AS Roma
3
2
W
10.01.26
Ser
Torino
Atalanta
0
2
L
04.01.26
Ser
Torino
Hellas Verona
3
0
W
21.12.25
Ser
Torino
Sassuolo
1
0
W
30.11.25
Ser
Torino
Lecce
1
2
L
08.11.25
Ser
Torino
Juventus
0
0
D
29.10.25
Ser
Torino
Bologna
0
0
D
04.10.25
Ser
Torino
Lazio
3
3
D
29.09.25
Ser
Torino
Parma
1
2
L
14.09.25
Ser
Torino
AS Roma
1
0
W
25.08.25
Ser
Torino
Inter
0
5
L
H2H away: Torino
17.05.26
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
2
1
L
20.10.24
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
3
2
L
26.01.24
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
1
2
W
06.12.21
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
1
1
D
19.02.21
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
1
W
27.06.20
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
4
2
L
26.11.18
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
0
D
31.03.18
H2H
Cagliari
Torino
0
4
W

Standings

Serie A
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 27 6 5 89:35 54 87
D D W W D
2 38 23 7 8 58:36 22 76
W W L D W
3 38 23 4 11 59:31 28 73
W W W W W
4 38 20 11 7 65:29 36 71
W W W D W
5 38 20 10 8 53:35 18 70
L W L L D
6 38 19 12 7 61:34 27 69
D L W D D
7 38 15 14 9 51:36 15 59
D L W D L
8 38 16 8 14 49:46 3 56
D W W D L
9 38 14 12 12 41:40 1 54
W L L W D
10 38 14 8 16 45:48 -3 50
L L W W D
11 38 14 7 17 46:50 -4 49
L L L W D
12 38 12 9 17 44:63 -19 45
D L W L D
13 38 11 12 15 28:46 -18 45
W L L L W
14 38 11 10 17 40:53 -13 43
W W L D W
15 38 9 15 14 41:50 -9 42
D W D L D
16 38 10 11 17 41:51 -10 41
L L D D L
17 38 10 8 20 28:50 -22 38
W W L W D
18 38 8 10 20 32:57 -25 34
L W W L L
19 38 3 12 23 25:61 -36 21
L D L D D
20 38 2 12 24 26:71 -45 18
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Serie B

Missing Players

Cagliari 6 missing
-
R. Idrissi
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Pedro
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
M. Felici
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
L. Mazzitelli
Missing Fixture Calf Injury
OUT
-
L. Pavoletti
Missing Fixture Knee Injury
OUT
-
J. Liteta
Missing Fixture Thigh Injury
OUT
Torino 4 missing
-
A. Ismajli
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT
-
F. Anjorin
Missing Fixture Hip Injury
OUT
-
G. Gineitis
Missing Fixture Yellow Cards
OUT
-
Z. Aboukhlal
Missing Fixture Muscle Injury
OUT