COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
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Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bucaramanga Win 85.3%
Draw 6.4%
Cucuta Win 8.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bucaramanga1.58
Cucuta1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WWDLW
28 GF / 23 GA
Cucuta Cucuta
WLDWL
24 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
10
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
11
4.05
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 21 matches
Cucuta Cucuta 21 matches
Bucaramanga Statistic Cucuta
6 Wins 3
8 Draws 8
7 Losses 10
28 Goals For 24
23 Goals Against 41
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
10 BTTS Yes 14
16 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 5
4.05 Shots On Goal 3.5
13.15 Total Shots 8.75
4.6 Corners 4.15
51.4% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Bucaramanga's more proactive style and Cucuta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cucuta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cucuta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Bucaramanga Analysis

So far, Bucaramanga have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 26:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emerson Batalla (1 goals), with creative support from Luciano Pons (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta sit 19 with 16 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lucas Ríos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga won 4 times, Cucuta won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:9 from Bucaramanga's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.22 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Bucaramanga 4-2-3-1 / Cucuta 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bucaramanga wins 4, draws 3, Cucuta wins 2
Last matches: Bucaramanga
25.07.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
25.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Jaguares
2
2
D
21.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Atletico Nacional
0
2
L
12.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Chico
5
0
W
07.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Águilas Doradas
1
2
L
02.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
America de Cali
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
1
2
L
24.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Junior
0
2
L
19.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
1
1
D
14.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Internacional de Bogota
0
0
D
10.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pereira
3
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Independiente Medellin
2
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
11.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
06.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pasto
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
5
0
W
27.01.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
2
D
24.01.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Llaneros
1
1
D
18.01.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
2
1
W
Last matches: Cucuta
27.07.26
Pri
Cucuta
Once Caldas
1
5
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
0
2
L
24.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Junior
1
1
D
19.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Santa Fe
0
5
L
05.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
America de Cali
2
0
W
02.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
28.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Chico
1
0
W
24.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Llaneros
2
2
D
14.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
09.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Millonarios
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
23.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportes Tolima
3
2
W
17.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
10.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Independiente Medellin
1
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Águilas Doradas
2
3
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Fortaleza FC
1
1
D
27.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
23.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
19.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Once Caldas
1
2
L
H2H: Bucaramanga vs Cucuta
27.01.26
H2H
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
2
2
D
27.10.20
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
1
0
W
01.03.20
H2H
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
0
1
W
07.09.19
H2H
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
2
0
L
12.08.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
0
W
26.04.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
2
D
10.04.19
H2H
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
0
0
D
18.03.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
1
0
W
17.02.19
H2H
Cucuta
Bucaramanga
3
2
L
Last matches: Bucaramanga
25.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Jaguares
2
2
D
12.04.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Chico
5
0
W
28.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
1
2
L
19.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Pereira
3
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportivo Cali
0
0
D
11.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
5
0
W
18.01.26
Pri
Bucaramanga
Millonarios
2
1
W
04.12.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
0
0
D
26.11.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Fortaleza FC
1
2
L
19.11.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
1
0
W
09.11.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Internacional de Bogota
2
1
W
25.10.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Llaneros
2
0
W
12.10.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Union Magdalena
1
0
W
19.09.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Deportes Tolima
2
0
W
10.09.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Once Caldas
0
0
D
06.09.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Alianza Valledupar
3
1
W
25.08.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Águilas Doradas
4
0
W
10.08.25
Pri
Bucaramanga
Santa Fe
2
1
W
H2H at home: Bucaramanga
27.10.20
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
1
0
W
12.08.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
0
W
26.04.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
2
D
18.03.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
1
0
W
Last matches: Cucuta
27.07.26
Pri
Cucuta
Once Caldas
1
5
L
02.05.26
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
0
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Santa Fe
0
5
L
02.04.26
Pri
Cucuta
Atletico Nacional
0
0
D
24.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pereira
2
2
D
17.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Llaneros
2
2
D
09.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Millonarios
0
2
L
01.03.26
Pri
Cucuta
Deportivo Pasto
2
3
L
17.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Alianza Valledupar
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Cucuta
Águilas Doradas
2
3
L
23.01.26
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional de Bogota
1
2
L
28.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Soacha
0
1
L
19.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Huila
0
2
L
15.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Jaguares
2
1
W
01.11.25
Pri
Cucuta
Internacional Palmira
1
0
W
19.10.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Cartagena
1
1
D
10.10.25
Pri
Cucuta
Real Santander
2
0
W
30.09.25
Pri
Cucuta
Depor FC
0
0
D
15.09.25
Pri
Cucuta
Barranquilla
2
1
W
01.09.25
Pri
Cucuta
Tigres FC
0
0
D
H2H away: Cucuta
27.10.20
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
1
0
L
12.08.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
0
L
26.04.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
2
2
D
18.03.19
H2H
Bucaramanga
Cucuta
1
0
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W L W W W
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L L W W D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
L L L L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W L D W L
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
W D L W D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
W L L W W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
L L D W D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
L L L L W
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D W L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
L D W L D
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
W L W W W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
W W D L L
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W L D L W
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
W L D L D
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D W L L W
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
L W D L L
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
D D D L L
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W L L W L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
L L D L W
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L L W L D
Post season qualification