COLOMBIA PRIMERA A
04.08.2026 01:00
Estadio Américo Montanini
Referee: A. Moncada
Bucaramanga
Match Timeline
Cucuta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Peralta · Assist: M. B. Carabali Lopez
Cucuta
15'
E. Batalla · Assist: L. Pons
Bucaramanga
🟨
20'
G. Torres
Cucuta
🟨
22'
F. Sambueza
Bucaramanga
🟨
27'
C. Romana
Bucaramanga
29'
L. Berdugo · Assist: L. Berdugo
Cucuta
🟨
35'
V. Mejia
Cucuta
🟨
40'
M. B. Carabali Lopez
Cucuta
🔄
46'
V. Mejia ↔ Neneco
Cucuta
🟨
53'
S. Tamara
Cucuta
🔄
53'
G. Torres ↔ Y. Abonia
Cucuta
🟥
56'
E. M. Duarte Barajas
Cucuta
🔄
60'
L. Berdugo ↔ L. Rios
Cucuta
🔄
60'
M. B. Carabali Lopez ↔ B. Montano
Cucuta
🟨
61'
F. Hinestroza
Bucaramanga
🔄
67'
Fabry ↔ J. Salazar
Bucaramanga
🔄
67'
A. Gutierrez ↔ F. Charrupi
Bucaramanga
🔄
67'
S. Tamara ↔ S. Mayo
Cucuta
🟨
75'
R. Paez
Cucuta
🔄
75'
F. Hinestroza ↔ B. Caicedo
Bucaramanga
🟨
76'
J. Peralta
Cucuta
🔄
80'
L. Flores ↔ A. Zarate
Bucaramanga
VAR
90+5'
L. Pons
Bucaramanga
🟨
90+8'
L. Pons
Bucaramanga
🟨
90+9'
J. Salazar
Bucaramanga

Bucaramanga vs Cucuta Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
85.3%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
86.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Bucaramanga Win 85.3%
Draw 6.4%
Cucuta Win 8.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Bucaramanga1.57
Cucuta1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Bucaramanga Bucaramanga
WWDLW
29 GF / 24 GA
Cucuta Cucuta
WLDWL
24 GF / 41 GA
Key Stats
1.32
Average Goals Scored
1.14
1.09
Average Goals Conceded
1.95
11
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
11
4
Shots on Goal
3.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Bucaramanga Bucaramanga 22 matches
Cucuta Cucuta 21 matches
Bucaramanga Statistic Cucuta
6 Wins 3
9 Draws 8
7 Losses 10
29 Goals For 24
24 Goals Against 41
1.32 Avg Goals Scored 1.14
1.09 Avg Goals Conceded 1.95
11 BTTS Yes 14
17 Over 1.5 19
11 Over 2.5 11
5 Over 3.5 9
8 Clean Sheets 3
7 Failed To Score 5
4 Shots On Goal 3.5
12.86 Total Shots 8.75
4.67 Corners 4.15
51.8% Ball Possession 44.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features Bucaramanga's more proactive style and Cucuta's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cucuta. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cucuta arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.

Bucaramanga Analysis

So far, Bucaramanga have built a campaign that leaves them 13 in the table on 23 points from 19 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 8 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 26:20 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Emerson Batalla (1 goals), with creative support from Luciano Pons (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Cucuta Analysis

Cucuta sit 19 with 16 points after 19 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 3 wins, 7 draws, and 9 defeats with a 22:35 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Lucas Ríos (1 goals), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Bucaramanga won 4 times, Cucuta won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:10 from Bucaramanga's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.7%)
Predicted formations: Bucaramanga 4-2-3-1 / Cucuta 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Bucaramanga wins 4, draws 4, Cucuta wins 2

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 13 1 5 35:15 20 40
W W W W L
2 19 11 2 6 31:24 7 35
L D D L D
3 19 10 4 5 29:25 4 34
D L D L L
4 19 10 3 6 25:15 10 33
W D W D W
5 19 8 9 2 31:22 9 33
L L W D D
6 19 8 7 4 27:17 10 31
L W W D W
7 19 7 8 4 29:22 7 29
W D W D D
8 19 7 7 5 26:26 0 28
W D D D D
9 19 7 6 6 20:16 4 27
W D D L D
10 19 7 5 7 31:23 8 26
D D L D W
11 19 7 5 7 26:24 2 26
L W W L W
12 19 7 5 7 20:25 -5 26
L D D D D
13 19 5 8 6 26:20 6 23
W D D W D
14 19 4 10 5 17:20 -3 22
L L L L W
15 19 5 7 7 22:27 -5 22
D D L D L
16 19 5 3 11 20:33 -13 18
D D D W D
17 19 3 8 8 13:27 -14 17
W L L L D
18 19 5 2 12 15:32 -17 17
W W D D L
19 19 3 7 9 22:35 -13 16
D L W W D
20 19 1 7 11 15:32 -17 10
L D L W D
Post season qualification